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Podium Cafe Interviews Jonathan Vaughters: Part 2, Transitions!

Garmin-Transitions, Amgen Tour of California, 2010.

Interview by Jen See and Chris Fontecchio

In our first installment of our four-part interview with Garmin-Cervélo's Jonathan Vaughters, we talked about how the merger (if that's the right word) came about between two ambitious, young franchises. From instability comes some serious ballast; from chaos comes a broader program, a bigger, more ambitious single project under the Slipstream Sports franchise. So what does that mean on the road for the newly transformed team Garmin-Cervélo?

More riders. More stars. More wins. More top dogs. This is the story of what an American cycling team owner does when something big and powerful drops in his lap — whether that's what he was looking for or not. Anyone familiar with the sport could look at the package of Cervélo Test Team stars suddenly cut loose and say, sure, I'd love to have them on my team. Names like Hushovd (and his fancy jersey), Haussler, Klier, Hammond, who wouldn't want them around? Who can say no to the Rainbow Jersey?

But nothing is ever that simple. Take my kids, for example. Walk them through our neighborhood toy store and they'll point out hundreds of enticing items. As it happens, their birthdays are both in December, the toy-gettingest month of the year already. So once a year, life backs up a truck and buries us in a cascade of toys. Before long, unbridled joy is replaced by total play-paralysis, until us parents intervene, clear the playroom floor, and establish some order. Maybe you can have all the toys you want, but until you know what to do with them, it's not as great as it sounds.

Vaughters has the toys now. And the trick is to figure out how to play with them.

Star-divide

The New Classics Heavyweight

PdC: Is it fair to say that the transformation of the team into a classics behemoth wasn't planned, it just fell in your lap?

JV: Yeah, that would be a very fair assessment. But you know, when we looked at all the different elements of how are we going to do this, that was something we really liked. You know, wow! We can build an incredible squad. And, earlier in the year, we had had discussions with Fabian Cancellara, and those didn't go anywhere, but it was interesting in that, when we looked at it in the end, it was like "well, OK, we're not going to get Fabian, so how do you win the classics?" The only way you beat the guy is if you build a team where you've got eight guys who are 99% as strong as Fabian, and if they cohesive as a unit, then you can actually beat him.

Jonathan Vaughters Garmin-Cervélo at Podium Cafe. Photo: Doug Pensinger/Getty.It's interesting...  I'm not saying that this was our second choice, because (talking to Cancellara) was months and months before the Cervélo deal, but in retrospect it was hey, it looks like we're going to get what we want anyway.

PdC: So have you called Giorgio Squinzi yet for advice on how to deal six or seven aces at a time?

JV: [Chuckles] Yeah, it's going to be tricky, there's no doubt about that. We're going to have run a very disciplined outfit or the potential for conflict arises. It's a matter of really operating as a team, and one of the things I made clear in the Caymans (winter training camp) was the objective of this team to be the number one ranked team in the world by the end of the year. And not by the weird UCI weighting system for the licensing...

PdC: The real ones.

JV: Yeah, the world tour points, you can go online at the UCI website and look at.

PdC: What about our world rankings? I thought for sure you were going to say "by the Podium Cafe World Rankings."

JV: Sure! any ranking. — But yeah, in that objective I said, in order for us to achieve that, everyone is going to have to perform, everyone is going to have to work for other people. Depending on the race, everyone once in a while is going to have to bite the bullet. And then everyone is going to have the opportunity.

And if you step one foot back you realize, wow, my opportunities are going to be greater than they were before. Like, Paris-Roubaix for example. Thor is as of right now you could say Thor is definitely going to be our leader for Paris-Roubaix, right? But in one of our meetings with Andreas Klier, he pointed out that of course the team will work for Thor, but in doing so we create so many options. You know, OK, to set up Thor, we're gonna have Sep Vanmarcke attack, and everyone will be watching Thor. So hopefully we have 6 or 7 guys in the lead group, you create a dynamic where the other teams don't want to blow their wad chasing down Sep Vanmarcke, and then therefore he gets out there and maybe he... (Ed: best not to say it aloud just yet). So there are opportunities for the other aces that are created by having such a strong team. It's just a matter of everyone being very unselfish and working as a team and we'll get there.

Luckily, between Thor and Tyler, they're both very unselfish people naturally, so that helps us a lot. I mean, with different personalities this becomes more difficult, but with those two guys, they're very genuine and good people.

PdC: Yeah, it's good not to have guys chasing down teammates, that gets very ugly. And then you get heckled on the internet for that. 

JV: Yeah, you do definitely get heckled for that.

