FanPost

Food for thought

 

A while ago I threatened to do an analysis of U23 results and their predictive value.  Long story short...this isn't it.  However, in the process of starting said analysis, I took a look at what age the peleton at large reaches a stable level of performance.  


How i did that, and what I found, on the flip...

 

 

 

 

 

What I did was take the top 500 riders in CQ from last year (I used CQ instead of VDS because I was planning on looking at the last 5 years of U23 results).  I then separated these riders by date of birth and calculated each years average rank.  

In theory, each year of rider should be represented by both domestiques and superstars.  So, again in theory, the average rank for each year should be approximately 250.  If there are a disproportionate amount of worker types, then that number will be higher, more stars, lower.  

Without further ado...

Rankbydob77-89_medium

and in table form:

Avgranktable-1_medium

And since it is VDS season, I'm not going to give away the conclusions that I have drawn from this data because I (of course) am using them to find next years secret breakout riders...