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Around SBN: The End Of Sabanball: Details, Barbarians, And Precision

SprintWatch 2010: Power Poll!

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It's dreadfully early and most of what passes for bike racing this time of year is a mix of training and sending a handful of guys after whatever prize is being dangled before the peloton. But for better or worse this is a time of the "season" that features the sprinting crowd, so let's open the Power Polling! Consider this a baseline effort. Also, the criteria is wins -- whether you get them on your own or otherwise. Ergo, this is as much a team award as not.

1. Mark Cavendish, HTC-Columbia

The Manx Missile will unwrap his 2010 season a week from Sunday in the Ruta del Sol, a slight delay thanks to a tooth problem. This is an ominous start, and the significance of this development should not be taken too lightly. Teeth issues have provided some of the more famous episodes in cycling. There was the time when Maurice Garin nearly lost the inaugural Tour de France when he stopped to have a painful molar pulled, reducing his advantage on the pivotal Nice-Roubaix stage to just under four hours. This resulted in Henri Desgranges incorporating a rule that riders must tend to their own teeth during the Tour, and can only use the tooth instruments that they themselves carried from the start of the stage. Toothaches have been blamed for various missed opportunities: Alfredo Binda's attempt at a 42nd Giro stage; Raymond Poulidor's failure to react to another attack by the well-novacained Anquetil; Hennie Kuiper's failed hour record attemtp; and so on. British riders were barred from the Tour entirely until 1961 when the country's dentistry standards first went into effect. And don't get me started on that episode when a fan bit off a portion of Eddy Merckx's ear in the 1975 Tour, scuttling his dreams of another Yellow Jersey.

Hey, someone has to inject a little suspense into this ranking.

2. Andre Greipel, HTC-Columbia

When people gesture toward Greipel or Cavendish and say "I'll have what he's having," they mean Erik Zabel. How long would I have to spend with Zabel before I too could win 70% of my starts? An hour? A week? A season? I don't know. But I am willing to do what it takes to find out.

3. Tyler Farrar, Garmin-Transitions

Ordinarily I would indulge my blatant pro-Farrar bias by touting the glorious new sprint train the American star will enjoy starting... any moment now, and putting him above Greipel. But results matter, and in Australia the Greipel of 2010 looked as crafty, zippy and well-looked-after as the 2009 version. Farrar, meanwhile, is oh-for-two in making it to the front of the race in Qatar. Presumably this means nothing; both sprint stages have had their share of chaos. But to put my speculations ahead of Greipel's actual results wouldn't be right.

4. Alessandro Petacchi, Lampre

Speaking of results, Ale-Jet opened his season in a new kit -- that of the supposedly still existent Lampre squadra -- with a pair of stage wins in the Giro di Reggio Calabria and a win in the GP Costa degli Etruschi. Now, chasing Oscar Gatto and Francisco "Windy" Ventoso around Italy is mere resume-padding for the former Milano-Sanremo winner and owner of a Dead-Sea-Scrolls-like list of grand tour stages. Fans can be forgiven for wondering where the hell he is at times, but this has more to do with his off-bike choices (that extra inhaler dose; hitching his star to the Lpr Brakes wagon; etc.) than anything he's done in a race. If Lampre can hang on to legitimacy a bit longer than Petacchi's last two employers, he should be right back in the mix.

5. Borut Bozic, Vacansoleil

OK, I might be getting ahead of myself here, but let's give Bozic props for a couple wins in l'Etoile de Besseges last week, along with a second place. The Slovenian finished up strongly last year with a third at Paris-Tours, so it's possible he's making the leap.

6. Tom Boonen, Quick Step

On further review, his offseason chatter on maybe focusing on time trialing and forgetting about the sprint game may go down as one of the more artful sandbags in some time. Earlier today, Boonen's computer registered 72.8 kph (45.24 mph) in his victorious sprint win in Qatar. I have found a couple files of Cavendish clocking in at 48mph, but every race has its own circumstances. Bottom line, Boonen supposedly looked very, very fast today. If he's on a mission to rescue his good name this year, look out.