Big Thor/Bryn Lennon, Getty.PdC: Well, with Thor and Tyler in particular they might get categorized as the same type of rider, but they're actually different in some ways. So is it possible that as one way to sort this out you're looking at a four-week block from Milano-Sanremo to Paris-Roubaix. With Roubaix being a special target for Thor at the end of that time, will you have them time their peaks differently?

JV: Yeah, well, the human body is hard to time perfectly. I know, you're right, one of the ideal races in that time is Gent-Wevelgem, that's a race where we should be for Tyler 100%. He can certainly make the lead selection in that race and be the fastest sprinter there, so Tyler could be maximum priority for Gent-Wevelgem while Thor is maximum priority for Paris-Roubaix. Flanders, I think is a mix and we have a bunch of guys who can do well there. Thor can do well, although historically he never has. Tyler can do well, David Millar... Flanders I think will be a very open game for us and we'll see how it develops.

You can break it down and prioritize guys, but if you take a totally rigid tactic, you say "this is the guy we're looking for and that's it," then you lose a lot of those opportunities with guys like Sep, Andreas Klier, Roger Hammond, Martijn Maaskant, all those guys can play a really important role. Of course they can chase down breakaways, they can also be in breakaways and make everyone else chase.

Tour de France: Men of Intrigue

PdC: So turning to the Tour, I was curious if you've given thought to a GC leader next year, or if you're planning more like what you're doing with the classics. Is it a group project?

JV: Yeah, it is a group project for the GC. We had Ryder, who did an incredible ride, we've got Christian who's done an incredible ride in the past. Every year, three years' running, we've produced the surprise of the GC. So I'm hoping that's what happens this year. Who's it going to be? I don't know. 

We have a number of candidates, and if I would have said Ryder Hesjedal at this point in 2009, people would have chuckled. And you know what, quite frankly I knew Ryder was really strong, I didn't know that he was capable of 7th in the Tour de France. Same as Brad Wiggins. I love Brad Wiggins, I absolutely wanted him on the team, same as Ryder. I push these guys, and I basically give them opportunities, they can do whatever they think they can. But in the end they're the ones who end up surprising me.

So who can that be this year? I think we have a number of candidates, you guys can look them up, but there's Christophe Le Mevel, there's Tom Danielson, there's Dan Martin, it could come from a number of different places. I'm not saying just those three guys, I don't even know yet if those three will be on the Tour de France team. But we seem to be able to produce the surprise of the year.

This year's gonna be a little trickier to do that because of our first week objectives. You look at the team time trial, there are some of those stage wins we'll be going after, there's a couple of those hilltop finishes that Thor really loves. So amongst all-that it's gonna be tricky carrying too many GC-oriented guys on the team this year.

Ryder Hesjedal, Garmin-Transitions. Photo: Bryn Lennon/Getty.

PdC: That was my next question — how do you anticipate balancing your sprinters' ambitions, since you have two guys that are on fire, with your GC ambitions.

JV: With Christian Vande Velde or Ryder, it's not so difficult. You think of the Tour, are they strong in the team time trial? Absolutely. They're both pretty big, strong guys. They're guys I can send to the front with 10k to go to help with lead-out. They're GC riders, but they're not Carlos Sastre.

PdC: [laughing] I want to see Sastre do the lead-out! Man, that'd be awesome.

JV: The balance is really easy there. But for instance, you look at Christophe Le Mevel or Dan Martin, it's a bit tricky. Can I ask those guys to go pull on the front for 20k? Mmm...

PdC: They're climber dudes! That wouldn't be very nice.

JV: So we want to have a guy, maybe two, up in the higher end of the GC, but we're pretty focused on winning stages. I'll remind you guys, Slipstream Sports has never won a stage of the Tour de France. So first things first.

PdC: What do you think of the changes to the points competition? As a team with multiple options, do you think it's a more favorable format than the old format which relied more heavily on stage wins?

JV: I think that remains to be seen. It's definitely going to make the racing more aggressive. The most anticipatable thing about this that you can easily say is that the first 100k of each stage with this mid-race sprint are going to be really interesting in the HTC versus Garmin-Cervélo duel. It's definitely going to push both of our teams in ways that we haven't pushed before. What the outcome of that will be or who it favors or doesn't favor? Those are good questions but we don't have the answer yet.

Or put it this way — say a breakaway of five guys goes off. Those mid-race point sprints go down 15 deep. You still have to sprint for that sixth place.

What About That Irish Kid?

