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Around SBN: SB Nation MMA Rankings for August 2010

MSR Week: Sizing Up the Sprinters

Milano-Sanremo I don't have a great deal to say about Tirreno-Adriatico, since it's a training event and since Gavia won Italy in the custody battle. Except this: is there another stage race in the world where the stages overshadow the overall? Le Due Mari features some really excellent stage battles... and I couldn't care less about Garzelli versus Scarponi. No time trial, smallish climbs (the race's hallmark, really), and again, it's a training race, except to the guys at the head of the field coming into the finishing town. Then it was truly game on.

Which is why today's sprint seemed so important. The sprinting crowd was very much in effect at T-A, and yet there had only been a couple true sprint finishes before today, where a bunch gallop was a virtual lock: long, flat run-in, sprinters getting tired of missing out on the action, seventh day of cold, wet racing which would tend to diminish the mental and physical state of someone looking to try a long solo effort. It was business time.

Now, my shtick (several years running) on Milano-Sanremo is that anyone can win, in a variety of ways. The climbers can attack on the Cipressa or more likely the Poggio. The all-rounders can sneak away on the descent into San Remo. Italy breeds a whole separate class of riders -- climbers who can sprint -- seemingly engineered for this terrain. Then there's the effect of 300km in the legs, which can scramble the conventional wisdom.

But for now, let's put aside the Garzellis and Pozzatos and focus for now on sizing up the sprinting peloton for the main course, La Primavera.

Edvald Boasson Hagen, Sky

Form Indicator: Well, he just dusted Alessandro Petacchi in Italy on a nice, flat run-in. Other than beating Mark Cavendish in the Madison or Shaun White in the halfpipe, I don't know what he has left to prove.

Team: The Silverbacks were in charge today, beating Lampre and Liquigas to the front of the bunch. Surely this made all the difference: Petacchi had to come around (and couldn't), Farrar got boxed in, and I'd have to rewind the tape to figure out where Bennati disappeared to. The lack of a Columbia presence at the front has thrown the pack into chaos, and Sky have as decent a chance to fill the vacuum and establish some order as the next team. Barry, Sutton, Henderson and Flecha (if he's not freelancing) are all cool-handed veterans.

Obstacle: Boasson Hagen hasn't done a 300km race as the leader of a pro team. I'm sure he can survive, as he did last year in service of Cavendish, but will he have the same blinding speed after that distance? Will he manage to fight to the front after the long ride and the Capes and Cipressa and Poggio?

Survey Says? Odds-on favorite right now. By Friday he will have been declared the winner in advance. Eddy is saying he's not as sure. Neither am I.

Carry on...

Star-divide

Alessandro Petacchi, Lampre

Form Indicator: Can't complain, really. He has four wins, though all B-list quality, and only a pair of seconds in T-A, losing to Bennati in stage 3. As a former winner, that may be close enough in the absence of a true, flawless favorite.

Team: Lampre had one guy with him today. There's a lot I don't like about this team, but surely they can get around Liguria just fine, thanks.

Obstacle: He won MSR in 2005, on the heels of three stage wins in T-A. In short, he was on fire. When he has been less than completely on fire, he hasnt' won here.

Survey Says? Top five. Probably no better.

Mark Cavendish, HTC-Columbia

Form Indicator: Dead last today after falling with 8km to go. More distressing, however, has been the fact that he couldn't get to the front of any race. By this time last year he had five wins in his pocket, including the T-A finale. Clearly he's not just super-sandbagging, he is not in shape yet. And all this because of bad teeth. Insert Simpsons joke. You have to wonder if they shouldn't call up Greipel and tell him to haul ass to Milan. Just in case.

Team: They're the industry standard for leadouts, though only if there's someone behind them to actually, you know, be led out.

Obstacle: I don't want to be unfair -- he's been off his bike. Even Lars Boom would look like crap now if he were unable to train. Cav will get there soon and make amends.

Survey Says? Look on the bright side, he needs training miles, right?

Tyler Farrar, Garmin-Transitions

Form Indicator: Like Petacchi, no complaints. He hasn't scored the big win, like last year, so I wouldn't assume either he or his squad are fully confident about their chances. But I am fairly sure that if you asked him how his form is, he would say (truthfully) that he feels fine. Just waiting for things to click.