7. Robbie McEwen, Katusha

The old master still has some tricks up his sleeve. Like Petacchi, don't get too distracted by a couple lost seasons. At his best, as he was in winning the Trofeo Mallorca Sunday, he's got a chance to win, and he doesn't pass up many of them.

8. Greg Henderson, Team Sky

Plan C at Columbia last year? Henderson was liberated from Stapleton's awesome depth chart by the Team Sky staff of pira... uh, directors, a positive change when he was dropped off at the front of the Tour Down Under on two occasions, swapping wins with teammate Chris Sutton. Honestly, I can't say where this is going. One possibility is that he'll wind up in service of Edvald Boasson Hagen when the real racing starts, but at least he's been given a chance to get his name out there.

9. Oscar Freire, Rabobank

By now this list looks like a reunion of the 2006 Vuelta or something. But Freire is another big name coming off a small year. Was his win yesterday in the Trofeo Cala Millor a sign of the reawakening? Or at least an indication that he may be fit again? Sure would make things interesting if that were so.

10. Thor Hushovd, Cervelo Test Team

He too has not opened an account for 2010, except in the annals of style, wherein no less than the King of Style declared that Thor "bleeds style." Somewhere in Sweden, heads were shaking. Anyway, Hushovd has done so well as a classics guy and all-round points winner that it begs the question whether "sprinter" is too banal a description. Same goes for his teammate Haussler. But when a pack rumbles home, one of them has to wind it up. I'll go with Thor, out of habit.

TBD: Allan Davis, Graeme Brown, Heinrich Haussler, Daniele Bennati, Wouter Weylandt, Gerald Ciolek, Danilo Napolitano, Oscar Gatto, Gert Steegmans, Yahueni Hutarovic, Romain Feillu, Kenny De Haes, Baden Cooke...

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How can I not have Cav on my team?

Right. One rider over 24 points…Still looking forward to seeing what he’s going to do this year, though.

Sky sprinters are going to be short a race—just read that the team isn’t going to the ToC. They’d rather race in Europe in hopes of getting a Tour invite, apparently.

I see waaaaAAAAAaaaay too many barbed wires on calves and arms. They look dumb no matter where they are. Unless they’re on the side of the road blocking cattle.--the King of Style

by majope on Feb 9, 2010 6:01 PM EST reply actions  

Hm

I thought that’s what they paid Wiggins for, a Tour invite.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 9, 2010 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

It helps

not sure it gets you there. But if a whole country perks up upon his invitation, then yeah, it’s on.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 9, 2010 7:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Okay then.

And I just read that CN article about Sky not being at ToC. I found it kinda misleading with the important part-they weren’t invited to ToC, buried far down. As there are only 8 PT teams at ToC, odds were they were never gonna be there anyway.

by ursula on Feb 9, 2010 7:55 PM EST up reply actions  

if only

it had been zombie maurice garin with the painful molar. would have been a lot quicker.

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by Ben Shave on Feb 9, 2010 6:15 PM EST reply actions  

yes

and he could have used any of several tools already on hand.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 9, 2010 6:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Tooth pain

I have broken (numerous) bones, dislocated shoulders, etc. Nothing was as unignoreable as real tooth pain. Totally and completely understand why that would stop him.

by Sui Juris on Feb 9, 2010 6:31 PM EST reply actions  

yeah,

when i was a children, a used to cry a lot…:P

by semprenaroda on Feb 9, 2010 6:49 PM EST up reply actions  

wait

are you still upset to find out that Joao is American?

by Sui Juris on Feb 9, 2010 6:55 PM EST up reply actions  

And also

1. Mark Cavendish, HTC-Columbia
~
Gonna be so hard to pass him up on VDS. Guaranteed dominance until it’s not.

2. Andre Greipel, HTC-Columbia
~
Big Greipel fan, here. But this is going to be the highest he’s ranked all year, is my bet. He’s king of the B sprints. His A race sprinting isn’t at all clear, to me.

4. Alessandro Petacchi, Lampre
~
Ale-jet, it seems so long ago . . .

6. Tom Boonen, Quick Step
~
It would be nice to have something about Boonen that isn’t a punch line. I wouldn’t wager on it.

