Le Tour '07: Stage 5 Live!
Well now... there are a number of theories as to how this stage shapes up. The course features eight climbs, half in the cat-4 category, three cat-3s and a cat-2. By Koppenberg's point system Update [2007-7-12 10:15:35 by chris]: which may be wrong, there are some 70 KOM points at issue today. So the going theory this week has been that either Michael Rasmussen (~:>) or one of his challengers will come out flying early on. We could even see a real mano-a-mano battle for the maillot pois, which would be a refreshing change.
HIstory is a little mixed on this point. Last year there were no truly comparable stages, but the closest early KOM points bonanza was a stage in which Jerome Pineau took off and got hold of the jersey. He wound up 30th in the final KOM points and was nowhere to be seen when Rasmussen went on his annual romp. However, two years ago the Tour came by this region of France late in the first week, and then the results were more telling. On stage 8 along the western border of Germany into Alsace France (sic?), Rasmussen emerged to win three cat-3 climbs and take third on the finishing cat-2 hill. The next day, clad in polka dots, Rasmussen left early and stayed away all day, winning a truly beautiful stage over some of the Tour's historic early climbs. The KOM points were huge: four cat-3s, a cat-2 and a cat-1.
So by this guide, it's not inconceivable that today's cache of KOM points could tempt ~:> out of his shell. Or one of his rivals. Or both. There are bigger points days ahead on the major climbs of the Tour, but for spotty jersey hunters, there are no better days to get away without the GC guys following.
A second theory, the one the Tour wants you to believe, is that today's stage will be a battle of the Classics champions. The 8 categorized climbs will presumably remind them of April in Belgium, or October in Milan? Anyway, the thought of a leading peloton including O'Grady, Cancellara, Boonen, Ballan, Hincapie, Nuyens, and so forth is indeed delicious, but the Tour doesn't ever really work that way. So file this away in "flights of fancy."
A third possibility will be a relatively anonymous breakaway that's left to stay away. My hunch is the KOM fight will begin, but the bland door #3 is runner-up. One thing I really don't expect is a bunch sprint. Have fun, I plan to join early.
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Three On The Attack
Current situation
Giampaolo Cheula (Barloworld) at 0.20
Peloton at 1.00
Looks like Di Gregario is out
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
Yep, Sherwen
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 8:53 AM EDT reply actions
that's because
Gap 10:17 now, 113.5k to go/
Gap 8:23, 102.1k to go/83.4mi
Iban Mayo falls
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 9:21 AM EDT reply actions
yes, that's a
-- but, the tell is in the way the riders have protected their leader.
There's a mixture of teams chasing
Beautiful, wooded countryside, and the weather looks fantastic, plenty of sunshine.
37.2kph avg so far, Gap down to
Cote de St Maurice...
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 9:38 AM EDT reply actions
So
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 9:41 AM EDT reply actions
Astana is not helping him get back
Great Astana have no one back for him
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
The cracks begin to appear... I love the TdF!
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
paulo is now helping
did Astana #199
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
I think this German TV stream
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions
nonetheless
Race director looking at Klodi like...
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
Back in the cars... excitement over
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
So
d'oh!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 9:59 AM EDT reply actions
Klodi to Porte
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
time for a free ride
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 9:59 AM EDT reply actions
10km to the summit
Did anyone else feel briefly concerned by the trivia question which began with "Jonathan Boyer was the first American to ride the Tour"? For a moment I thought it would be a "where are they now" segment.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:19 AM EDT reply actions
Different day
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:20 AM EDT reply actions
Were you
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions
Well, yes
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions
How many aircraft engineers
16
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions
Probably only need 12
If you break it down like that
good link
break is down to 3
break of 4 together
yes, i like it too
by mobilegoat on Jul 12, 2007 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions
That would so rock
Likey the rant.
I want my streaming vid <<drums heels on floor>>
It definitely works
Thor
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:31 AM EDT reply actions
Pitti and OP at the back
Gilbert
Valverde and Pereiro dangling off the back! Is Oscar dumping time?
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:34 AM EDT reply actions
And he's
1km for the leaders. Is Gilbert challenging Chav? What exactly is in it for him?
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:36 AM EDT reply actions
different from the Giro
GC staredown
There's always guys in the Giro willing to make a one-day race of it. That, and Diluca was riding super aggressively every day in the early stages against the possibility of big moves from the climbers (which never really came.) The Tour seems to impose a degree of conservatism on the tactics.
