How To Win Milano-Sanremo
The winter always feels forever long, but at last, we come now to Spring. In celebration, Italy brings us a bike race. Milano-Sanremo begins inland in Milano and crosses nearly 100 kilometers of flat plains. Then, it's on to the Passo Turchino which carries the riders to the coast. The race runs southwest over the uneven terrain of Italy's Ligurian Coast. The real Milano-Sanremo begins on the Cipressa, the near-final climb of the race.
Want more details on the course? Do visit my 2010 preview, Rite of Spring (with video!) and my 2009 preview, From Turchino to Poggio (with photos!). The course remains unchanged, so I feel no need to write you yet another preview. Also, there was surf today. Surely you see the connection between these events.
Instead, let's get up close and personal with the business end of this La Primavera thing, shall we? Italian geography? So over it. Ligurian Coast? Whatevs, I got plenty of coast. Also, I have better surf. We want to know how to WIN this Milano-Sanremo. So let's have a look at how to's of winning Italy's Spring classic.
The Cipresso Charge
In 1946 during the first edition of Milano-Sanremo after the Second World War, Fausto Coppi won solo after an attack on the Passo Turchino. Thems were the days, man! Wool jerseys! Steel bikes! No radios! Ahem. In any case, in The Modern Era of cycling, no crazed soul has seen fit to match this particular exploit. Alas, the poor Passo Turchino, left out of the fun. At least, she still looks pretty.
The Cipressa, added in 1982 to give the attackers more chances, summits with 23 kilometers left to race. Lionel Birnie tells us that Marc Gomez won with an attack on the Cipressa the very first year the organizers added it to the race. (People, go read that story. It's totally worth it.) In my memory, which is poor to fair rather like today's surf, no one has survived to win from the Cipressa in Sanremo. Instead, the hard men's teams typically push the tempo and try to burn the sprinters. At least one big name usually goes out the back on the Cipressa. Last year, I believe it was Mark Cavendish and his dodgy dentistry who said arrividerci to the main field on the Cipressa.
In 2003, Paolo Bettini attempted the Cipressa Charge. He created a three-up breakaway on the Cipressa. It was looking good until the Dread Headwind struck. Flat road traces the coastline after the Cipressa, and frequently, wind ruins the hopes of those riders bold enough to make a play on the Cipressa. Not far from the base of the Poggio, the bunch caught the Bettini escape and he believed his hopes had come to an end. Not so fast, for if you fail on the Cipressa, there is still yet another tactic to try. Really, we're just getting started with the winning.
The Poggio Play
The Poggio is the final climb of the day and the four kilometer climb begins with just ten kilometers to race. Like a trampoline, this climb offers the chance to bounce away from the field to victory. Only rarely does a rider succeed in this effort, because il Poggio really isn't that difficult as climbs go. The field hits it flying and the high speeds make getting and keeping a gap remarkably difficult. After his failed attempt on the Cipressa, Paolo Bettini did succeed on the Poggio. He is the most recent rider to win with an attack on the final climb, I believe.
What goes up must come down, and the descent off il Poggio puts the vertigo in vertiginous. It's fast and spinny. The road looks like someone dumped a bowl of spaghetti over the top of the hill, not that anyone would commmit such sacrilege to il Poggio or the spaghetti. The winning move may go on the climb, but it succeeds or fails on the descent. Sean Kelly shows how it's done. The hairpins grant a slight advantage to the escape, but that advantage dissipates once the bunch returns to earth with the descent's end.
The Cancellara Caper
Three flat kilometers separate the end of the Poggio descent from the finish line. It's flat. The road is wide (though this year, there is a narrow section due to construction.) There is frequently a headwind. In a recent interview, Philippe Gilbert said he hoped for a tail wind. A tail wind is the best luck an attacking rider can have, because it lessens the benefit of drafting for the chasing field and balances the equation between escape and chase.
This gambit is named after Fabian Cancellara. Why? Like, you have to ask? In 2008, Fabian Cancellara attacked on the lungomare Italo Calvino, the flat stretch of road that connects il Poggio to the finish in the piazzale Carlo Dapporto. This move rarely succeeds and few riders have Cancellara's ability to punk the sprinters with such élan. Philippe Gilbert, he dreams of a tailwind. Cancellara, he has no need of such things as tailwinds. Watch again as Samuel Sánchez, no slouch deep in the finale of a big bike race, scrambles to get on a wheel that is already a long way gone.
The sprinters' teams will hope for a headwind. They will also hope that they make it over la Cipressa and il Poggio with enough legs to contain any cheeky exuberance from the likes of Gilbert or Cancellara. Strength in numbers, that's what the sprinters need.
The Sprinter's Surprise
This final tactic is not so aptly named, for there is little surprise left in a bunch sprint. But we don't know until the final centimeter which sprinter will get the podium kisses, so maybe it isn't such a bad name after all. Just ask Heinrich Haussler. He knows well just how small the separation between winner and first loser.