8. Greg Henderson, Team Sky
~
As noted, newly motivated by his moving up in the team ranks. I suspect he’ll be underrated as a threat, and reap those benefits. A couple of times, at least.

9. Oscar Freire, Rabobank
~
Oscartio! (just in case the goat boy didn’t make this thread)

10. Thor Hushovd, Cervelo Test Team
~
Here’s hoping. But I think we’ve seen a slow wind down from him in the pure sprint power arena. The green jerseys are already hung. Would be totally stoked to see him aim at the spring classics, perhaps snatching a P-R if he can avoid the barriers. In fact, I’d go apeshit happy if that happened.

TBD: Heinrich Haussler
~
Won’t bring nearly the joy he did last year, I think.

Daniele Bennati,
~
Is he still racing? Really?

Gerald Ciolek
~
How long does a clavicle take to heal, again?

by Sui Juris on Feb 9, 2010 6:41 PM EST reply actions  

I don't have much to say about him, yet.

He was an excellent bridesmaid last year, obviously. And I’d love to see him be the reason that Cav is not longer the dominant force that he is (hmm, maybe that’s the interesting VDS bet to take). But I truly haven’t the first clue as to whether that will happen or not.

by Sui Juris on Feb 9, 2010 6:59 PM EST up reply actions  

That's what speculation is for

If opinions were limited to people with clues…. damn wouldn’t that be nice. Dismissing that insight, Garmin looks to have increased their support for Tyler and HTC seems to have lost a bit in their support of Cav. Whether or not this actually matters remains to be seen. But it at least looks like Tyler should have a better shot at it this year.

I was actually thinking that Ciolek was going to bouce back this year in a big way, but that’s probably the booze talking. Milram is just cursed.

"Some people are like slinkies - not really good for anything but they bring a smile to your face when pushed down the stairs."

by jsallee00 on Feb 9, 2010 7:22 PM EST up reply actions  

i'm a little skeptical too

I think he is a good sprinter, but his power isn’t the same of Greipel, Cavendish, Ciolek..I think he is very good in positioning and follow the right wheel (last year in TdF, there was only one!), therefore his many 2th and 3rd places…
But then i think this year he should has a better team,.

by semprenaroda on Feb 9, 2010 7:23 PM EST up reply actions  

totally stoked, ha!

since when are you from cali?

ciolek? depends on how bad. they’ll decide once he gets back to germany whether he needs surgery. 4 to 6, obvy, though he might do it sooner. still can’t believe he’s only 23, it seems like he’s been around forever, already.

by Jen See on Feb 9, 2010 8:09 PM EST up reply actions  

for sure

crazy how early he went pro.

by Jen See on Feb 9, 2010 8:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Huh

I’d never realized that.

Hmm. Maybe has me revamping expectations. I thought he was much older.

by Sui Juris on Feb 9, 2010 9:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep

It’s easy to forget how young he is. I think he has some big wins in him yet, but he still needs a bit of time.

by Jen See on Feb 10, 2010 11:35 AM EST up reply actions  

+ totally agreed

Never realized he was so young.

by Ed K on Feb 11, 2010 1:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Two months

says Sporza.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 8:27 PM EST up reply actions  

two months?!

eh, 6 weeks tops. can’t trust those belgians anyway.

by Jen See on Feb 10, 2010 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

He broke not only his clavicle but also a bone in the base of his hand. And shoulder, or was that Cozza or someone else still? Anyway, they might figure: 4 to heal enough for base training outside, 2 more for proper healing, 2 more to the next race for more specific training.

by tedvdw on Feb 10, 2010 8:47 PM EST up reply actions  

not sure

The carnage has been quite extensive at Qatar. Sheesh kids, stay on the bikes.

Eh, yeah, 8 weeks is probably right.

by Jen See on Feb 10, 2010 9:54 PM EST up reply actions  

That, and

early season nerves. Also, there were crosswinds. Always a lot of crashes in these early season races.

by Jen See on Feb 11, 2010 2:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I am very tempted to do a 1-2 combo with Cav and Greipel.

