Post-Dolomiti Power Poll!
Yes, that's our first headline in some time without the word "Giro" in it. Hell, I won't even re-use our awesome Giro graphics for the moment, just to give the eye a rest. There's only one hitch, and it involves tricolore socks over one's horns...
Anyway, we have ourselves one hell of a maglia rosa battle brewing, the likes of which are unseen 'round these parts in a few years. OK, two years. And last year's Tour was also pretty wide-open. Anyway, it's good to see a quorum of well-matched superstars battle it out on more or less equal terms. Let's start with a Power Poll -- and remember, this is a forward-looking assessment of where things stand. Otherwise, well, you can look up the GC without my help. [No trend arrows; this is round one.] Here we go.
1. Levi Leipheimer, Astana
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "If he is at his peak, Levi could easily blast the ITT and follow wheels the rest of the race, and just salt it away in the final ride to Rome."
And now...? Sitting pretty. The only guys he should worry about are either seven seconds ahead of him, or trailing. His advantages over Menchov in the remaining stages are slim to nothing, so he will have his work cut out, but I see two factors in his favor. One, the final time trial in Rome is totally flat, which suits him better than anyone else on this list. And two, Levi got into his current position despite the fact that his typical game plan calls for a third-week peak. If he's holding back at all, then he is sitting more than pretty. He's bellissimo.
Girbecco says: Buy American!
The rest... on the flip!
2. Denis Menchov, Rabobank
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "[I]f he gets an advantage and can follow wheels over the last week, well, he's done it before in a three-week race, which is more than you can say for most of the guys on this list."
And now...? And how. A brief history of Denis Menchov's grand tour victories:
* 2005 Vuelta: snags lead in stage one, gives it up for a week, regains it in the first big climb on stage 9, and only surrenders it to Eufemio... er, Roberto Heras in the final week before the controllers give it back to Mencho.
* 2007 Vuelta: snags lead on the first major climb, stage 9, and holds it to Madrid with a mountain stage win and second-place on the last ITT.
* 2009 Giro: snags stage win in first week and... well, TBD. But Menchov is content to make early moves and hold on. If he bests Levi on stage 10 or 12 and gets into pink, they'll have to literally rip the jersey off his back.
Girbecco says: Silence is...pink?
3. Carlos Sastre, Cervelo
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: Comparing him to Menchov... "In both cases, they routinely do NOT win grand tours unless and until it suits their abilities to a T -- but in each case they are capable of sealing the deal when the conditions are right for them. This Giro isn't right for Carlos, ergo he won't win. It's right for Menchov, almost, so we'll see about that."
And now...? Obviously he rode well today but he didn't seek to gain any advantage that he might enjoy on the climbs. Unlike Menchov, but more like Levi, Sastre is all about week three. If he stays close on the Cinque Terre ITT, then he has a clear shot to duplicate his Alpe d'Huez glory on the Block Haus. Nobody's pathway to victory is more obvious. If nothing else, Sastre has proven he's not here to just get in his miles. Among these first three, you could easily call it a toss-up... or even go with the guy who won a Tour.
Girbecco says: Better win now, Carlos. Between the black kit and Alberto Contador, it'll get much hotter in July.
4. Ivan Basso, Liquigas
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "His time trialing has never been spectacular. That said, the last time he rode one in the Giro, he took second (to, ahem, Ullrich), ahead of Marco Pinotti. Was that the real Basso? I guess we will know soon."
And now...? We haven't seen anything surprising: Basso is still terrific in the mountains, at least until the last 100 meters. Maybe slightly surprising is how Liquigas employed the old Postal strategy of trying to grind everyone to dust before the heroic leader saunters away to the win. Not sure how that will work out, except that it won't matter if he doesn't nail the time trial. His whole race hangs in the balance of Stage 12, or a HUUUUGE mountain escape.
Girbecco says: Ivan "I must break you" vs. three-headed Rocky "Go for it!" We know how this ends, right?
5. Danilo Di Luca, Lpr
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "if Di Luca somehow hangs with the guys on the top of the leaderboard over the first half of the course (say, through some time bonuses and end-of-stage attacks), the third-week climbs are both at lower altitude, starting at sea level, and consist of home turf (Block Haus) or a good grade for him (Vesuvio). If the climbing on the Cinque Terre stage keeps him in contention, with his clever team it just might all come together for Il Killer."