And
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions
Good point
Gilbert leading down
VS. technicians are scrambling
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions
I recall that, looked bad
(Pops her head in)
Oh nothing
They did the big climb, and Chavanel got all the points. Gilbert is still with him. Maybe 2' or so lead.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:47 AM EDT reply actions
One of these days it has to work
Chavanel takes the sprint points
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 10:50 AM EDT reply actions
You mean
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions
Now Ete off the back
by mobilegoat on Jul 12, 2007 10:51 AM EDT reply actions
Carlos gets a power bottle
zabel is still there
Chavanel and Gilbert Grape
Chavanel into yellow?
If he won the stage, he'd be awfully close.
When's the last time we saw a French rider in the yellow jersey? Voeckler in 2004, I'm thinking.
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 10:57 AM EDT reply actions
Confusion
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions
P.s.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions
time bonuses
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions
He has to have gotten back at least 8 seconds
Oops
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 10:57 AM EDT reply actions
Or
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Shut up Flanders
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply actions
Finale
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:04 AM EDT reply actions
In some ways
Vino Down!
Motorcycle is broken
VINO!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:05 AM EDT reply actions
Bad day for the big stars
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:05 AM EDT reply actions
7-man escort
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:06 AM EDT reply actions
Yup
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions
Van Summer Ale!
CSC working the front with Liquigas.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:07 AM EDT reply actions
Is CSC trying to put some distance
Is Thor still smashing the autobus?
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 11:08 AM EDT reply actions
Hey now!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions
meanwhile, the shadow of a guy
Cut to Johan
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions
angry peloton
VS-speak
Is this a Monty Python skit? Our two greatest weapons are fear, surprise, ruthlessness - Our three greatest weapons...
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:14 AM EDT reply actions
it wouldn't be a surprise
I've noticed that, too
And
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions
cars were pulled out
Keep the details coming
According to Phil
Would we be seeing the same action if it was a French team?
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peloton
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:14 AM EDT reply actions
Rast is dropped
Gilbert goes again
whos pulling the peloton?
by mobilegoat on Jul 12, 2007 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Catch imminent
Vino 2' down!!! Holy freaking sheit... Will they ride for Kloden after today? Vino could be hurting. Wow, very dramatic, but a crappy thing to wish on any rider, even one I don't root for and didn't pay 22 points for.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:16 AM EDT reply actions
I wonder if
ouch
Astana
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:18 AM EDT reply actions
apparently not
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions
Kloden left in peleton...
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Shades of Mayo and
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions
Vino's gap??
I wonder where Boonen is. If he's hung on to the field, he could get some serious freebie points.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:19 AM EDT reply actions
Wegmann attacks!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:20 AM EDT reply actions
Predictions??
Bit of a pipe dream...but I'd love to see Schleck take off
How mahy K to go?
Gap at 0.14
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:21 AM EDT reply actions
What Does Vino Look Like?
It looks like a pretty hard hit
Ripped shorts,
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Rabo on front
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11K to go
If Astana loses one minute or less
by socal @ Podium Cafe on Jul 12, 2007 11:22 AM EDT reply actions
Rabo
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:22 AM EDT reply actions
Freire
Chavanel is now... caught.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:23 AM EDT reply actions
Vino....
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Vino
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:24 AM EDT reply actions
Kolbo counters
Vino blows by Thor
(note to self: SMASH Vino later)
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 11:24 AM EDT reply actions
Damn team car is pacing Vino as Iglinsky blows
by mobilegoat on Jul 12, 2007 11:24 AM EDT reply actions
Vino Alone
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Vino update
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:25 AM EDT reply actions
I"m guessing
This Post Brought to You By Hennie's Hordes:
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Vino still
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:26 AM EDT reply actions
Boonen locks onto Vino
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:27 AM EDT reply actions
Cancellara patrolling
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:28 AM EDT reply actions
Yaro-pop?
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:29 AM EDT reply actions
green disco pops off the front
really really cool action!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:29 AM EDT reply actions
Chasing Group
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Vino 56 seconds back!
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:30 AM EDT reply actions
Yaro-pop?
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:30 AM EDT reply actions
Cance chasing!!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:31 AM EDT reply actions
All that Rabo work at the front
by socal @ Podium Cafe on Jul 12, 2007 11:31 AM EDT reply actions
I guess we know who they are
Cance into the grass!!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:32 AM EDT reply actions
Holy Crap
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FYI: drafting cars tolerated after crashing
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 11:32 AM EDT reply actions
Who's Lampre working so hard for?