PdC: I want to ask about Dan Martin. I know it's still a chance that he goes to the Tour. Is there any way for a guy at his age — he's young, he's dynamic, he obviously has a very serious future ahead of him. He's got a Vuelta and a Giro in his legs. Does he need to be at the Tour to continue his progression this year, or is that not necessarily the case?

JV: Well, Dan has shown — and we've all seen it, in one-day races and one-week races — Dan has shown an incredible talent for explosive climbing. What I want to see is, before we stick Dan in the Tour — because Dan has a winner's mentality. Dan is either 134th or he's first. And it's funny, his cousin Nicholas Roche is the exact opposite, he's always 6th place or 12th. So it's interesting watching those two guys, cousins, grew up together, similar age, and they're totally different.

Dan Martin, Garmin-Transitions, Liège-Bastogne-Liège, 2010. Photo: Bryn Lennon/Getty.The thing with Dan is, he's a winner. If he's racing, he's racing to win. I don't know how to describe that, he just has that in him. So if you take Dan to the Tour de France, and he's having to pull on the front... ahh, I don't know if that's the best decision for him.

Conversely, even though he's done the Vuelta and done the Giro, he's never done very well in them. So for me, the next step for Dan is winning the week-long races and the one-day races with a little more consistency, and then going to the grand tours and being good. I'm not saying win the Vuelta or win the Giro. I'm just saying, on a little more consistent basis that he's up there in the mountains. So that's the next step for Dan. And then after he does that, then we can start throwing him into the whole Tour de France pandemonium.

PdC: It seems like there are a lot of stages at the Giro this year that would suit his mentality and strengths.

JV: Yeah. I agree with you. But Dan, he had a lot of problems with allergies, though now he's gotten those corrected so we'll see with Dan.  You know, there are a lot of guys who you can sit down with at November camp and plan out their whole season, and it pretty much sticks to just that as long as they don't break a collarbone or whatever. Dan, he's more up and down, and you have to be ready to change his schedule on a moment's notice. Like, you've got great form, you have to go to the next race cause you'll win it. Or, man , things aren't going too well, you were supposed to do this race but maybe let's not do it. You've got to be ready to change things around.

* * *

Cycling teams aren't divided in "cobbles" and "grand tour" segments, like the sections of your cupboard; they're more like the recipes you make, from a wider array of ingredients that you mix and match together in different ways from one day to the next. So what looks like a roster logjam in one race is an ideal scenario for the next one. There are a lot of races on the calendar, a lot of wins to chase, and while it may get a little harder to decide in advance how to attack de Ronde, there should be enough opportunities to go around. HTC and co. have struck this balance pretty well over the years, even with an alpha dog sprinter occupying much of the attention.

But then HTC have seen their share of raiding parties attacking their roster, and while it's cool to see Garmin-Cervélo loaded up beyond belief for the classics, it will take more than a few successes to convince all these aces to stay together beyond 2011. Less stacked teams will come calling on... I dunno, Haussler? Hushovd? next transfer season, offering full captaincy, no questions asked. The cobbles season, one of the team's primary focuses, is so brief and fleeting that we might not know how this kind of supercharged machine can work in a single year's time. So it'd be a shame if the window was only open in 2011.

This is more insider-y than I could know, but my hunch is that the trick for Garmin-Cervélo is not merely to spread the win chances around; it's to sell the incoming guys like Vanmarcke and the ex-Cervélos that the Slipstream project is different in some way, and better for them long-term. The way Levi Leipheimer, Chris Horner and Andreas Klöden believe their fortunes are best served in a crowded Team Bruyneel, so too must Vaughters convince the new guys that Slipstream is where they belong, as racers and as people. By the end of the year, the merger phase will look like the easy part.

Tomorrow: Doping and Sponsorship! We move away from Camp Argyle and gab about the sport more broadly, touching on two of a team owner's biggest daily challenges.

Go to Part 3: Creating Value for Sponsors

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Mister Vaughters, I love you
You know, OK, to set up Thor, we’re gonna have Sep Vanmarcke attack, and everyone will be watching Thor. So hopefully we have 6 or 7 guys in the lead group, you create a dynamic where the other teams don’t want to blow their wad chasing down Sep Vanmarcke, and then therefore he gets out there and maybe he… (Ed: best not to say it aloud just yet)

Awesooooooome

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 11, 2011 2:34 PM EST reply actions  

Elephant in the room = Haussler.

He just doesn’t come up in these, does he? My guess: he’s either JV’s not so secret weapon or the rider JV hasn’t got a clue what he’s gonna do with.

by Ed K on Jan 11, 2011 2:55 PM EST reply actions  

Yeah, I kind of wondered why he didn't come up when JV was talking classics.