Team: Not a great week for the Gar-Men. With Dean, Hunter, Maaskant and Van Summeren all on hand, you would think/hope that one of their primary objectives for the week was to fire up the leadout machine. Not that anyone should confuse this with Qatar, but where there were sprints, Farrar was mostly on his own, trying to grab the wheel of whoever had the hot hand. The window is open for Garmin to move up and form their train, but Cavendish will be in shape soon, Columbia will get reorganized, and the window may just slam shut.

Obstacle: Newness. He crashed out last year, in his first participation. Things can only get better, no?

Survey Says? I would be surprised, but not shocked.

Tom Boonen, Quick Step

Form Indicator: The guy is a beast. Boonen has picked his spots judiciously, like a veteran on good form and not looking to squander it. He's got four wins, including the only stage he really contested in Tirreno.

Team: No less professional than the others. He doesn't do big leadouts, but Tosatto and Velo are on hand for that, with Chavanel and Barredo looking vaguely threatening to any team that locks exclusively on Tommeke's wheel.

Obstacle: Not only has the win eluded him, even in his biggest years (2004-06), he hadn't even won a race in Italy before the stage win last Friday. CrAzY, I know. But '06 and '07 were the only years where Boonen contested the finale, and he has a 3rd and 4th to show for it.

Survey Says? My pick to win. Name a monument that is within reach and that he hasn't already won? He'll go all out this time.

Thor Hushovd, Cervelo Test Team

Form Indicator: Good question. Apparently he wasn't feeling well this week. Cervelo really can't buy a break so far this year. "A little sick" might not sound like much, but this race will be won by whoever has snappier legs after nearly 300km. Not by someone battling a virus.

Team: The usual array of hardened vets: Hammond, Klier, Hunt, etc. Least of their problems.

Obstacle: MSR has never been overly kind to Hushovd, with only a pair of thirds over the years, though you would think otherwise. He's a sprinter who can handle his bike and pour on the wattage for long periods of time. The odd climb isn't necessarily death to his chances. I would have to guess that there's never been anything holding him back (when properly fit); just other guys being a shade better.

Survey Says? Forget it. If he's not in perfect health, he's toast.

Daniele Bennati, Liquigas

Form Indicator: Good enough. His win over Petacchi this week should put the doubters to rest, or at least turn the volume down some.

Team: Liquigas were all over the front today at 2km but never got organized. Bennati himself drifted back 70 places. No matter; they have carried a lot of water this week on two fronts. You can't not like this team right now.

Obstacle: Does he believe he can win? Or something like that. There is an inside-baseball story someplace that I don't have on why Daniele Bennati is a great sprinter but doesn't win more.

Survey Says? Meh. Top ten, if it's a sprint.

Oscar Freire, Rabobank

Form Indicator: Unlike his rivals, Freire spent no time in Italy putting his nose into the wind. His DS Frans Maassen called him the "main man" for MSR, and with no indicator of trouble, I would hesitate to argue.

Team: The eternal question: will it all click for Rabo? Well, it has twice before, and this Rabo team, while greener, is long on wattage. Lopex's image of Boom thundering home in leadout for Freire is a compelling one. Whether we will ever see it is another matter.

Obstacle: Nothing. Certainly not the hills, or experience, or his team, or his health. Someone better?

Survey Says? Top three likely.

Matti Breschel, Saxo Bank

Form Indicator: I can't find any indication that there's anything wrong, so I will assume that, despite no intriguing results, Breschel is all ready for Saturday.

Team: Fabian Cancellara is either an ideal teammate or a huge obstacle, depending on whether the 2008 winner has designs of his own on victory. Otherwise, the usual, ultra-professional outfit.

Obstacle: Breschel's history at MSR in no way indicates that he's got a chance to win.

Survey Says? Meh.

Greg Van Avermaet, Omega Pharma

Form Indicator: 110 percent Meh. Not a single top ten this year. He hasn't won a competition of any kind since taking the points prize at the 2008 Vuelta. Meh!

Team: Omega Pharma. What could possibly go wrong?

Obstacle: Phillippe Gilbert, for starters. If it's a big bunch and Gilbert is there, you can be 100% sure that's who the team will work for. I don't think of Gilbert as a sprinter (to the extent you might think that way of Boonen), but after last season Gilbert is under pressure to keep winning.

Survey Says? Nah.

Allan Davis, Astana

Form Indicator: Nothing to speak of. Davis got a late start to the season after his transfer jumble. It shows.

