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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

So, who's laughing tonight?

Tour de France Podium Cafe

After todays early skirmishes on the 8,9 km prologue course in Rotterdam we may not know how the next three weeks are going to play out but we did get some pretty interesting sneak peeks. Throughout the Tour we will be looking at some of the winners and losers of the day. Here are today's champs and chumps.

On the attack

Lance Armstrong. The man is 163 years years old and he hasn't really impressed in a TT since his comeback last year but today, following lots of extracurricular nonsense that would throw most guys off their game, he delivered a very solid prologue that looked very much like a 1999-2005 performance. Finishing in front of all of his younger, serious rivals for the win he sent a pretty clear message that he is not to be underestimated this year.  I'm pretty sure that got some worried looks from the other team cars?

Tony Martin. In another flashback to the old days, Lance's most impressive GC rival on the day was a German Panzerwagen capable of a thundering timetrial. He may not have won the stage in the end but even if you could see the disappointment when he had to abandon the hot-seat  to the irrepressible Cancellara you have to think that Martin goes to bed smiling tonight. HTC has shown that they will not only contest the sprints in this Tour. With Martin on red-hot form and Rogers in the wings they will certainly be relevant in the GC -race as well. 

 

Le-tour-sm_medium

Off the back

Bradley Wiggins. Unless you hadn't noticed there are only two timetrials in this years Tour and today was one of them. So, if you are a TT specialist with designs on a podiumplace in Paris it would make sense to take the day very seriously wouldn't it? Instead Brad chose to tread carefully and not take any risks. Is that really something he could afford to do? Surely giving time away to practically every GC competitor except the Schlecks was not the smartest move in the world?

Andy Schleck. Ok, so he was never a rocket on the TT-bike and opening day prologues can be notoriously tricky sometimes but Andy looked decidedly unimpressive today. In a race that will most certainly be about small margins in the end,  giving up this much time over so few kilometers is a bit careless. In a year where he has been looking pretty anonymous, everyone is counting on him to arrive at this race 100% ready to challenge Contador for the victory. His performance and comments today did not instill confidence that he has.

Podi says:

"Bof. Those of us out here in the daylight don't read too much into puny prologues. It's a long race"

Comment 40 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Lance enhanced

his performance by adding shredded WSJ to his Wheaties at breakfast.Is bio degradable printing ink on any banned substance list?A question. What gearing and what cadence did the Big Swiss use to tick tock to a 36 plus mph average? 53-11 at 95,53-12 at 100? I know that one could Bike.Calc this, but I wonder if anyone here has an idea of the set up he used.

by frans verbiage on Jul 3, 2010 5:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Thanks

I might be able to turn that. In my downhill dreams. What power he has!

by frans verbiage on Jul 3, 2010 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lance did impress today

Beating Contador by a few seconds must be sweet. I’m very much looking forward to this Tour.

By the way, the new set-up is pretty impressive, as are the posts. Great job so far.

Cerca la qualita in Giro

by pigilito on Jul 3, 2010 5:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Thx

Entertaining and informative as i missed the fun – this Tour has the potential to be really fun as it seems wide open

moo

by Willj on Jul 3, 2010 6:02 PM EDT reply actions  

"you have to think that Martin goes to bed smiling tonight"

ugh yeah…4-0!!!!

Los Geht's Deutschland!!!!
Down with Spain!!!!
Quitter's People United member # 42

by Phil H. on Jul 3, 2010 6:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Polar opposite of what I thought

Going into today, I thought Wiggo would win the stage and Lance finish an anonymous 35th place. Impressed by Lance, but even more surprised by Wiggo. That is a dreadful time for a specialist and does not set up his tour well.

"My clients dont care shit about romandie or mello johnny" - singhstax

by PopUp Rolen on Jul 3, 2010 6:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I had a feeling that Lance would be top 10

and an inkling that Wiggo would not.

But what totally surprised me was that AC wasn’t top 2 or 3.

I’m going yo have to lower the pedestal I have Alberto on.

by thevaro on Jul 3, 2010 6:20 PM EDT reply actions  

It was a dead flat TT

not one with a hill plopped in it. I’m a bit disappointed but didn’t expect much better either.

Los Geht's Deutschland!!!!
Down with Spain!!!!
Quitter's People United member # 42

by Phil H. on Jul 3, 2010 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

that was my thought as well

I wonder what the final TT will be like if Lance or Cuddles or Levi can keep it close until then…

by Le Comte on Jul 3, 2010 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Rivalry

seems real NOW.

Reminds me of what Muhammad Ali said to Joe Frazier in the middle of the Thrilla in Manila – “Old Joe Frazier, they told me you were washed up.” Frazier responded"somebody told you wrong pretty boy."

I thought Armstrong was washed up. I was wrong.

Contador will have to try and hit him in all of the mountains.Doesnot want to let it stay close for the long final time trial.