And now...? Maglia rosa for the moment, at least until Columbia start plotting some shenanigans. Still, end-of-stage time bonuses are surely God's gift to the Killer of Spoltore (a very weird turn of phrase). I've already talked about his chances of hanging on by his fingernails in the final week, just like he managed to do two years ago. No way do you rule that out, after he ascended so well today. The problem for Di Luca, however, lies in not one but both time trials. Last time he had a hill climb and a short ITT before Milan to overcome. This time, the Cinque Terre is the bigger test, but even if it comes down to Rome, he won't have the luxury of battling an aging Simoni to hold his lead; instead it'll be a guy like Levi or Menchov, who could eat his lunch.
Girbecco says: Kill or be killed, one week from today!
6. Michael Rogers, Columbia
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: [crickets...] Hey, I did predict Sivtsov would drop time at the "Alpe di Suisi."
And now...? Is he having fun yet? Dismayed over missing pink-for-a-day thanks to Damiano Cunego's pedals, Rogers conceded insignificant time gaps to the bigger names today and now sits in a strong position, third overall behind Tommy Lov and the Killer. Given his history of injuries and bad luck, it's almost impossible to predict how he'll fare over the remaining mega-tests (stages 10, 12, 17). If the Pais Vasco is any guide, the answer is meh-solid!-meh, which probably doesn't get it done. This is a three week race, his first in two years, but he's got another month of training in his legs since the PV.
Girbecco says: I'd have predicted him third overall after the Dolomites, if anyone had asked me before.
7. David Arroyo, Caisse d'Epargne
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "Stealth. Steady performance. Not a bad course for him. There aren't many riders in the race who do everything well.... He has to be considered a longshot for a podium, even though he's almost certain to be hanging around. Just doesn't stand out enough in the climbs."
And now...? Nothing screams excitement like "almost certain to be hanging around." Arroyo is the best of the GC guys whom nobody will ever mention. Eighth today, tenth overall... as the war of attrition progresses, he'll move up some. Often the Giro is contested by stars, which would be a good situation for him. But this year there are too many superstars, just a cut above.
Girbecco says: What does he need to do to get attention, retire for three years and smash his collarbone?
8. Thomas Lövkvist, Columbia
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: [crickets]
And now...? I'm struggling with when to pull the trigger on my Holy-Shit-Lövkvist-is-the-real-deal post. Am still holding off... Tommy Lov just hasn't had the responsibility in a grand tour before. Even Bob Stapleton is calling him a "future" champion. Still, two and a half weeks from now is technically the future. And his last two grand tour ITTs were last July, when he ran 9th and 10th. Let's just say the maglia bianca may have found a permanent home.
Girbecco says: Maglia bianca is a lock! He's the only guy in the top ten who doesn't have Duran Duran on his iPod. ABBA though.... [shudder]
9. Gilberto Simoni, Serramenti
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "He's done it before.... A while ago, over inferior competition and courses featuring more extreme climbing."
And now...? And the band played on. They say your wins are measurable by who you beat? Well, he has never won a Giro over top-flite competition, so there's no reason to contemplate anything changing now.
Girbecco says: Gibo Simoni's career slogan -- "Kicking Stefano Garzelli's ass since 2001!"
10. Franco Pellizotti, Liquigas
PdC Pre-Race Nugget: "Not a great enough climber to make it up on the Block Haus. Then there's his illustrious teammate. I suspect Pellizotti is a true plan B, protected until the final selection, then he works for Ivan."
And now...? ... if he can. Luckily for Basso, Szmyd had already ripped everyone's legs off to the extent it was possible to do so. Unluckily for Basso, that included Pellizotti. Still, ol' Save Ferris is only 1.27 down and far too threatening to allow up the road. He is still very valuable to Roberto Amadio as a card to play, when everyone is parked on Basso's wheel.
Girbecco says: All for one now, I guess. Nobody likes a quarterback controversy anyway.
Adios: Damiano Cunego (did anyone not see this coming?), Stefano Garzelli (ditto), Mauricio Soler (wrist injury sounds bad), Michele Scarponi/Jani Brajkovic/ Kanstantin Sivtsov (what's gonna work? TEAM work!), Dave Zabriskie (bad times), and of course Lance Armstrong (please, no more mechanicals b.s.). The only real "news" here is seeing Cunego killed off by his former teammate Szmyd. That's cycling.
