Know Your Tour! Stage 14: Has Lance Won Yet?
Earlier today Lance Armstrong of Team Radio Shack strolled casually across the line to finish the day's stage 4:13 behind winner Alexandre Vinokourov and a full four minutes behind his brief rival Alberto Contador. This marks the first time in Armstrong's post-cancer history that he's taken a stroll through France on a bike in July. Even last year, at the age of 37, Armstrong was in nearly full cry in pursuit of a spot on the final podium. Now he's outside the top thirty on general classification and doesn't seem overly troubled by it. Lance is letting go, so I assume we should too.
Personally, I am probably about as relieved as he is. As we discussed a year ago in an essay of mine, talking about Lance is a complex matter and it's easy to devolve into cheeky nonsense like the headline to this story. Not because I don't like the guy -- I was as rabid a fan as they came a decade ago -- but because, well, I would just rather talk about something else these days. The Lance Era was long, glorious, and consuming, so for me it's just more fun to talk about more current trends in the sport.
With the sun setting on the Lance Era, once and for all, a really, really fun topic for me is to talk about who the next American winners will be. Not necessarily of the Tour, but winners in a more general sense. Let's take a look at a few names which you may or may not know, and I also invite anyone with a deeper knowledge of the up-and-comers on the US scene not named here to add to the list.
Tyler Farrar, Garmin-Transitions
OK, you have almost certainly heard of Farrar, and in reality he's not so much of an up-and-comer as opposed to a guy who's arrived. However, in some ways Farrar's career is still developing. At age 26, Farrar is an established sprinter, possibly the second-fastest man in the world after Mark Cavendish. However, his true love is the spring classics in his adopted home of Belgium, and the Wonder of Wenatchee (Wash.) just completed his first real go at them, finishing an astounding fifth in the Tour of Flanders, ninth in Gent-Wevelgem (thought to be a better target for him), and winning the Scheldeprijs as well as a stage of Driedaagse de Panne. Tom Boonen and Fabian Cancellara aren't looking over their shoulders just yet, but next time around Farrar won't just be relying on his strong legs and all-round ability, he'll have some experience to boot.
Taylor Phinney, Trek-Livestrong
OK, now we're getting into the kids. Phinney, son of two of the most decorated riders in US history (Connie Carpenter and Davis Phinney), is a mere 20 years old and still learning his way around the road scene... as he racks up victories. Phinney is a two-time world track pursuit champion already, a good indicator of pure power and sprinting ability. He's also a double winner of the Under-23 Paris-Roubaix, joining names like Stephen Roche (world champion and Tour winner, 1987), Marc Madiot (double-winner of the senior Paris-Roubaix classic), Thor Hushovd (green jersey winner, elite sprinter and classics rider), and others, nearly all of whom went pro. At 6'4" tall Phinney won't be flying up the Alps in the Tour very often, but he could be a top classics contender in another few years after chasing his track goals in the 2012 Olympics in London.
Lawson Craddock, USA Cycling Development Team
The "Houston Rocket" has already made a pretty big splash on the juniors scene, sweeping the disciplines at the US Junior Nationals and coming in third in the Juniors Paris-Roubaix this spring. Only 18, it's pretty hard to say where this is headed, but if you're in the habit of keeping young kids on your cycling-fan radar screen, save a blip for Craddock. He is expected to join the Garmin-Transitions development team for next year, but no decision has been made.
Tejay Van Garderen, HTC-Columbia
Probably the next American name you'll see in the show, if you haven't already. Van Garderen, 21, turned heads with a third place in the Criterium du Dauphine, a race attended by many of the sport's biggest names. He rolled across the line at the legendary Alpe d'Huez only 1.12 behind winner Alberto Contador. Strong stuff, in his first pro season with the HTC-Columbia development machine. Fans should probably temper their enthusiasm a bit -- top stage racers develop a bit more slowly than one-day riders and sprinters -- but Van Garderen is already one to watch and hopes to make his grand tour debut sooner rather than later.
