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Giro di California: Whosa gonna winna, eh?!?

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Bongiorno cycling peoples. So we all know that that other Giro is underway, with all of its glorious tradition, and gorgeous vistas, and that prosecco alla tappa business... mucho respecto... but in my 'hood, there is another race worth following this May, and that race is the 2010 Tour of California.

What, you may ask, does the ToC have that the Giro doesn't, besides fewer stages and less pink crap? Well, for one thing, the ToC has none of that wide open GC battle nonsense. Let's face it, Levi owns this race. The little man's pajamas say "Three Time ToC Winner" on them (I bet) and dude's won those three ToC's with barely a hair out of place. And you can bet your BMB that he aims to win it again.

But, for shits and giggles, lets take a look at who might want to steal Levi's pajamas. What? It could happen...

Star-divide

Team Saxo Bank - The first names that come to mind are half the freaking Saxo Bank team. Names like Fabian, and Andy, and Jens!, all of whom could ruin Levi's coronation if things play out correctly. Admittedly, Spartacus is a bit of a long-shot, but nobody is getting rich betting against that man lately, and Andy has bigger fish to fry in July, methinks, which leaves Jens!. He has the tools (he can climb, he can TT, he likes to attack), he certainly has the will, and he even said that winning the ToC this year was his main ambition for the whole year in his infamous viral internet interview with our own CycleGirl. Beware Levi. Jens! has spoken.

HTC - Only one name on that team looks like a GC maybe, and that man is Mic 'fists-o-fury' Rogers. He knows how to win stage races, and he takes no crap from guys with stupid facial hair. Aussie, Aussie, Aussie, biff, sock, pow!

Garmin-Transitions - Sadly, the only possible pajama thief on that team is Dave Z, and that is because he would totally steal someone's pajamas just to be weird. Weirdness aside, DZ could show us the money, but probably not.

Cervélo TestTeam - I guess Deignan could do something, and maybe Haussler could become "Malibu Barbie Barbie", which would be entertaining on lots of levels, mainly around here, but neither are going to win this thing.

The Field - Nope. Nobody coming to mind....hmmm...thinking...thinking... Nope. Nobody.

So, what say you lot? Let Levi win?

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Hmmmm

A 33 km TT and a mountaintop finish at Big Bear Lake. Gee , I wonder who we might be underestimating here?

by Jens on May 14, 2010 2:44 AM EDT reply actions  

OK, three is enough

I like Levi, but I am ready for someone else to win this race. The guy who could do it, but he won’t because after all they are on the same team, is Chris Horner. If he can put away Valverde, he can put away Leipheimer.

I wouldn’t wish anything bad for the little bald guy, but if he falters for one reason or another…

Cycling will always be a beautiful sport no matter how many people disgrace it.--Christian Vande Velde

by tgartner on May 14, 2010 3:03 AM EDT reply actions  

I think the organizers are secretly dreaming of that too

As popular as a home-win is, it is starting to become a credibility problem for a race that want’s to be something bigger than a local race.

by Jens on May 14, 2010 3:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1
it is starting to become a credibility problem

muggito

by Willj on May 14, 2010 3:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

But the date change impacts that somewhat

As Celerity points out elsewhere, more guys are going to be able to win this from a pure fitness perspective, and more of those guys are targeting the win this time around, so if Levi does win again this time, he will have earned it more so than the past three. I doubt the subtlety in that difference will trump it being forever known as the “Tour of Levifornia’” if he does win, but who knows…

"Do you think we are a bunch a girls?...Go and ride some cobbles and you’ll definately know that we don’t discuss perfume and shaving cream." - Dom

by Jimbo... on May 14, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Levi is to TOC as Alberto is to TdF

"My clients dont care shit about romandie or mello johnny" - singhstax

by PopUp Rolen on May 14, 2010 6:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Time for a changing of the Guard...

It won’t become truly international until that happens.