Guy was 2nd in both de Ronde and MSR, and what? 7th? in Roubaix in ‘09. Last year he lost his classics season (apart from 2nd in Het Whatsit) to the knee injury, but if he’s healthy he should be a not-so-secret weapon in several big races.

It definitely got played into the ground. Even I was flinching after a while--Tyler Farrar, on that Transitions ad.

by majope on Jan 11, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

me too

Obviously JV knows exactly who he is. I suspect either he was speaking off the cuff, so we don’t want to hold him to having to mention every rider he likes (which is everyone). He was home with his kid asking him to play with him, and I know what that does to your brain. Or maybe he figured our focus was on the Americans and the world champion. Or he’s keeping it on the hush hush. Or he hadn’t met with Haussler to outline his goals. That’s about all I can think of.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

re outline of goals.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:07 PM EST up reply actions  

that's exactly what I was thinking

but is that a bad thing? I loved Cervélo’s tactic of letting HH ride his own race, & see what happens. I love the moments where, with a km or two to go, HH is off the front, and sometimes he makes it. Vaughters is describing Vanmarcke in that rôle (which clearly we’re all going to love!) but I’m crossing fingers that Garvélo continues the tactic of having in effect 1 less rider in the race, and Haussler seeing what he can do.

Works so well for the cobbles anyway, where the best plan in the world can be destroyed by luck… can’t wait to see how the team works out on the road!

by Sarah Connolly on Jan 11, 2011 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

HH is, fundamentally, a wild card here.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm kind of torn here. I do enjoy the 'let him go and see what happens' style of racing

but after a number of top ten results you have to wonder how he’d do with the support of the team thrown behind him. Maybe not as well, if all eyes were on him. But maybe he’d convert some of those seconds to firsts.

It definitely got played into the ground. Even I was flinching after a while--Tyler Farrar, on that Transitions ad.

by majope on Jan 11, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

GHH is the only one who can actually win Flanders on Garvelo

if he gets his 2009 form back. And I do not understand how one can not notice a blob of gloriousness on your team…cmon JV

"I just want to say fuck you, and I mean that in the most professional way" -Brandon Llyod
SAVE CHAUNCEY!!!!

by Phil H. on Jan 11, 2011 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah

I can’t see anyone of the riders he mentions regarding Flanders to actually win there. Except Haussler. Though when he got 2nd it was after a bunch gallop where Maaskant got 4th, Hammond, Klier and Hushovd (who crashed out in the sprint) were also in the group.

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Jan 11, 2011 4:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Vaughters will be missing major opportunties,

if he doesn’t play Martin in the GT’s in a more planned way. I understand his arguments for dropping Martin in the tour, but why not plan an assault in the Giro. Perhaps he has his eyes on ToC instead.

Also I believe the team ranking system (along with the relegation threat) will automatically ensure no team can “hog” a large group of similar riders. Real winners will always seek the best possible opportunties over time, which is a good thing for the overall competition. Until any changes may happen, there is little doubt that Garmin will be a major force in the classics next year.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:04 PM EST reply actions  

came from Le Mevel, as I recall

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

In his Giro and Vuelta, Martin has not done anything to make me think he will be a successful GT rider

Whereas in Poland and his many one-day results, he has looked outstanding at times. Not sure if it’s age or just the style of rider he is, but I would love to see him peaking for the big one-day hilly classics, and not wasting form on mediocre GT performances.

"Thanks again, Floyd Landis, Yellow Jersey Wearer: Nuisance Category"

by PopUp Rolen on Jan 11, 2011 3:10 PM EST up reply actions  

indeed

I got the sense that Vaughters himself considers this one of his most intriguing questions. He’s got a lot of riders with whom he knows exactly what he’ll get and how to deploy them. I think that’s the purpose of the Nick Roche comparison. But with Martin it’s uncertain, with the range of GT possibilities being from mediocre to something pretty exciting.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm thinking that he is such an explosive rider, as seen in Poland and the classics, that if you can harness that energy

and ride him through some GT’s so he can get the miles in his legs for experience, then he could be a contender.

Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!

by Vlaanderen90 on Jan 11, 2011 3:15 PM EST up reply actions  

yup

TBD

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

That would be a solution, and

should he fail to hang on to a top overall placement, he can always go for a spectacular stage win.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:22 PM EST up reply actions  

He can definitely and should try both

But if you have to peak for the Giro or Ardennes, I’m telling Dan to go for the Ardennes. If he has to peak for the Tour or Dauphine, I’d rather try and win the Dauphine than finish 45th in the Tour.