American cycling has its share of stars in the making, but other countries do too and development is something you have to earn slowly, day-by-day. Whether it happens or not remains to be seen, and we shouldn't saddle the youngest guys with expectations. But as a fan it's hard not to be excited for the next chapter.
By the way, Armstrong is the creator of the Trek Livestrong Team and a big supporter of developing future cyclists. I don't know if he set out to put the country on the map, but he and a lot of others are seizing on the momentum created by Armstrong's success and making sure the US is well represented for a long time to come.
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Craddock rides for Hot Tubes when he's not in Nat colors
A Non-Texan: that Stetina kid, what’s his name? Peter?
Another Texan who’s flown pretty much under the radar, despite winning Battenkill this year: Amarillo’s Caleb Fairly (Holowesko Partners, aka Garmin feeder team).
Great article
I was having the exact conversation with a friend a few weeks ago, who assumed that I was really excited about Team Radio Shack and Lance’s opportunities. That chapter has been duly chronicled, and IMHO the overwhelming focus of media and advertisers on Lance is stealing any chance of coverage for the rest of the American scene. It can only improve next year.
Jens Voigt doesn’t know where you live, but he knows exactly where you will die.
Most impressive.
The fact that he is being candid and real. No excuses, he is just plain whipped and he says it. He came out swinging for the fences during the prologue, ran into some bad luck, but once the road went upwards he just didn’t have it.
I would really like to see him killing it for Levi, I just don’t think he can.
Yep, him falling back has made it easier to watch the Tour for me
Phil and Paul aren’t actually that bad when they do the race and Lance can’t be mentioned all the time and the drama between Lance and Alberto isn’t there. The biggest debate has been over Vino, while annoying, is still not as heated as some Lance debates can get around here or anywhere. Lance has handled pretty well I think and I have enjoyed his interviews about the race situation or stages because he is pretty lose.
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
Names
I think Chris hit on a lot of the big names.
From what little I see, Peter Stetina may have a good future – I think this was his first year on Garmin. In addition to Caleb Fairly, I think Alex Howes has had some good results for Holowesko.
I think the US is lucky to have to good development teams right now with Holowesko and Trek-Livestrong.
We should also mention Ben King since he won both the US U23 Crit and Road Race.
You could look at the entire rosters for Holowesko, Trek-Livestrong, and Rabobank Continental and see a lot of future talent (not just US). I think Romain Sicard has a good bit expected of him by both the French and the Basque.
Right now, I'm really, really missing Saul Raisin.
I wish him success and luck in whatever he does and a lovely life outside of cycling. However, I’m just sad that he wasn’t able to continue his career on the bike. He’d be the first name mentioned in this discussion.
Vlaanderens Mooiste
When Lance announced his return
and that he had nabbed Phinney to start a development team I said right away I thought it would be a bad move for US cycling but on that point I have been proven very wrong I think.
The Trek-Livestrong setup has really given a lot of guys the opportunity to ride a good domestic and international mix of races, preparing them for the next step. If LA is the preferable role-model is one of those religious questions that is pointless to debate but the development team has probably been a very positive addition for US cycling.
Looking forward to TVG at the Vuelta if he is allowed to do it
I worry for him a bit though, Columbia is not the place to be to develop as a GC guy, not as long as Cav is there and so dominant.
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
Oh
I think if they see they’re onto something, he’ll get space and direction to develop. Guldhammer too.
"Good thing I never said out loud that I was pulling for France, before this all started." -Mark Blacknell
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 17, 2010 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions
But if you had to choose between the three American PT teams
I think Columbia is the one in which one is developed as stage racer the least, how well have Columbia GC hopes done over the years, especially the young guns? Even Rogers was used as a super lead-out man today, he still has a shot at a top-10 GC finish.