Coming next poll? Laurens Ten Dam, Francesco Masciarelli, and whoever Astana's #2 is.
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69 comments
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Comments
"pre race nugget"
oh not cool Chris, just because you have Levi at one doesn’t make up for that clear Levi height insult you through in there.
In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 6:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Astana
Anyone heard anything other than the velonews article on which jersey Levi & co. will be wearing in the next couple of days?
by ant1 on May 13, 2009 6:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
here is a sneak preview

In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm gunning for Basso but I just can't see anyone beating Levi.
He’ll put time into the favourites in the big TT and hang on in the mountains. I have nothing against Levi per se, but I’m a little concerned that this Giro may become predictable…. I hope I’m wrong and that Basso flies away up a mountain and gets enough time for his rather mediocre time trialling not to matter, but I really can’t see where he’s going to put time into Levi at this point in time, no matter how strongly he climbs. Leaky’s TTT effort has not helped his cause a great deal. Maybe I’m just having a pessimistic evening.
by Albertina on May 13, 2009 6:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Very entertaining that Girbecco is. I was having a crap day and then he pipes up
with his cute little comments and I am all laughs and smiles. Thanks Girbecco (and Chris) for funning up a wednesday afternoon.
by ZoeRochelle on May 13, 2009 6:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Chris Horner...
…super domestique.
Garmin. One Bradley Wiggins away from last place team.
by phantom_51 on May 13, 2009 7:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Garmin
I think this Giro has turned into a nightmare for Garmin. I hope Farrar can hang with Cav and Petacchi for some sprints.
Alpe Du Huez is my favorite place on earth!!!!!!
by mrmorales on May 13, 2009 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well done
Girbecco elicited multiple chortles here
"The road is our agony, but also our daily bread; and at night, when it is deserted and the moon glistens on the asphalt, the ridiculous dreams of racers like us pass up and down it."
--Dino Buzzati
by nrs5000 on May 13, 2009 7:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
i would love
your sastre winning up block haus scenario to come true chris. but i think he’ll lose over a minute to levi in the two time trials, and it would have to be some kick to drop EVERYONE on the climb, although i can see him distancing levi. i just can’t see him winning that stage alone..
basso is curious. i think it’s now clear that he can’t just power on the front and hope to shell people out one by one, if nothing else, today showed that there are 6/7 guys who can live with each other on the long, arduous ascents. i would be stunned if he beat levi in the TT, so a podium/top 5 would be his most realistic hope.
standout mountain performances so far- wiggins in the last two days, szmyd today was, as i said in the thread, a beast, and horner…what an engine.
'you want to say your feelings and if you let your emotions pour out it shows how much the sport means to you. and cycling means everything to me.'- mark cavendish
by benrazor on May 13, 2009 7:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If Basso can do what he did today...
in the third week, then I am sure it would have only been a 4 guy bunch…The key is that he has to be able to rip legs of when the third week comes.
by Vlaanderen90 on May 13, 2009 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, agreed..
'you want to say your feelings and if you let your emotions pour out it shows how much the sport means to you. and cycling means everything to me.'- mark cavendish
by benrazor on May 13, 2009 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
have to love people's logic
when Bert beat Wiggins in a prologue, quite a few came out shouting he must be doped.
then Wiggins climbed to within 2 mins of Menchov/Basso/Sastre on Siusi, great performance!
by the way, I’m not suggesting Wiggins is doing anything….just find it amusing….
by rbjhan on May 13, 2009 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I read about wigs wanting to finish high in GC before Giro and thought...
…hmmm.
chalked it up to just talking since no past result point to him staying with elite on bigger climbs.
Granted, I just dismissed him as specialist but he certainly made my head do that dog sideways thing yesterday and again today trying to read race numbers on final climb.
amusing but skeptical.
hate this – every time I see something special, the minds wanders…
by humbug1 on May 14, 2009 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i take your point
but wiggins is visibly carrying less weight (there was the photo of his legs at P-R), was constantly hanging on the back of that elite group, and was dropped before the real attacks started.
i agree that it’s perhaps amusing, but i think the two performances were different in a lot of ways.