"Thanks again, Floyd Landis, Yellow Jersey Wearer: Nuisance Category"

by PopUp Rolen on Jan 11, 2011 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

And

they will. No doubt. You can’t answer questions like this if you don’t give him a shot.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

So far he does not

but Nibali didn’t look like a GT contender for awhile either, at least I didn’t think he had it in him, Then before the Vuelta Velits wasn’t going very far in GTs and so on. He needs more experience still before it can be said with certainty he isn’t a GT rider.

"I just want to say fuck you, and I mean that in the most professional way" -Brandon Llyod
SAVE CHAUNCEY!!!!

by Phil H. on Jan 11, 2011 3:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Nibali was always a solid TT'er, which combined with the ability to climb relatively

well is a very good early indicator imo. Martin’s TT skills are a bit unknown I think or?

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not sure he's all that good a TTer, unfortunately?

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Sure.

But it helps to be able to know you’re not going to lose too much, I think. Plus Andy’s much more consistent than Dan, as I said below. With Dan I’m always waiting for the bad day, or the day when he gets ill or whatever.

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

a la J-rod, for example

RULE 42:
A bike ride/race shall never be preceeded with a swim and/or followed by a run

by perezbike on Jan 11, 2011 11:08 PM EST up reply actions  

He TT needs to become much better, it makes Andy look good

but I wasn’t sure Nibs had what it took for a 3 week race before last year, that’s more what I mean. Dan Martin can win one week races without a doubt but can he maintain the strength and focus?

"I just want to say fuck you, and I mean that in the most professional way" -Brandon Llyod
SAVE CHAUNCEY!!!!

by Phil H. on Jan 11, 2011 4:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, really top GC guys are very rare anyway. Almost impossible to predict

before it really happens.
I don’t know if I would ever put Martin near such a bracket, but he may become a top 5 rider in the Giro one day.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

This dude named Bettini

had a pretty decent career never being a GC guy.

Perhaps Martin outta look into that . . .

by R Mc on Jan 11, 2011 6:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Interesting, though, when you look at how Nibali won the Vuelta...

He was very patient, and rationed his strength really well—look at the Bola del Mundo stage, for instance. Not explosive, just very strong and steady, limiting his losses, maximizing his gains. From what JV says about Martin, the all-or-nothing mentality, he’s not so calculating.

But agreed, it’s too early to know for sure.

What else can I say? I'm really happy. --Vincenzo Nibali

by tgartner on Jan 11, 2011 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep.

Nibs seemed to be a really smart rider who knew exactly what he needed to do & was able to do it. With Dan, I’m not so sure whether it’s a question of mentality or physical inconsistency: some days/races he seems able to do it, other days/races not. But maybe the treatment he’s had for the allergies will help with that.

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Nibali is very mature already.

Martin perhaps more a “wild” young man.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:57 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry, I seem to have lost the rest of that post

What I was trying to say is I don’t know whether it’s mental or physical. Nibs rode that Vuelta incredibly smartly but also consistently, whereas Dan seems to be one of those riders who some days/races can do it & other days/races can’t. Perhaps the allergy treatment will help with that ability to ride consistently. Plus if you’re worried your body might not always hold out, that probably affects the psychology of how you race.

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 4:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Nibali seems to simply lack explosiveness and he fully understands his strength

it seems. Martin appears “untamed” and explosive. He could learn to be more calculating.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know if he could.

I think experience will help, but he’s always been an “unscientific” rider, a rider who liked to go on feel etc. That was one of his (many) issues with British Cycling all those years ago.

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:56 PM EST up reply actions  

me too

I’m a bit of a fan of Brummie Dan. ;-)

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 4:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Martin

for either the Dauphiné or Tour de Suisse?

moo

by Willj on Jan 11, 2011 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

For me that's a good call.

"What happened in British Cycling, a lot of people doubted me. I've come back, got this victory, and done it my way." - Adam Blythe after his first pro win at Circuit Franco Belge

by civetta on Jan 11, 2011 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

it would make a lot of sense, yes.

But what really struck me about listening to Vaughters talk about Martin is that here’s a rider who is really unpredictable. Part of the reason Vaughters sounded vague about Martin is that he feels he can’t plan too much ahead. Martin’s form comes and goes, so Vaughters – and Matt White, presumably – try to match him up with races when his form is hot. That could mean Paìs Vasco, or it could mean the Dauphiné Libéré. it could mean Liège-Bastogne-Liège.

