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Stage 11: Everyone has an opinion...


There will be some ugly team meetings this evening in Giro land. Today the results looked like something out of the good old days of a Grand Tour when huge time gaps were not uncommon. In fact riders like Bahamontes and Gaul would almost routinely lose such time before clinically erasing it in the mountains.

 

Bottom line is that this year we have been treated to a spring of fantastic races. Cancellara in Flanders and P-R, the Giro stage over the white Tuscan roads and now today. This is why bike racing has been able to survive for well over a century. The fans can always be assured that sooner or later they are going to be treated to something out of the ordinary.

 

So what will happen now? Will the 20 year old Porte take the Giro (possible). Will Sastre, Wiggins or someone else from today's break use the mountains as their spring board to success (highly possible). Or will Vino, Evans and the rest of the blockheads who screwed up today reverse their fortunes during the final week (not a hope in hell). 

 

I say the next 10 stages:

Porte is gone when the HC climbing begins. 

Evans, who is going very well, has only 4 support riders left.  He'll have the legs and finish respectable in the GC but will get beaten-up by the Italians. 

Vino has troops but 36 year old legs.  He'll finish up in the GC but get dropped on the big mountains. 

Wiggins, a big winner today, could be a contender but he's British and will fold... :-) Sastre, another big winner today, can climb away with this IF his legs are better than he's shown so far. 

BUT the leader in my mind is David Arroyo!!!  He can climb and has over a 5 minute lead on Sastre.  Since this Giro was dedicated to Heroes of the past, Arroyo wins in honor of Bahamontes... IF (big if...) he aging legs can hold up. 

 

An exciting 10 stages to go.


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