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 6:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah but who?
I looked at the start list and aside from Saxo non-US GC guys few and far between.

by Ryan_Liles on May 14, 2010 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rogers maybe... he's on form, but he won't necessarily have great support

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Levi's reign and the new slot on the calendar

are more motivation for other teams and contenders to dethrown him. I think it’s already an international event, I don’t know if the addition of “truly” changes your definition in some way. I agree with Jens that Levi will be challenged like never before, but he will still come out on top.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on May 14, 2010 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm sorry, but
more motivation for other teams and contenders to dethrown him.

That dwarf’s been tossed. Can’t undo it.

by Sui Juris on May 14, 2010 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought dwarf tossing had been banned.

Are you a part of this illegal behavior?

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on May 14, 2010 7:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

First prize in the dwarf toss is Cadillac

Second prize is a set of steak knives. Third prize is this…

"Do you think we are a bunch a girls?...Go and ride some cobbles and you’ll definately know that we don’t discuss perfume and shaving cream." - Dom

by Jimbo... on May 14, 2010 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Will the change of date have any effect on Levi's chances?

He was always peaking to win this race in Feb, when no one else was. Now I would think a lot more guys will be in good shape, even if this isn’t the major goal of their season.

by celerity on May 14, 2010 3:12 AM EDT reply actions  

Good point

The tide has risen, so to speak

"Do you think we are a bunch a girls?...Go and ride some cobbles and you’ll definately know that we don’t discuss perfume and shaving cream." - Dom

by Jimbo... on May 14, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Mick Rogers and Jens! both say they want this..

I’d be happy either way.

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 3:20 AM EDT reply actions  

For a motivated and healthy TdF contender like Levi?

I think LL will get challenged more than ever before but he is still 2 steps above everyone else in my favorite-rating. Only question-mark to me is if he is gambling on going into the race with less than 100% form so as not to disturb his Tour-prep.

by Jens on May 14, 2010 3:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

his tour prep as bottle carrier?

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on May 14, 2010 6:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah,

RS’ best rider is going to relegated to water duty.

I don’t think Levi will pull a Contador and attack on his own. But he’s not going to be forced to stay with Lance if the race moves on. RS has plenty of strong domestiques to look after Lance (I’d call most of them super-domestiques really)

by ncrow on May 14, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Moi Aussi...

…never understimate the gravitational force of HWMNBN’s ego.

by Ed K on May 14, 2010 7:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm hoping so...

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 4:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

A motivated and healthy Mick Rogers

   will be allowed to carry water bottles and lead out a sprint train for Cavendish.

Bicycling is the nearest approximation I know to the flight of birds. Louis J. Helle, Jr.

by flying dog on May 14, 2010 7:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'd rather see him race but Cavendish is a Hoover.

   He sucks up all the attention and talent.

Bicycling is the nearest approximation I know to the flight of birds. Louis J. Helle, Jr.

by flying dog on May 14, 2010 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

You heard it here first

Stef Clement is going to take this by surprise!

What we do does not define who we are. What defines us is how well we rise after we fall.

by Lopex on May 14, 2010 3:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Here's half an hour of Saxo at a Press Conference at Specialised yesterday...

>http://iamspecialized.com/road/news-article/live-q-a-with-team-saxo-bank And we think Spanish hats are cheesy? Hats and fake moustaches (!) aside, this was fun.

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 5:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks Ted!

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on May 14, 2010 7:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Andy and Matti actually look pretty good

And cheesy hats? Those hats are awesome.

"Do you think we are a bunch a girls?...Go and ride some cobbles and you’ll definately know that we don’t discuss perfume and shaving cream." - Dom

by Jimbo... on May 14, 2010 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great hats.

These are cheesy (Gouda) cowboy hats.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h—n62JSQPQ&feature=related

"Mollema not flying, +12 at interm." Bruce. "I hope he doesn't slip in Frinking's tears.." Seahorse.

by fancan on May 14, 2010 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Go, DZ!

I remember reading somewhere that he thinks this year’s time trial is better for him than Solvang was, so he should have a better shot.