Which means trying to take time in the Alps,mountaintop finishes and not just wait to ride away in the Pyrenees..

by BTD on Jul 3, 2010 6:51 PM EDT reply actions  

mende

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on Jul 3, 2010 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

There's a lot of conclusions being drawn

from a short, flat TT on day 1 of a three week tour, in which different competitors had different riding conditions…

"Age and treachery will overcome youth and skill" - Fausto Coppi

by muk on Jul 3, 2010 6:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Good news/bad news

Good news: That is a very reasonable objection
Bad news: You’re in agreement with a lycra-clad online sock-puppet bird

by Jens on Jul 3, 2010 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

LOL

I hope this will be a daily feature throughout the tour

by roadside on Jul 3, 2010 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Slightly O/T of the polemica..

but look who finished 10th.
Did Leeenooos go in the wet or the dry? A good result either way.

by Cruel_but_Fair on Jul 3, 2010 7:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Dryish...

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on Jul 3, 2010 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

LEEENOOOS!!!!!

Los Geht's Deutschland!!!!
Down with Spain!!!!
Quitter's People United member # 42

by Phil H. on Jul 4, 2010 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

proud of yourself there?

"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind

by umwolverine on Jul 3, 2010 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have a long list of stupid ads

Does the ban hammer work on tv commercials?

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Jul 4, 2010 4:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm just shocked the bird survived

considering the 50/50 survival chances of mascots round here.

"You know if there's any contact at all Cristiano Ronaldo's gonna go down...maybe even just a puff of wind"

by agl on Jul 3, 2010 10:32 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm thrilled. I love the little fella :)

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on Jul 3, 2010 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Okay...So I know its Day 1 and only 9K, But.....

What is the plan for Wiggins/Sastre/Schleck now?

I mean where do they find 30+ sec to Lance/Conta? (Barring crashes and other disasters of course).

Okay, so essentially Sastre rode as expected, no? But ASchleck has dug himself a huge hole I mean where does he find 30 sec on Contador? As it stands, Conta could activate the Armstrong Strategy- Follow wheels until he makes an attack at a time and place of his choosing, defend/dominate in the TT in the and then- in theory- the Tour is his.

Bralisford/Wiggins showed naivete to GT stage planning…I was really disappointed that Wiggins, the TT stud with with only 2 TT stages in this Tour chose to overthink the weather and then ride a pedestrian race when conditions did not suit. I think that he is not good at varying his effort when conditions are not perfect or to his liking (Remember the bike throw at last years TT WC?).

I am convinced that he also approached the prologue like the Olympic 4000m- WHich works except he is not racing the clock in a perfectly controlled dome on mirror smooth surfaces in airconditioned comfort- he is racing on the road, in the elements and winning the stage is secondary IF he really considers himself a GC threat. The ONLY time that matters is that relative to rivals and he should have done a much better job to race yesterday.

And I don’t wanna hear about weather conditions… Even if it was pissing rain, TdF Racers are paid to find a way to put down a spectacular time (see Martin, T, Millar, D or Farrar, T- all of whom rode wonderful times in the wet…) so to shut it down and say you are preservingyourself is a stupid strategy- You can’t find that time later- barring disasters- and it makes no sense to have roaring form in week three when you start day 2 30 seconds behind. Did SKY forget that there are no time bonuses and so you can win the stage and still lose the race?

Stupid…

On the other hand, LA drilled it today because he knew that putting 30-40 sec into Schleck/Sastre/Wiggo/Basso NOW is much better than trying to slice seconds out of them in the Alps/Pyrenees later. Conta then had LA’s times to base his effort on while being careful, and then Cancellara was Cancellara. Does anyone think that it was coincidental that these 3 cats rode last??

I think that by treating this as an Olympic event where the other riders largely don’t matter, Wiggo/Sky showed a severe tactical weakness that may well come back to bite them…

ASchleck has presented Riis with a really massive tactical problem to manage- But since he is jumping ship, I would not be surprised in Riis shifts tactics to Defending the Jersey as long as he can, and seeing of Cancellara can pull off an early stage win a la 2007

Sastre showed his tenacity and grit, and the fact that he is on the backside of a Brilliant career

LA showed that he came to play, but 9 flat K’s is a bit different from climbing the Tourmalet- twice.

And Conta showed that he is right where he needs to be, and can hang with the big TT studs when necessary- I expect him to focus all his attention on staying upright and in the Peloton as he activates the Armstrong strategy until the Alps. I think he tries to shed the level “B” rivals there and then rides away in the Pyrenees…
Then expect a similar intelligent performance on the last TT if he is in Yellow!

But then again, I though that Wimbledon mens final would have had a Certain R Federer in it today as well, so let’s actually have the race no?

Cheers!

DoctorNurse

by Doctornurse on Jul 4, 2010 5:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

I love your posts... absolute gems and all the better for their rarity..

"How strange it was to see men doing something beautiful. Something pointless and elegant." Tim Winton, 'Breath'

by Seahorse on Jul 4, 2010 5:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nice write up Jens, always funny and poignant at the same time.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Jul 4, 2010 5:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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