Team: Astana do certain things well, but this isn't one of them.

Obstacle: Too many to count. Except for experience: Davis does have a second and fourth in his last two MSR starts.

Survey Says? If he were more prepared, I would make him a dark horse pick. But I just don't think he's fully on his game yet.

Mattia Gavazzi, Colnago

Form Indicator:  Fifth today. That was actually the first time this week he showed his face in a finale. So, not great.

Team: Colnago. At least they will look good.

Obstacle: First MSR, small team...

Survey Says? Fuggedaboutit.

Francesco Ginanni, Androni Giocayaddayadda

Form Indicator:  Now here's your Conti-level Italian dark horse. He won Trofeo Laigueglia, beating Gavazzi, and is generally a consistent, all round kind of rider. He was also in the mix with the hard men at Monte Paschi, taking 6th. Sorta pushes the definition of a "sprinter" for this column, but I didn't want to ignore all the conti guys.

Team: The guys whose kit looks like an office birthday card. Two Bertolinis, a Bertogliati and a Bertagnolli. Also, Alberto Loddo, who wins the odd sprint. And Scarponi, lurking around looking for his own chance. Not terrible by any means.

Obstacle: I don't know if a young guy who wins smaller races in sprints from smaller fields can possibly navigate a cream-of-the-crop bunch in full gallop.

Survey Says? Nice story, except it won't happen.

William Bonnet, BBox Bouygues Telecom

Form Indicator: Undoubtedly on solid footing, after his win in Paris-Nice... except he took a DNF in the last stage, and I can't figure out why. It's fairly unusual to do so, barring illness or injury, which would take him completely out of contention.

Team: Is this race in France? Mais non. Une grande probleme.

Obstacle: Beyond his health and his team? Can't think of anything.

Survey Says? Miracles do happen.

Today's finale: judge for yourself...

Settima Tappa Tirreno - Adriatico 2010 (via SpazioCiclismo)


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Comments

Display:

Columbia htc misses hincapie

More than they let on.

My dark horse pick? Ballan.

by R Mc on Mar 16, 2010 6:14 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Valverde is entered

Moo

by Willj on Mar 16, 2010 6:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Honestly, this race blows my mind more than any other. 300 kms and usually a sprinter wins?

Moo

by Willj on Mar 16, 2010 6:16 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by benrazor on Mar 16, 2010 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

My top 5 darkhorse is Luca Paolini...

He is just one of those riders who hangs and hangs and gets a good result at the end.

But I would love to see Boonen win. One of my favorites and would be a good way to start the monument season

by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 16, 2010 6:23 PM EDT reply actions  

And my argument against EBH is that his team, while they were spectacular today

will have to go almost double the distance today and I don’t think all of them would be there to do what they did. He will only have 1 maybe 2 to get him into postion and then it is all him, if he is even in contention at that point

by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 16, 2010 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Indeed

But on the other hand, no other team has looked particularly strong. Last year Columbia and Cervelo were the strongest, and they’re both in a bit of turmoil coming into the weekend.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Could it be the year Boonen wins MSR, Ronde, and P-R?

I recall a few years back Cyclesport made this huge claim but he only won one of the monuments. No Robbie McEwen in the favorites, he’s got a better shot than half those guys.

by brunopitton on Mar 16, 2010 6:31 PM EDT reply actions  

I remember they had a Boonen special in '06 and I think the question was whether he could win

MSR, De Ronde and Liege in the same year, which thinking about it now sounds pretty absurd

by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 16, 2010 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

that

would make one hell of an accumulator bet.

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by benrazor on Mar 16, 2010 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

McEwen

says he’s not in the team. Pippo’s their man.

"I was just trying to keep warm" - Ian Stannard on finishing third in KBK

by civetta on Mar 16, 2010 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice to see the Liquigas rider come to the front

Look back and drift away while shaking his head. A cyclist’s life can be frustrating…

Gerrie Kneteman: If a football player falls he shouts for his mother, if a cyclist falls he yells for his bike.

by Lopex on Mar 16, 2010 6:59 PM EDT reply actions  

haven't seen much live racing so far this season

but from the highlights, boonen is looking pretty amped up. he’s attacking on the climbs in that menacing way of his, and is dipping his into the bunch sprint waters…all good omens methinks. which means that pozzato will win.