Das ist hier nicht Tralala--Rolf Aldag, expressing disappointment that Andre Greipel didn't try harder in Eschborn-Frankfurt

by majope on May 14, 2010 6:52 AM EDT reply actions  

what a gyp. did you know that the european channels are scheduled to show almost twice as much of the atoc than versus?

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on May 14, 2010 7:54 AM EDT reply actions  

of course, the race isn't scheduled to finish until 01.15 the following day

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on May 14, 2010 8:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

that would be awesome

"Ants don’t worry, they operate like a fantastic team, they accept obstacles and deal with them in a positive manner, they don’t complain and remain positive. An ant doesn’t work on emotion, is proactive and always chooses the ant role."

by ant1 on May 14, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's got the support, certainly.

Saxo has a strong line-up. It would be fun to seem them challenge Levi and the Shack. I know it’s Tour training, but an overall and some stage wins wouldn’t hurt the sponsor hunt.

by M. Anatole on May 14, 2010 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Saxo

don’t mess around. This should be interesting. Though having Nibali there would have been cool too.

by Chris Fontecchio on May 14, 2010 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

If only Nibali was having success in Italy

Giro...Giro.....Giro!!!!!!!!
Quitter's People United member # 42

by Phil H. on May 14, 2010 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah

I guess it’s a fair trade.

by Chris Fontecchio on May 14, 2010 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh man the Versus coverage already scares me to think about

now that there is a comparison one can make between TV cycling coverage in the US, I feel like I’ll enjoy my Gogo knowledgeable analysis in the morning and then be dumbed up by Ligget in the afternoon. Go Jens!

Giro...Giro.....Giro!!!!!!!!
Quitter's People United member # 42

by Phil H. on May 14, 2010 2:46 PM EDT reply actions  

my little observation

Levi is a very boring cyclist and very predictable too. my bet the entire field will beat him in a flying 200m.

If I wanted to get shit small wins, I'd race shit small races (Cavendish on Greipel)

by singhstax on May 14, 2010 3:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Today's Press Conference...

…is locked down tighter than Fort Knox. Special wristbands are the key to getting in.

by Chief Commissaire on May 14, 2010 3:46 PM EDT reply actions  

nice !

Here’s hoping antler-boy isn’t out on parole yet.

"When fascism comes to America, it will be wrapped in the Flag and carrying the Cross."
--Sinclair Lewis

by MavicMoto on May 14, 2010 8:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just because he is on my VDS.... It looks like Peter Sagan will be a lock for this race.

He could push Cav into the ocean and sprint so far ahead to gain a minute before the TT, then blitz the TT and then storm to the top of the not so mountain top finish at Big Bear… Seems like cake for him.

Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!

by Vlaanderen90 on May 14, 2010 3:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Huh.

I thought Lance already won.

by Megabeth on May 14, 2010 4:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Well, duh

but this is the preview for the Most Courageous Snuggie.

by Jens on May 14, 2010 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

It is confusing, isn't it?

I think Jimbo thinks Levi is going to win or something.

by Jen See on May 14, 2010 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jimbo?

I thought Jar Jar wrote this post?

by Jens on May 14, 2010 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

My ears are longer

but besides that, no

"Do you think we are a bunch a girls?...Go and ride some cobbles and you’ll definately know that we don’t discuss perfume and shaving cream." - Dom

by Jimbo... on May 14, 2010 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Armstrong said race will be won in the TT and....

…listed Levi, Mick Rogers and Dave Zabriskie as the favs.

Cancellara sported a full on NHL playoff beard and looked very rested….no training the past two weeks he said.

by steph- on May 15, 2010 12:51 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope

Rory is up there. Would be nice to see some of our domestic guys do well. He can TT good and climbs damn good for a big guy. But, DZ is who I’m rooting for…just wonder if his team is strong enough. Still curious as to why D. Pate is off the roster?

by cyclingdiva on May 15, 2010 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

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