I think he’s a total wild card rider – the sort that makes oddsmakers, vds players, and preview writers cry. He could be awesome or he could be out the back. Or, he could not even start.

by Jen See on Jan 11, 2011 7:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Suisse was JV’s call two seasons back. The real issue wth DM is health. He’s in danger of becomng the new Phllip Deignan, constanly missing the best part of the season wth this lurgy or that. Hopefully the Dec nose-job will have done the bz and he can get an uninterupted season out of him this year. I still favour him over Nicolas Roche to do the biz sooner.

pounding along in three ratios like a sonata
like a Ritter with pommelled scrotum atra cura on the step
Botticelli from the fork down pestling the transmission
tires bleeding voiding zeep the highway

by fmk on Jan 12, 2011 2:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm still confused about what will be happening with the classics squad...i.e. you can't have 8 guys who can win the race

because who is going to go back for bottles during the first 100-150k? Plus somebody will be unhappy because they have so many good classics riders that 1 or 2 won’t be getting the start at Flanders/Roubaix but thats just the name of the game.

Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!

by Vlaanderen90 on Jan 11, 2011 3:13 PM EST reply actions  

Right

I probed as to whether he’d have a few peaking early for MSR and others late for P-R, as one way of spreading around the opportunity over four weeks. But I gather it’s not that simple.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

yup

and it’ll be fascinating to watch.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Historically, I tend to view Garmins approach to racing as a bit of an anarchy,

when it comes to GT GC stuff. The team brings a couple of contenders and whoever steps up gets to be the main man. That approach will work in 2011 again I think. However on the Classics side, with some many top riders, tough negotiations will be needed.

by Uphill on Jan 11, 2011 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Who are the riders we are assuming for the classics squad?

Haussler? Check. Hammond? Check. Vansummeren? Check. Who else is left? Klier? Kreder maybe? Maaskant? Just curious.

"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10

by Ahillock on Jan 12, 2011 11:12 AM EST up reply actions  

Sep!

And, ehrm… the world champ maybe?

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 12, 2011 11:20 AM EST up reply actions  

oops, brain fart. forgot thor and farrar. ;)

"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10

by Ahillock on Jan 12, 2011 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

If you get struck by lightning in the near future

You have only yourself to thank :)

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 12, 2011 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I would peg the following riders for the cobbled classics

A-Team: Klier, Millar, Haussler, Van Summeren, Maaskant, Hammond, Hushovd, Farrar
B-Team: Sep Vanmarcke, Dan Lloyd, Rasch, Dean, Lancaster

"Thanks again, Floyd Landis, Yellow Jersey Wearer: Nuisance Category"

by PopUp Rolen on Jan 12, 2011 11:21 AM EST up reply actions  

I figure they save Dean and Lancaster if the others stay healthy

Optimally they want those guys to do 3 GTs. I think a higher degree of specialization is to be expected from a team of this size.

by Jens on Jan 12, 2011 11:25 AM EST up reply actions  

I'd say Lancaster will be at the classics, Dean not so much...I doubt Farrar will trust anybody except Dean for some reason.

Hopefully they switch out Farrar from Roubaix for Lancaster or someone. Better to have a workhorse for Thor.

Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!, Tommeke!

by Vlaanderen90 on Jan 12, 2011 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Holy crap

Guessing Millar skips Paris-Roubaix for another helper, and Vanmarcke gets a start in de Ronde.

One wrinkle: E3/GW weekend:

E3: Millar, Vansummeren, Maaskant, Hammond, Hushovd
GW: Farrar, Vanmarcke, Dean, Lancaster
Haussler and Klier… both??

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 12, 2011 1:43 PM EST up reply actions  

cobbled Classics...

these are good lists. I’d rather have Dan Lloyd in Roubaix for support. I’m not convinced about Farrar, including his willingness to work for Thor.

by LachesisV on Jan 14, 2011 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Don't know whether to praise ya'll

Or splutter with rage that you did not follow up on Vaughters lobbing out Danielson as a potential gc surprise.

by R Mc on Jan 11, 2011 4:36 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Hey, maybe it really is his year

And maybe the Cubs will win the World Series.

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Jan 11, 2011 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Ha!

Yes, we let that one go by ;)

Promise, we’ll do better next time.

by Jen See on Jan 11, 2011 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

JV is just trying to get us to go for TD for our VDS teams.

Chris put him up to it, duh.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Jan 12, 2011 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Sorry for being off topic, but I looked under fanposts and fanshots but didn't find the answer,

any idea when VDS2011will be live?