"well...you live in england so: you love the rain. loves the queen. hates cycling. based on mr bean had a tremendous amount of humour. all ride in a mini cooper. all getting drunk before the age of 12. getting drunk at least 3 times a day."- frinking, 7/9/09

by benrazor on Mar 16, 2010 7:01 PM EDT reply actions  

The three sprinters on form I can see handling the pressure of the MSR finale

Boonen, Freire and Petacchi, they can get to the finish in one piece and will keep their cool in the hectic scramble to the line.

EBH, Cav and Thor will be out of gas
Benna, Farrar and Breschel will screw up at the finish for one reason or other.

by Jens on Mar 16, 2010 7:23 PM EDT reply actions  

I love this race.

Picked it as my “pro for a day” race. Fast, beautiful, goes on forever, and ends in the sun.

~

Also, glad to see William Bonnet get some attention, even if it’s sarcastic. Been on every VDS team I’ve ever had (only one). A workhorse.

by Sui Juris on Mar 16, 2010 7:27 PM EDT reply actions  

You took him before I could in the Eds league

I so wanted to have Billy The Kid on my team. I was going to be throwing around Emilia Estevez jokes all season.

Alas.

"Woof, woof, woof! That's my other dog imitation."

by Drew... on Mar 18, 2010 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

can saturday hurry up and get here?

love this race

"The road is our agony, but also our daily bread; and at night, when it is deserted and the moon glistens on the asphalt, the ridiculous dreams of racers like us pass up and down it."

--Dino Buzzati

by nrs5000 on Mar 16, 2010 7:27 PM EDT reply actions  

me too!

one of my favorites :-)

by gavia on Mar 16, 2010 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Indeed!

And I will have my Dwars door Vlaanderen preview up in a day or two.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

You want to preview that one?

Surely this is no job for an American.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

EXCELLENT!

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hmmm

think MSR but without the Poggio. Or any of the other hills.

by Monty. on Mar 16, 2010 8:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

But

There’s Kenny!

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

what you've missed seeing this race the past few years?

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on Mar 16, 2010 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bah!

I’m going to come over there and take your herring away.

That was inspired work in the Valverde thread, really.

by gavia on Mar 16, 2010 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is it true?

Universal-Sports is covering MSR? If true Universal-Sports is the best thing to ever happen to American Cycling fans. They have really stepped it up.

by profgubler on Mar 16, 2010 8:57 PM EDT reply actions  

They have it

They don’t have live commentary, which I’ve bugged them about but apparently it just doesn’t come together quickly enough, don’t ask me why. And even this criticism is a compliment in disguise: I like Schlanger and Gogulski.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 16, 2010 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Me too

especially their excitement when they commentate.

Proud member of Thuggetz nation.

by Phil H. on Mar 16, 2010 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, but since we have a no politics rule here

we don’t talk about his work from 1980-1988.

So sorry.

by Sui Juris on Mar 16, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry, you guys are so quick

Yes, Ronnie did so much, but just referring to the Universal TV coverage of the T-A, and wondering, but not looking to complain – love having this on TV, so intentionally posted with oblique comment and hope okay.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 16, 2010 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

and the joke is

Now in his early 60ies, President George W Bush can ride many reading this right off his wheel.

He rides.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 17, 2010 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Please

no politics. Lionizing Bush for anything is a prelude to a political discussion. Last thing we need here.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 17, 2010 3:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, but Bush on the bike is the only idea i was bringing forward, not

his politics. And I wasn’t lionizing him, but okay

Moving off topic from bike racing to bikes:

For Americans bicyclists, we might need this guy in the future – he built a secret mountain bike park in Maryland, and went there every day. Now he does this at his home. He’s never given one interview about it, or promoted bikes in any way beyond inviting Armstrong to the White House…and yet he lives the life, too.

But I can understand the discomfort and not ‘trolling for Bush love.’ For me, It’s kinda similar to the same low comfort level people feel about having Armstrong as bike advocate numero uno, yet what is the landscape?.

Based that this list is about bike racing/I say no more except that I was only intending to comment on the re-creations on TV, which is not common in sports, but was practiced 60-70 years ago a lot, and Reagan was the only practicioner of this I could think of that the list people would have eva heard of…

Sorry. I, Voter, not Bush Voter.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 17, 2010 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cause don't ya think the Versus boys are laughing as they watch..