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
OTOH HTC may be one of the best places to do your first 2-3 pro years on
It might be wise to be be on the lookout for an appropriate next step after that.
I could imabine some of the more old school hierarchal teams
and teams that don’t seem to have a very close interaction with their riders, its all about showing up on race-day and performing.
Off the top of my head I would guess Milram, Lampre, *Lotto and perhaps some of the french teams?
Depends on the rider plus the environment...
isn’t just a team. Some of the worst team’s have to be the French because of their not so advanced training ways or RadioShack…
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions
On the plus side
the french teams don’t put ginormous pressure on youngsters either so with a good personal coach it might be ideal. The stories of some of their racetactics scare the shit out of me though. Often it seems it just “everybody try something and let’s hope we get a result”. On a team like HTC they learn from day one about riding after a plan and working in an assigned role.
Good detailed schedules are key too I think. I know riders on both Saxo and HTC have schedules that say which races they should peak for leadership roles, which races they need form for helper duties and what races they are just to roll through, pitching in where they can.
RS is
good for a young guy like Tiago Machado or Ben Hermans. They get to ride for GC in a lot of decent one-week races with occasional riding alongside the old pros. They can cut their teeth in the classics. It’s bad if the guy expects to ride the Tour before he turns 26.
But then they can just switch teams like Stijn Devolder or Jurgen vandenBroeck. And at that point they’re ready…
by Mr 60 Percent on Jul 17, 2010 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions
Ben Hermans isn't that young...I mean young is a relative term in cycling. He is 24
And Machado is 25 this year. If you look at the top 11 in the Tour this year at this point, 7 of them either won the white jersey or finished near the top in the young riders classification in a GT. It would be beneficial for them to be able to just ride a GT but when your team skips the Giro and then isn’t invited to the Vuelta, its a problem.
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions
Well you can't blame them for him not riding the Vuelta really
I think he was planned to
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
Blythe seems to have had an all right first year at *Lotto
but then it was his dream job (the idea of *Lotto as someone’s dream makes me smile, but never mind), I suppose.
"I was just trying to keep warm" - Ian Stannard on finishing third in KBK
sure
because they have one of the best young sprinters ever on their roster and not guys like Kreuziger, Gesink or other ready stage racers of that caliber. If Cav were a Tour threat, HTC would be a Tour team, I suspect, and instead of Zabel they would have hired a time trial coach or something.
"Good thing I never said out loud that I was pulling for France, before this all started." -Mark Blacknell
by Chris Fontecchio on Jul 17, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions
They have guys that were hyped to be as good as those you mentioned
maybe they just aren’t that good but their development has been much slower. I am talking about guys like Monfort and Svitsov(sp) and during his stay with them, Leenoos.
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
Yes, the pit at HTC includes
Siutsou- Former U23 RR Champ from ’04
P. Velits- ’07 U23 Road Champ
Monfort- Kinda had better results at Cofidis at high profile races, not just Bayern Rundfahrt
They are stacked with so much talent that some guys will never be able to shine or come into their own like they would at other teams. They will probably cut a few guys loose at the end of the year like Dockx, maybe Saramontins, etc.
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions
The better have Guldhammer as a long term project because he has done next to nothing this year
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions
I said this already before the season
He has himself been finding it harder than he thought and is frustrated but I think he needs patience. It will be interesting to see him at Post Danmark Rundt, the race suits him and it’s a familiar place.
Guldhammer seems to be bit too chill
I’ve done some interviews with him and he seems very relaxed but with the lack of the cynicism of Andy Schleck. He’s very talented though – but his 2009 seems to have come too easy to him. It’s incredible how many of Denmark’s biggest talents – Niki Østergaard, Mie Bekker Lacota and now Guldhammer – all get hit by this lack of motivation, almost like a small competitive cycling breakdown.I’m quite sure Guldhammer will get fully over it. Looking forward to Post Danmark Rundt.
by Forstoppelse on Jul 17, 2010 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Are you going to see any of the stages?