"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10

by Ahillock on Jan 11, 2011 5:08 PM EST reply actions  

not sure

hopefully in a matter of days.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 11, 2011 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

thanks, was worried I might have missed news on it since I haven't been on as much.

Thanks for the update.

"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10

by Ahillock on Jan 11, 2011 5:13 PM EST up reply actions  

We'll make sure to have lots of reminders!

And twitters! And well, everything!

So, hopefully, you won’t miss it, even if you’re off the grid for a few days.

by Jen See on Jan 11, 2011 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Very interesting post, and even more interesting discussion.

I know for sure, that JV has a very hard job! So many egos to massage!
Can’t wait till the next installment. Hope we will find out JV take on Cantador’s situation.

I used to be a big fan of the Racer Formerly Known as Bert! But then again, I used to believe in Santa ,Tooth Fairy and innocence of Floyd!

.

by holmovka on Jan 11, 2011 9:21 PM EST reply actions  

So many things running through the noggin

First of all, looking at the photo of the Garmin team at the intro made me realize, I’m really going to miss their kit. It’s the kit I love to hate. Sure there are a lot of kits to hate, but that’s not what I’m talking about here, that kit is synonymous with the the team that I’ve chosen to be my arch rival as a fan. I want the kit back so much now, I’m wondering if I really liked it. So confused.

Next, I will be surprised if any of the big Cervelo recruits will stay next year. If many do stay, then all credit goes to this Garmin organization and the selflessness of the riders. I actually believe the organization has the skills, I don’t have as much faith in the selflessness of the riders.

JV sounds like another director that has a different approach than a P. Lefevere (for me, that’s saying JV is not an old school dickhead), so that gives him a better than average shot at making what looks like an overcrowded room of big toys find their way of working together and around each other.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Jan 11, 2011 10:42 PM EST reply actions  

Yep

I think this is interesting to watch for sure – how successful the team is at integrating all this talent. It’s like totally The Story. I do wonder how many riders will stay beyond the first season.

by Jen See on Jan 12, 2011 11:57 AM EST up reply actions  

I already had the garmen as my largest contend on VDS

2011 will be a tough year.

RULE 42:
A bike ride/race shall never be preceeded with a swim and/or followed by a run

by perezbike on Jan 11, 2011 11:13 PM EST reply actions  

Great Work Guys!!!!!

The Gamin-Cervelo merger – I see lots of Podium finishes and top ten places in store for the Classics. Somehow they are not a bunch of riders that strike me as potentially big race winners. Last year their ace Thor Hushovd was slower than usual, he’s no longer a favourite in the bunch finishes, (however he made amends with the sprint at the Worlds). I think their best bet will be Haussler for a Classic win and Dan Martin/Hesjedal at small stage races. We can expect solid rides from these guys but they wont be the number one team this year.

IMO Sep Vanmarcke has a long ways to go before being able to play his cards at a major classic.

I'm sure the riders I've ridden with before think that I have cheated. But fuck them - Richie Porte insisting that he won clean.

by singhstax on Jan 12, 2011 9:58 AM EST reply actions  

Traitor
IMO Sep Vanmarcke has a long ways to go before being able to play his cards at a major classic.

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 12, 2011 11:09 AM EST up reply actions  

He could go backwards?

To April, when he played his cards in a major classic.

by Jens on Jan 12, 2011 11:22 AM EST up reply actions  

In fairness

JV talked of him taking it slow this year. On the other hand, he’s kinda sorta ready.

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 12, 2011 1:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Well yeah, I'm not exactly expecting him to win RVV (that's next year)

But having come second in GW, only being outsprinted by Bernie Eisel, beating Philippe Gilbert… bit weird to say he “has a long ways to go before being able to play his cards at a major classic.” Imho.

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 12, 2011 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

res ipsa loquitur

"Next year we will build a strong team around Tom. We don't need pseudo-stage racers any more in this team." -Patrick Lefevre, 2005

by Chris Fontecchio on Jan 12, 2011 2:39 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

I'm sure the riders I've ridden with before think that I have cheated. But fuck them - Richie Porte insisting that he won clean.

by singhstax on Jan 12, 2011 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

He was LUCKY at Ghent Wevelgem

ALL the riders in the break underestimated Sep Vanmarcke at the Ghent Wevelgem. Can anyone remember when Oscar literally chased him to the back of the paceline because he could not contribute?
How about when he attacked within the last km and no one picked him up? He abandoned his attempt and fell backwards into the group without being chased.

I'm sure the riders I've ridden with before think that I have cheated. But fuck them - Richie Porte insisting that he won clean.

by singhstax on Jan 12, 2011 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

He's 20!