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:33 AM EDT reply actions
Ballan I think
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions
Boonen leading
Lampre leading, though I think POpo is still just ahead maybe??
3km to go. Descent is over. All together except for the Vino group.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:33 AM EDT reply actions
Hincapie up there
by ghisallo on Jul 12, 2007 11:34 AM EDT reply actions
Millar
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:34 AM EDT reply actions
1.5km!!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:35 AM EDT reply actions
1km
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:35 AM EDT reply actions
Vino going to lose time
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Freire around??
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:35 AM EDT reply actions
Is Yaropop still out front?
Freire jumps,
Pippo!
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:36 AM EDT reply actions
Confusing sprint...
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Vino loses...
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Vino coming in
1.18 down.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:37 AM EDT reply actions
Too bad for Vino this wasn't the Tour of Calif.
;)
by socal @ Podium Cafe on Jul 12, 2007 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions
LOL
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Top three
Freire
Unibrow
Eisel or Kirchen 4th?
Not sure where Zabel was (5th?), but he could be in Green tonight. Some people (Pete) will be happy @ that, but not me.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:39 AM EDT reply actions
That will put Oscar
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions
And
I was wondering, how could Napo rejoin the field in a race like this?
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions
Phil said Napolitano
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:42 AM EDT reply actions
Schumacher in 8th!
by Susie Hartigan on Jul 12, 2007 11:44 AM EDT reply actions
ONly the VDS
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions
So everyone who was predicting Vino
And that's
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions
On the other hand, it does bode well
Absolutely
I thought he'd lose time on Stage 7
Yeah, I know the predictions
I was elliptical...
I wasn't able to watch the feed today. I'm surprised he crashed.
Can't give it away
Vino looks not so bueno in the replays there.
Green jersey
Hopefully Boonen or Thor will crush tomorrow. I really, really don't want Zabel to win the thing after taking out half the field on stage 2. I know, that's cycling, but it was a sucky crash, and Zabel's fault.
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 11:49 AM EDT reply actions
That's a little harsh
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions
No
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions
By that logic...
Crashes happen when you put a large number of cyclists on a small road at high speed.
I'd LOVE to hate Wegmann forever for riding Bettini off the road into a fence-post earlier this year, but that's just what happens at high speeds.
Zabel has been riding for years and has earned his reputation as a gentleman who plays fair. I just can't see my way clear to punish him when every other sprinter in the race has done the same at some point in their careers. It is just what happens in the sprint.
The other sprinters take what happened in stride with stoic grace. Otherwise they end up looking like a petty little cry-baby who doesn't know how to handle themselves at a professional level. (Yes, I'm referring to you, Baden Cook!)
Well now, candor or no
That is not at all what happened with Boonen, Zabel and Quniziato et.al.
America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, badass speed. -Eleanor Roosevelt
No denying
Grillo did not put Cooke into the barriers, Cooke chose to ride into a gap that did not exist because Bettini illegally shut the door on him.
Paolo's not innocent, but shutting off a gap by shifting a line happens nearly every single sprint stage. Watch the stage prior to that one, where Di Luca won. You'll see the exact same move happen: Danilo closed the door, then Paolo sat up and took it like a man and a professional.
I don't deny Baden got screwed, I fault him for not taking his screwing like a man. It is sprinting, everyone gets screwed. Did Boonen cause a crash when he was forced off his train yesterday? Stuff happens in sprinting, if it is bad enough, the judges will make a ruling. Otherwise, act like a professional.
I know I make this same argument every GT, and I not going to convince anyone, but after reading how the other sprinters (non-Aussie) responded, they all said the same thing: "Baden needs to grow up and act like a professional, that move happens every single sprint, but only Baden was dumb/desperate enough to cause a crash out of it."
You've convinced me
Now, let's drop the whole topic of man screwing so I don't have visions of American History X running through my head for the rest of the day.
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions
This is beneath you
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not so down on Zabel
by mobilegoat on Jul 12, 2007 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Thank you EGoat
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
When you've been
and the number of crashes you caused can be counted on one hand, you more than earn a pass.
by Peter Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions
Wow
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 12, 2007 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions
He's been as consistent or more so
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions
(nodding)
For a stage that was supposed to be meh for most of the peleton, it sure turned out to be a barn burner.
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions
clarification please
dull, unexciting, not to be worried about, so so
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 1:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Geoffroy Lequatre
Considering he's 50' late
by Drew on Jul 12, 2007 12:43 PM EDT reply actions

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