Probably even Phil dares to mock the broadcast style, a style which could extend his expiration date even a few more years.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 17, 2010 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know

from your tone you probably didn’t mean anything much about Bush, but I just wanted to cut off responses. I can’t think of a topic that divides people more.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 17, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

FYI

while Bush’s participation could go either way on an issue, even relatively non-partisan stuff, there is a serious, growing bike caucus in Congress — live congresscritters, who are supposed to actually work on this stuff. I am not sure whether Obama has much interest, but bike-friendly stuff should square nicely with their overall agenda on energy issues.

That said, there will always be people that Bush can reach, and the bike message is probably needed there. And the fact that he’s a biker, he of all people, is a pretty good indication of where things are headed generally.

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 17, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

adding

“he of all people” meaning a Texas oil man…

"The only pain I got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is." Edvald Boasson Hagen

by Chris... on Mar 17, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, sorry again Chrisdot.

A final and hopefully a relevant and non-partisan except pro-bike political comment: Bikes are a problem for Obama, as he got called Urkel, after a child TV character, for how he looked in a helmet.

But mainly I was wanting to talk about the Universal TV coverage which I guess not that many people are watching, reading the comments. I would say since Universal is letting us look behind the curtain, so to speak, I noticed. I can’t remember if they did this last year, and probably Versus does it some too (adding in ‘the audio’ later).

But it is never done in other live sports, even during the big LA TDF years on OLN, when Liggett could have used a redo now and then on calling a finale, they ran out his ridiculous calls every night.

Also just mention that Paul and Bob and the Italian guy can call a sprint finish pretty well, so it can be done.

Universal likes you guys, but they don’t care about what is being said here – the PDC demographic is a captured group and therefore Universal doesn’t have to target their marketing and style to any of us, as we are already targeting them.

I would further say it’s really nice for Universal to post here, and also that results junkies can often be quickly sated by reading the PDC race and post race threads..guessing the internets is not prohibited in the Schlang and GoGo bunker.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 17, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

the one problem

is that Bush rides OFF-road, rather than on, which makes him problematic wrt road-access issues.

That said, BOTH BIll White and Rick Perry have been seen riding road rallies this campaign season.

And that makes Chris’s point pretty plainly. Even if lots of places in Texas will have to confront road access problems, places like Fort Worth are implementing plans to become . . . [ahem] . . . as “bike-friendly as Portland”

by R Mc on Mar 17, 2010 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

The thing about Bush that has me wondering...

Is he related to Bos or Boom?

Gerrie Kneteman: If a football player falls he shouts for his mother, if a cyclist falls he yells for his bike.

by Lopex on Mar 17, 2010 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

or to Carl Struyken? (another Dutchman, but no cyclist as far as I know)

by tedvdw on Mar 17, 2010 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ha!

Lopex, cutting to the heart of the matter.

by gavia on Mar 17, 2010 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Eddy!

It's fun to beat Cancellara--Edvald Boasson Hagen

by majope on Mar 16, 2010 9:36 PM EDT reply actions  

MSR is wide open

1) Bennati
2) Gilbert
3) Boonen
4) Cancellara
5) Freire
6) Pozzatto
7) Martens
8) Aje-Jet
9) EBH
10) Armstrong

Ale-Jet mis-timed today….

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 16, 2010 9:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Meh, Eddy overpowered today.

10)?

You thought you’d just try to slip that in there for laughs?

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Mar 16, 2010 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Quit wrecking the Joke

Yes, not taking away from EBH, the winner, but Ale-Jet had more, and Farrar really got boxed out, as they both were pushed left early, like at 200-150m ish..

EBH has never even done a long race in his career?

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 16, 2010 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ummmm...and

he did win the 7th stage of the Giro D’Italia, which wasn’t 298, but it was 244 and mostly uphill, and in the rain, with a crazy descent

twice…

in a snow storm…

with no shoes…

by LawrenceS on Mar 16, 2010 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

In that case...

maybe I will pick EBH and bet the farm.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Mar 16, 2010 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

EBH was all over the road wasn't he?

I wouldn’t say Ale-jet mis-timed as much as he got squeezed. Farrar is sprinting too cautiously, looked like he had a line today and chose not to hold it. Then complained to EBH at the end (Farrar needs lessons from McEwen). Better to save it for bigger races I guess, but getting off the gas and checking up is not good practice for a sprinter.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Mar 16, 2010 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, Farrar criticism

He had no hope today – you saw, but…Preferring to see a post-druggie world where it’s just hard to win, and keeping solid with Tyler, and not impatient.