A twenty year old got second through luck alone? Screw that – anyone got second through luck alone? It wasn’t even a bunch sprint.

Death before decaf! :D
- gavia

by tgsgirl on Jan 12, 2011 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

As I am typing this I have the Video Running

I agree he is young, but his second was not that impressive. The hardest part of the 2010 Ghent Wevelgem was to get into the winning break. After that was a team time trial to the line, and the fastest rider won, there were no attacks and counters. It was like everyone felt they could have beaten each other at the line.

I'm sure the riders I've ridden with before think that I have cheated. But fuck them - Richie Porte insisting that he won clean.

by singhstax on Jan 12, 2011 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

disagree

the kid cramped up, what, in the last 1.5k?

And you figure as you watch . . . oh well, nice run, good result.

But then the little jackass (I mean that lovingly) not only gets back to the group, BUT attacks them for the win.

That’s grinta.

by R Mc on Jan 12, 2011 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

The gorilla (not named Andre) in the room of predicting Cycling seasons:

(and no, not the d-problem either) is crashes and repetitive-motion injuries

Odds are that someone in this bunch winds up like Haussler or Farrar or O’Grady . . . or massively over-trained like Boassen Hagen or Wiggans.

by R Mc on Jan 12, 2011 10:44 AM EST reply actions  

I thought about the training too hard part

with all these guys competing to get on the roster for certain races. I could see some guys working hard in the build-up for races to get picked for the squad, only to be useless come race day.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Jan 12, 2011 5:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Which is why the teams who basically name their Tour squads in January dominate

The teams that have their guys fighting to “earn” their spots spend July in the autobus.

by Jens on Jan 12, 2011 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

So what do you guys think Ryder will do in 2011?

Was 2010 just the perfect year will all the stars lined up for him with a dose of good luck? Or can he repeat his performance?

"We saw death and I don't think we fear it anymore. Not unlike 2005, when we finally clinched and then we took off in the playoffs." Coop 7/29/10

by Ahillock on Jan 12, 2011 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

I think he is capable of a top 8-12 at the tour, not much more

His real potential is in one-day races though I think. I think he is capable of a podium at any of the Ardennes races, and if luck falls his way, may even be able to win one.

His time-trialing is pretty decent as well, so I think he could do well in some weeklong stage races.

"Thanks again, Floyd Landis, Yellow Jersey Wearer: Nuisance Category"

by PopUp Rolen on Jan 12, 2011 11:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Oooh

He’s an intriguing rider, for sure. I think he could go top ten in the Tour on a good ride. I think a hilly classic win is probably within his abilities, too, if the race goes his way. Fun to watch this one.

by Jen See on Jan 12, 2011 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

With all the talent on Garmin-Cervello this year I think the question is will he get as many

chances as he did last year? Some fine results in many of the races he started in 2010.

by fancan on Jan 12, 2011 12:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Despite the increase in talent, I think Ryder's skill set is not an area of strength for Garmin

So i think he should be the leader at most races he wants, including all of the hilly classics. Ryder and Dan Martin are a nice one-two I think for the Ardennes.

"Thanks again, Floyd Landis, Yellow Jersey Wearer: Nuisance Category"

by PopUp Rolen on Jan 12, 2011 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd agree with that one

They are very flat classics and sprint heavy at the moment. So climbers like Martin, Hesjedal, they’re going to have space to make results when they have the legs.

by Jen See on Jan 12, 2011 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I find it interesting that Cancellara was looking for a new team last spring.

    The Schlecks weren’t planning to leave SaxoBank last spring and their contracts were up at the end of 2010. ;-)
    
  I would have found it kind of like, you know, but not really exactly, but kind of IRONIC if JV bought Cancellara’s contract from Riis (although it’s not the same as what happened last year with Wiggins).

    I’m not saying anything except that it raises a few questions about the Schlecks and Fabian and what their timelines really were versus what they are saying.

by flying dog on Jan 12, 2011 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

If there were negotiations

between Cance’s agent and Garmin, it doesn’t mean Cancellara was ever interested or looking. May be that his agent was just doing his job entertaining offers.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Jan 12, 2011 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

If there were negotiations

Then about four months after Wiggo left his team, got spit roasted for doing so, and accused of many things including lacking class, after Millar and others gave lectures on how Garmin “understood the soul of cycling” etc etc, the head of team would appear to be enquiring about Cancellara’s availability despite him having the best part of two years left on his contract. Just saying…

by andrewp on Jan 14, 2011 6:40 PM EST up reply actions  

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