'you want to say your feelings and if you let your emotions pour out it shows how much the sport means to you. and cycling means everything to me.'- mark cavendish
by benrazor on May 14, 2009 6:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fun read.
My biggest disagreement is with basso being IMO too high. I’d put him 7th because he basically pulled out the big guns, going Postal these last two days and gained nothing. (I don’t count shedding the likes of Cunego as anything.) If there’s one Bad Thing To Do in a Grand Tour is make a move and not benefit from it.
So now Basso basically has to have a huge mountain escape and I just don’t see him escaping from all these guys. Too much quality ahead of him. He’s not a better climber anymore.
Oh and Lovkvist. Higher -for now. Write your post on him. He’s Columbia’s #1 for the Grand Tours for the next 5+ years. Andy Schleck better up his time trial practice…
by ursula on May 13, 2009 8:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
well i'd hold off on saying Lovkist will be the biggest challenge to Schleck and Bert the next 5 years
if he is still up there late in the 3rd week, then that’s the time to start talking about big things from him. But it’s only been 5 days and one serious day of climbing, and as has happened many times, the leaders jersey may have given him the extra boost today. I think he will be a very solid rider and have said that it’s time for him to have his breakout GT(I did after Eroica and got laughed at by Jens…we’ll see who’s laughing soon) but i have to see that 3 week consistency first.
In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Me too
on the caution. Tommy Lov says he had to dig deep today, so I’m sorta wondering what that means for some of the upcoming climbs. This wasn’t off-the-charts hard.
Abruzziamo!
by Chris... on May 13, 2009 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I know. caution.
Still it’s fun to be enthusiastic. And today wasn’t that hard. OTOH, he’s out of pink, which in his case is good as no one will be gunning for him. Plus he has several easier days to recover a bit and let his body get into this three week rhythm.
by ursula on May 13, 2009 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know it is a tough Giro
when two 240km stages are seen as “easier days”.
In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'm hoping
he (and columbia) can hide his potential to finish highly behind the idea that rogers is still their main man for GC, if that makes any sense? i know he said he dug deep, but for much of today he looked super-calm to me.
'you want to say your feelings and if you let your emotions pour out it shows how much the sport means to you. and cycling means everything to me.'- mark cavendish
by benrazor on May 13, 2009 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
True dat
After having spent many a day in july with my eyes three inches from the TV trying to make out how Tommy is doing on the climbs I think I’m a fair judge of how he looks.
Firstly , he had some maglia-mojo helping him yesterday. He was at least in one gear too high at times, grinding to stay with the elite. I’m not saying this is necessarily a bad thing. In the past he has perhaps been overdoing the “riding within his limits”-thing. At some point you have to push the limits to find out where they really are(I think this is what Andy S experienced in the Giro 07 and that was an eyeopener for him).
Second, yesterday was ONE big climb. Multiple bigguns is what has screwed Tommy in the past. Straining to keep up on the first one(s) followed by breakdown on the decisive climb.
Third, he says himself he has problem with accumulated fatigue over weeks. I’ve been sceptical before of this explanation given his strong second Tour TTs (among other things) but it’s hard to argue with the man’s own words.
Fourth, I hope this is all BS and he has taken a new massive step and overcome all of the above. Podium, baby!
by Jens on May 14, 2009 1:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope Rogers can hang long term.
JV really dropped the ball, with the squad he sent to the Giro. Lose the TTT and have no one capable of top 20 (now that CVV’s out). He should have sent Trent Lowe and Daniel Martin to see what happens.
by brunopitton on May 13, 2009 8:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nugget, Mick, Tommy the Swede, Carlos, The Russian
Sounds like a tough gang has infiltrated the Giro this year. These guys loiter around the corner, smiling and shit. Then as soon as you duck down a time trial alley they hit your head with a sap (if you’re lucky) and steal all your money. You wake up in June wondering what happened.
by ursula on May 13, 2009 8:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
On that last part
I certainly plan to wake up in June wondering what happened.
Abruzziamo!
by Chris... on May 13, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and don't forget
Il Killer
"The road is our agony, but also our daily bread; and at night, when it is deserted and the moon glistens on the asphalt, the ridiculous dreams of racers like us pass up and down it."