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 9, 2010 11:06 PM EST up reply actions  

The only problem with that

Is a possible drought for Cav early on. If he doesn’t get to Holy week with a major win or two, watch out for Greipel to become lead out man number one to the Manx missile! HTC has already started to grip a little tight saying they might make Greipel a part of the Cav TDF train.

My guess is that they are either frightened by Garmin or they understand that Quality wins do more good for sponsors than pure quantity. A drought for Cav spells misery for Greipel.

And by drought I mean No MSR or GW with only 0-1 TA sprints. (expected to good for everyone else but a drought for Cav)

by bought with blood on Feb 10, 2010 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Chris...

did you mess up with Hushovd actually being from Norway and not from Sweden? Or was there a joke behind it that I missed?

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 9, 2010 8:38 PM EST reply actions  

the latter...

"Some people are like slinkies - not really good for anything but they bring a smile to your face when pushed down the stairs."

by jsallee00 on Feb 9, 2010 8:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks.

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 9, 2010 9:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Sadly

Jens, our southern Swede, wasn’t around to say unnecessarily mean things about Norwegians today.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 9, 2010 9:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Which of course I did on purpose...

…or not because I’m an idiot, whatever I’m going with on purpose.

March 14, 2010: The great one returns!

by Phil H. on Feb 11, 2010 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Petacchi could have a shot at MSR if it stays in a sprint this year...

He seems to be on good form for the spring so far and if Hondo is on good form like he has been of late, giving stellar leadouts, then it should be interesting to see how the class of ’74(They were born one day apart, Jan. 3 for Petacchi and 4th for Hondo) does against the youngsters.

by Vlaanderen90 on Feb 9, 2010 8:44 PM EST reply actions  

Teams announced for Milano- San Remo and Tirreno-Adriatico

Tirreno-Adriatico:
Acqua & Sapone-Mokambo
AG2R La Mondiale
Androni-Diquigiovanni
Astana
BMC
Caisse d’Epargne
Cervélo Test Team
Colnago-CSF Inox
Euskaltel-Euskadi
Francaise Des Jeux
Garmin-Transitions
ISD-Neri
Lampre-Farnese Vini
Liquigas-Doimo
Omega Pharma-Lotto
Quick Step
Rabobank
Sky Professional Cycling Team
Team HTC-Columbia
Team Katusha
Team Milram
Team Saxo Bank

Milano- San Remo:
Acqua & Sapone-Mokambo
AG2R La Mondiale
Androni-Diquigiovanni
Astana
Bbox Bouygues Telecom
BMC
Caisse d’Epargne
Carmiooro-NGC
Cervélo Test Team
Colnago-CSF Inox
Euskaltel-Euskadi
Francaise Des Jeux
Garmin-Transition
ISD-Neri
Lampre-Farnese Vini
Liquigas-Doimo
Omega Pharma-Lotto
Quick Step
Rabobank
Sky Professional Cycling Team
Team HTC-Columbia
Team Katusha
Team Milram
Team RadioShack
Team Saxo Bank

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 9, 2010 10:56 PM EST reply actions  

Personally I am interested to see what Allan Davis does this year. Does he have enough support on

Astana, or will they forget their bikes before the race and Davis won’t be able to race? Or will the change in teams do him well.

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 9, 2010 11:03 PM EST reply actions  

meh

he’s B-list. Although I will overlook his TdU, after the hectic winter.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 12:47 AM EST up reply actions  

More so than Petacchi, McEwen, or Henderson?

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 10, 2010 2:26 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree that he's a very different style of sprinter from Petacchi

 and a style that wins less often, but …

He finished on the MSR podium with bugger all help. He never really had a proper shot with Quick-step (they should never have picked Boonen for the Tour). True it is that Astana won’t be the team to give him the help he needs, of course, but as far as talent goes, he has plenty. In the right race…

by Drongo on Feb 10, 2010 7:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Petacchi

NINE stage wins in a single Giro! He’s in a different category, although he’s aging.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

That is what I was trying to point out.