Btw Mie BK is still a mystery to me. She did both track and road. Too much at too early an age perhaps?
I might be in Vejle at the time
- and I usually see them on the last stage on Frederiksberg Allé, but I’ll have to go to Rudersdal this year then. Chance to do some reconnaissance of the WC-route.
by Forstoppelse on Jul 17, 2010 9:42 PM EDT up reply actions
One that should be named is Andrew Talansky Talansky...he will show a lot of people his talent at l'Avenir later this summer
Also, for the future, “Downtown” Nate Brown
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
I'd like to put in a plug
for Brent Bookwalter. IMHO, one of the best U23 riders until his crash, and two very impressive prologue TTs in the Giro & Tour this year. Riding for BMC will give him the time he needs to develop and a wealth of experience to draw on, particularly if (maybe no an off chance?) that Cance winds up there. Plus he’s got the whole coming-back-from-potentially-career-ending-injury that seems to appear with disconcerting frequency in the storylines of great riders.
Tyler Farrar
should be the the next great American cyclist. And becoming a top flight classics rider is the path.
Obviously he can not be dominant – bot as long as Cancellera and Boonen are around. But win some races and he can become a big time American sports star.
The USA is ripe for embracing global sports – see World Cup.
And one day races can capture the attention of the USA, in some ways easier than GTs.
He is the near term future of American cycling popularity.
Indeed, if Armstrong and RS want to remain relevant, stealing Farrar from Garmin is the way to go.
Taylor Phinney on RS will guarantee their relevance...
…and honestly, the kid was smart to leave Garmin simply because he won’t have to fight with Farrar for the role of all around classics stud.
btw, I hate saying every word of that re: Phinney leaving Garmin...
…which bummed me out bigtime when it happened.
I do not know enough about Phinney
Like Chris, I am convinced Farrar has the goods.
He can win classics.
If Phinney ends up being that type of rider, then American cycling can be really popular.
What kind of classics? I am totally unconvinced he could do anything at the Ronde...Idk if he has the sustained horsepower for Roubaix
San Remo is his best bet and maybe G-W but then again, that is just what Cipo did and he wasn’t a classics rider persay.
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not entirely sure I'd dismiss RvV/PR entirely
but I suspect as long as he is as successful in the sprints as he is it will be too tempting to stay on that track rather than refocus his training. The wins come a lot easier for the team this way as well.
I think there are a lot of similarities with Thor but you can also see in him that being a double threat takes away some off the top-end-speed.
He can be a Freire type
Flanders doesn’t seem like his type of race when just looking at how he is built. But if Andy Schleck can ride with Cance over cobbles then Tyler could be OK on them too.
Vamos Alberto!
Quitter's People United member # 42
True but I think that is a testament to Andy's bike handling skills and ability to suffer like a crazy to hold Cance's wheel
but it should be noted that Cance wasn’t riding 100% because he would have dropped Andy. Farrar just needs to improve his climbing more in general, I think.
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Matt Busche
showed some signs at the Tour of Austria last week. 15th on GC as a domestique, about six minutes behind Ricco on a tough, hilly-mountainous course. Nothing special, but great for a guy who only started doing pro races last year and suddenly found himself in the Pro Tour. Earlier in the season it looked like Europe might be too much for him.
No enough of a base, me thinks. When you go from riding Cat. 2 to riding the U.S. Pro Champs in a year and then going to the Pro Tour
he just lacked the base and endurance under him to compete. I am glad that he showed his stuff in Austria though even in his first full year as a pro.
Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!
by Vlaanderen90 on Jul 17, 2010 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions
No imminent American Hegemony then?
Still, in the end it’s all about search, develop and train the available talent. Lance could become a very useful beacon in that process if he doesn’t fall from his pedestal (too hard).
Robert Gesink on the difference between football and cycling: "For us it's a lot harder to get yellow"

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