--Dino Buzzati
by nrs5000 on May 14, 2009 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mr Pink, Mr White...
But Mr Ciclamina wasn’t in Reservoir Dogs.
Bork, bork, bork!
by TheFigurehead on May 14, 2009 3:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mr. Ciclamina
was some other guy on some other job.
O lactic acid, where is thy sting?
by itswells on May 14, 2009 8:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure, that's easy for you to say - you've got a cool name.
How about if you and me switch? I’ll be Mr. Ciclamina.
"I didn't look for him and I didn't see him. If you base your race on another rider, most of the time you lose."
Tom Boonen
by Drew... on May 14, 2009 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK, fine. I'm above this.
I’m Mr. Ciclamina. Let’s move on.
O lactic acid, where is thy sting?
by itswells on May 14, 2009 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We'll move on when I say we move on.
I’m sorry fellas, I don’t mean to holler at you.
"I didn't look for him and I didn't see him. If you base your race on another rider, most of the time you lose."
Tom Boonen
by Drew... on May 14, 2009 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
DiLuca
One thought (yes, I have them sometimes) about maximizing his chances is that if he can just take a few seconds every stage on at least one of these guys, preferably two or more.
For instance tomorrow, not a big GC day and one where a break might well stay away. If Killer can attack the last 100 meters, get a few more seconds on his rivals. Then try it again the next day. Not easy, sure, and most of his rivals will get wise after one stage of this, but it’s another way to fend off those TT maniacs howling at his door. he needs all the time that he can get.
by ursula on May 13, 2009 8:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He and his team would be dead if he goes for it every day
a few stages he could get seconds though are. Stage 8 he could attack on the Bergamo climb and gain some seconds, up San Luca he could well finish 30 seconds ahead of a non punchy rider like Levi, he could win a stage out of a small group sprint in stage 15, he could do the same tomorrow but I think his team would be better off saving some energy.
In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 8:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well if Liquigas keeps shutting it down and allows Di Luca to stay in the group...
he can outsprint most of the people, which means some very valuable seconds.
by Vlaanderen90 on May 13, 2009 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Leaky wont do anything the next few days
and I forgot stage 10, another real sharp and short climb at the end which suits Di Luca’s abilities very well. it still all comes down to the TT and the big mountain stages(16,17)
In Chauncey we trust!
by Phil H. on May 13, 2009 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
let me put it this way
I’m not talking about his team leading every day. In fact they should let most every break go. I’m just talking about the very end of the stage, a 100 meter or so sprint. That won’t affect his team one bit.
Killer needs to be unpredictable. Waiting for a couple obvious stages is not enough.
by ursula on May 13, 2009 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe not tomorrow
But I think Diluca tries on the stage to Bergamo. He might also be able to play one of those ally-oop tactics on the Sestrière stage – where some LPR dudes go in an early break – and Diluca bounds up the road to meet them. Really, that is the only way anyone is going to get time on that Sestrière stage – the finish is like 40 km of descending or something stupid from the finish. There is that other climb at 10 km to go, so perhaps someone – er, like Diluca – will try there.
Agree that he has to play the attacker and accumulate small amounts of time along the way. This course has a lot of opportunities for that – so I wouldn’t rule it out, really.
There are some silly hard stages after Cinque Terre, that aren’t really mountains, but have wee temptations built in for the attacking riders. Interesting to see how those stages are played, actually.
by gavia on May 13, 2009 9:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
da alley-oop
so loved that last year.
Abruzziamo!
by Chris... on May 13, 2009 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
one of my favorite moves in cycling ;-)
by gavia on May 13, 2009 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good times.
Killer makes this race a better thing.
by ursula on May 13, 2009 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lovkist will have the inevitable bad day and lose many many minutes...
He should just be content if he gets a top 10…Basso, Menchov, and Levi are the ones that will be controlling in the 3rd week because they all have superb mountain lieutenants and can time trial over 61.7k. It is still way too early to discount Basso. If Szmyd, and IF, he can keep up his “killer” ways then he will probably be the most important piece to Basso’s game if he wants to win.