In his prim Petacchi was the man. However at age 36, I’m nt sure I would put him in a A-list category. While he can win some smaller Italian races, I’m just not sure he can keep up with the new group of young sprinters. Does he still have the turbo that is required nowadays?

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 10, 2010 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

he gave cav

a few worries in the giro last year. ale-jet is still above the guys you mentioned above, imo.

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by Ben Shave on Feb 10, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

too many aboves

it’s been a long day

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by Ben Shave on Feb 10, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Sheesh, it's been a long day for me

… for a minute there, I got the impression that you were implying that Robbie is ‘B-list’. Yeah, I know! – ridiculous, isn’t it?! Clearly I mis-read that…

by Lou... on Feb 10, 2010 4:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Me?

Nope. I’ve been a big fan at times. Guys like him I will never call B-list, even if they get old and start losing to B-list guys. It’s the wrong word. He’s made it to the very top. B list is more a talent assessment, I’d say.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 11:07 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree overall when looking at his career the guy has been a legend.

But not sure you can consider him an elite sprinter at this point in his career, 2010, when looking for guys to add to the VDS team. That is all that I am thinking.

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 10, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Indeed

This is the difference btw a post like this, where I try to be duly deferential of past performances (i.e. limit the dosage of IMHO), versus the VDS threads, which are 100% opinion and use the past only as predictor of the future.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

If we're talking VDS

then I will smile and nod in response to any line of thought that keeps his cost down ;-)

by Lou... on Feb 10, 2010 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

That's precisely my take on it

No matter what happens from here, he is and will remain ‘legend’.

by Lou... on Feb 10, 2010 9:22 PM EST up reply actions  

No arguments from me..

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on Feb 11, 2010 2:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Are you trying to tell me

that this is not going to be the year of Kenny van Hummel? If so, I refuse to believe you.

by Logy on Feb 10, 2010 1:09 AM EST reply actions  

I am very upset I have no room for Kenny on my VDS team

I was sure he would be there after becoming such a fan last year

by celerity on Feb 10, 2010 1:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Unless you are going to pick him because he is a favorite rider, which you would have done regardless,

I think there are many other riders at 6pts that are better and/or show more upside than van Hummel. Not sure he his the best pick at his price point.

"Let’s plunge ourselves into the roar of time, the whirl of accident; may pain and pleasure, success and failure, shift as they will- it’s only action that can make a man" Faust, Goethe

by Ahillock on Feb 10, 2010 2:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly.

I am trying to pick people I like this year, but I want ones that will get me lots of points too!

by celerity on Feb 10, 2010 4:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Ahem...Koldo Fernandez?

He’s good at coming 3rd. He might come 3rd in some bigger races this year. And he came 2nd the other day, beating a few good chaps! Ok, he’s not going to set the world on fire but I think he is still improving….I’d give him a mention in dispatches ;-)

by Albertina on Feb 10, 2010 4:52 AM EST reply actions  

He’s good at coming 3rd.

Stick that in your backpocket and do some more 20x 1 minute max effort training.

by tedvdw on Feb 10, 2010 6:29 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s good at coming 3rd.

That makes him almost as good as Haussler

"Today I was honked at...I caught up and made a great honking noise back...he caught up and said I'm gonna punch you in the face...I laughed."

~DZ

by Hons on Feb 10, 2010 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

OUCH!

How quickly we turn on the ones we love.

by Ed K on Feb 11, 2010 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

OK

But until the VDS signup closes, you should probably question the motivation behind everything I write here.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 10, 2010 11:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, even the boss can't be trusted right now.

Oh God, I feel so lost and all alone with no one to stand beside me and guide me through this tumultuous time before VDS teams are selected.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Feb 10, 2010 8:51 PM EST up reply actions  

That's what you're taking bribes in this year?

What am I going to do with all this Belgian ale?

I see waaaaAAAAAaaaay too many barbed wires on calves and arms. They look dumb no matter where they are. Unless they’re on the side of the road blocking cattle.--the King of Style

by majope on Feb 10, 2010 10:13 PM EST up reply actions  

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