Yes, EBH gained no friends today. Until he does something, I see him as being marked as a good wheel. Can he really compete here, where EVERYONE is trying?

MSR is wide open.

by rubesANdbabes on Mar 16, 2010 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course MSR is wide open (if you ignore Boonen's form)

I’m certainly not picking EBH. In fact, I can’t make a pick. And I’m kind of glad it’s that way, which is why this is such an awesome race.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Mar 16, 2010 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can't either.

I never can for this race. Which is why it so rocks the casbah.

by gavia on Mar 16, 2010 11:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pretty funny

we all know Lance is going to win.

Proud member of Thuggetz nation.

by Phil H. on Mar 16, 2010 10:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Definitely wide open…I"m going to go with Gilbert (surprise), a la Sean Kelly back in the day: he’s chasing down a break (let’s say…Freire, with or without company) up the Poggio, catches it on the way down, and pips everyone at the line. Just cuz he’s pissed at getting only a secondary mention in the PdC preview ;)

I'm feverished, or the way you want to spell it

by plinytheelder on Mar 16, 2010 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

that would be new

Gilbert chasing a break rather than making it. Not that I wouldn’t love to see it; the Kelly-Argentin 1992 edition is probably my fave Youtube clip ever. The look of disgust on Moreno’s face when Sean gets his wheel at the red kite is priceless.

Btw, has anyone noticed how many top 5/10 finishes Phillippe has in this race? Just a matter of time till he wins this one.

"The road is our agony, but also our daily bread; and at night, when it is deserted and the moon glistens on the asphalt, the ridiculous dreams of racers like us pass up and down it."

--Dino Buzzati

by nrs5000 on Mar 17, 2010 1:53 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Garmin looks like a train wreck

I expected them to dominate TA sprints with Hunter, Dean and JVS. instead, Farrar was left to fend for himself, and his positioning going into every sprint was terrible. Too far back and always got blocked in. Also didn’t seem to have the top end speed he did last year. Can’t see him getting anywhere near a top 5.

by PopUp Rolen on Mar 16, 2010 10:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes this team looks pretty off to me.

Robbie Hunter was good, but mentally with a new kid he won’t be there. I think their classics season better get going. The sign are all bad to me.

by Markk on Mar 16, 2010 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just hope we see the sprinters sweat it out

last year nothing happened on the Poggio it was too easy for the fast men, repeat of 2008 please.

Proud member of Thuggetz nation.

by Phil H. on Mar 16, 2010 10:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes,

much more wild antics from the power men to test the sprinters.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Mar 16, 2010 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

My picks

1. Benna- Best combo of lead-out and finisher here
1A. Boonen- Make the odds 50-50 that Tom can use Benna’s train
3. Ale-Jet-Not if Boonen is around
4. Farrar-With the right line, he wins.
5. Freire-Top 5 here are a cut above the rest.

6. Hushovd Great lead out
7. Ginanni-If the other teams aren’t organized enough, he wins
8. Eisel- Cav doesn’t make it to the finish. Actually will probably finish higher but won’t win.
9. Hooter
10. Davis

Non-sprinter wild card: Maxim Iglinsky

by ursula on Mar 17, 2010 12:02 AM EDT reply actions  

My dark horse picks

Ventoso: I know, his last MSR came 82nd @ 1.14 down (in 2007). But he’s said that he’s targeting MSR and has some results to speak this year.

Gasparatto: He has also said that he’s targeting MSR and has the support of his team. Also has a recent win (and a sprint win over Evans and Garzelli counts for a lot in my books [/snark]).

If they make it to the finish, I put both these guys in the top 10.

"Today I was honked at...I caught up and made a great honking noise back...he caught up and said I'm gonna punch you in the face...I laughed."

~DZ

by Hons on Mar 17, 2010 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

Koldorito!!!

In theory, Koldo Fernandez could be in the top 15 at Milano-Sanremo. He is an experienced, aggressive, sprinter who can get over hills/mountains. I am not sure why he hasn’t raced better at M-S in the past.

by 4estru on Mar 17, 2010 10:34 PM EDT reply actions  

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