Though I think something could be said about Seeldrayers in the “others” category…He won’t be battling for any wins but he is doing a hell of a job without really any outstanding mountain teammates.
by Vlaanderen90 on May 13, 2009 8:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Impressed with Seeldrayers
That was a nice ride today.
by gavia on May 13, 2009 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
bcs?
I’m really dumb right now, so help me out…
by gavia on May 13, 2009 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
got it.
Seeldrayers and Van den Broeke both.
by gavia on May 13, 2009 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But the best Dutchman is ahead of him in GC
Laurens ten Dam might still go far. He said in an interview five years ago he was king of the carnival crits. Now he is hanging with the cool kids in the mountains. Hard to say were his ceiling lies.
"Non-cyclists. The emptiness of those lives shocks me." Tim Krabbé
by Lopex on May 14, 2009 3:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know it's not April anymore
when the dutch and the belgians are doing battle for 14:th place.
by Jens on May 14, 2009 3:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
levi and menchov were the only guys with teammates inside 300m
granted Pellizotti was only another 25 sec behind Ten Dam and the leeky’s did set the pace, but I could see basso getting isolated more than this. when Postal did this they destroyed everyone (Roberto – slow down) Leeky just hasn’t done that.
by humbug1 on May 13, 2009 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heart me some Girbecco
That little dude is funny.
Mighty intrigued with how Diluca is riding, as I think this is a course that might suit his way of winning.
Good times, for sure.
by gavia on May 13, 2009 8:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
best Giro in years?
We shall see, but there are a lot of highly interesting characters around. Usually we get the big sluggers… and blowouts. Or a close, fun race featuring a long list of Italians who can’t survive the first climb of Le Tour. Many kudos so far to the organizers for choosing a course that keeps a lot of guys in the game, while still promising action.
Abruzziamo!
by Chris... on May 13, 2009 9:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
lol, too soon to call it that
But it’s definitely fun so far. This is a very interesting course, definitley out of the ordinary way of grand tour courses.
No complaints here at the Shack :-)
by gavia on May 13, 2009 9:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
now who on earth
would have ever predicted a race that’s shaping up to be a duel between those masters of charisma . . . Levi Leipheimer and Dennis Menchov as being the best Giro in years???
(tongue-in-cheek), but I really am loving that Chris Horner is finally getting to unleash his quote-machine on the big stage.
VN reports that the team car bolloxed his attack at 600 meters to go.
by R Mc on May 13, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
saw that in VN
about a possible Horner attack, but I think it was more of a dream than anything else, considering the following quote from Horner in his diary entry today:
As we entered the final few hundred meters, Denis Menchov gave an incredible acceleration that sent blood through my eyeballs, and the taste in my mouth.
Happier to see the finish line than you can possibly imagine, I almost fell off my bike and passed out when I crossed it.
Doesn’t sound to me like Horner seriously considered (or had any chance of success) at an attack …
by guidemd on May 13, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Last years TDF
I always wonder “what If” when I remember that attack that Menchov put in on that one climb where he wiped out on the wet turn. I always think that could have changed the whole outlook of the ’08 Tour.
by sminer on May 13, 2009 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of Horner, I think Girbecco should have given him a top 10 nod.
by sminer on May 13, 2009 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
eh?
after the ITT maybe, but til then he’s the world’s coolest domestique.
Abruzziamo!
by Chris... on May 14, 2009 12:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope Horner is given the green light to go for it in the ITT
I think the team is strong enough to allow Horner this freedom and he could possibly hold onto a top 10 or better.
by sminer on May 14, 2009 8:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seems weird...
That someone riding as well as diLuca is should be rated fifth… until you take another look at the four guys ahead of him.
And somehow I just can’t get myself to believe in Rogers… or to write Lovkvist off. I’d flip their rankings, just cause Lovkvist is still an unknown quantity.
by tgartner on May 14, 2009 1:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I dare anyone to find better race analysis than this!
Good stuff Chris. And “Kicking Stefano Garzelli’s ass since 2001!” !? Girbecco, I may learn to love you yet…..
The conclusion I suppose is what we knew before. Cinqueterre will be the great divider, the maker of the race. When the dust settles there, we will know who needs to do what in order to win. If we are unlucky the race may be all but over after that TT but I doubt it. And predicting who can do that kind of TT looks as impossible today as it did a week ago.
by Jens on May 14, 2009 2:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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