In recent editions, the sprinters have not had much help by the finale of La Primavera. Last year, around thirty riders made the finish in Sanremo. The big sprinters could command only one or two team-mates, if they were lucky. The combination of la Cipressa, il Poggio, and the sheer length of the race means that the sprinters' teams are often done and then some by the time they reach the final kilometer.
So it's a sprint for the clever riders. Little wonder that Oscar Freire won last year's edition. Oh woe is me, the sprinter who needs an armchair ride to the 500 meter mark. Because really, you aren't likely to get it at Milano-Sanremo. Heinrich Haussler, he can freelance. Mark Cavendish typically has a trano, but he has also won on his own two legs. Garmin-Cervélo will hope to have three riders in the finale with Haussler, Hushovd, and Farrar, but it would be rather black swannish for that to happen on the day. So, you see, it is a surprise! The fastest sprinter wins! And who knows until the line, who it will be?
Viva La Primavera!
And that, my friends, is how Milano-Sanremo is won. In recent editions, the sprinters have outwon the escapes. But there are some handy riders on the escapers side of things: Philippe Gilbert, Filippo Pozzato (wait, where is that guy, anyway? I feel like I haven't heard his name so much lately?), Fabian Cancellara, Vincenzo Nibali, Michele Scarponi. Watch for these guys to try their chances with the attacking. Sprinters? Haussler, Freire, Cavendish, Bennati (C'mon now, be nice), Petacchi (if he starts), these dudes, they'll be hoping for headwinds and lackluster attacking. I'll leave it to you, my friends, to decide which is the most likely, the attack or the sprint, and which rider will celebrate victory in the piazzale Carlo Dapporto.
Viva la Primavera! Milano-Sanremo, at last, spring is here!
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If the Poggio Play ala Bettini happens on Saturday, I will take back every negative thing i've said about this race (which is a lot)
I picked Riccardo Ricco for my 2011 VDS team, and submitted said team well before the submission deadline. I fully understand the error of my ways, and plead with the VDS Gods to allow me to resubmit my team.
Maybe next year
This year is all about Glorious payback
"It's really who can just push the biggest gear the fastest and the hardest, and I want to be that guy" - GHH
I would be happy...
…after I got done kicking myself for dropping him from VDS.
so, I'd be happy eventually...
…but it’d take quite some time.
Another sprinters' surprise?
Not sure how to categorize 2006. Ballan broke away on the Poggio with Pozzato and Astarloa. Couple others joined on the bottom. Peloton caught the back of the group but not before Astarloa and then Pozzato counterattacked. Sprinters’ surprise? Or Poggio escape?
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 17, 2011 11:54 PM EDT reply actions
Hmm
I think that maybe makes Pozzato a poor man’s Cancellara? It’s a variation on the Cancellara move, I’d say.
sounds right
Cancellara move, only Pippo had the good fortune of the entire field being locked on his rainbow-clad teammate’s wheel. Hey, wait a minute…
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Is there a version of that for RVV...
..involving Boonen and Devolder? Because um,…
Current forecast is for a tailwind
From the north as they head across the plains and then swinging behind them as they follow the coast. However, that forecast takes no account of local effects such as sea breezes – can’t comment on those!
So a really fast race down the coast
with possible variables by the afternoon when it finishes. Gah, it’s going to be a fast one then.
no sleeping in.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
wuss
"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind
Winner winner!
That’s on tap for Sunday, a more thorough replay :D
My fruit bowl is full of sex wax--gavia
by Douglas Ansel on Mar 18, 2011 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Universal
is replaying the race about a dozen times. But no live.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Surprise:
Matti Breschel is on official startlist (pdf):
http://www.gazzetta.it/Speciali/MilanoSanremo/2011/it/download/MSIscritti1.pdf
Potentially a very pleasant surprise.
However without race km’s in his legs, he will have problems with a 300km competitive distance.
He isn't on Rabo's startlist though.
Michael Matthews races instead.
by blackswangreen on Mar 18, 2011 7:11 AM EDT up reply actions
Nice said!
Philippe Gilbert, he dreams of a tailwind. Cancellara, he has no need of such things as tailwinds.
And I dream to see Cav at the start of the MSR sandbag less!
"I love bike races warm up, warm down, cobbles mountains or flats."
perezbike
.
Indeed
the peloton dreams of tailwinds to have a chance at catching him.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions
Il Grillo Diabolico made it from the Poggio
but only because Paolini buried himself at his service.
There were a lot of fresh cowboys in the peloton and it was a nervous fuss. Tommeke
"The winter always feels forever long"
I’ve seen where you live, Gav :-)
Sea Otter Classics (tm c R I’ll fucking sue you)
Yeah
I’ll remember that line in June when it’s still 50 and cloudy here.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions
Yes, but, there is still bike riding.
For some of us, this winter thing is also a climactic phenomenon.
Oscar Freire
"I must win," he told Het Laaste Nieuws. "In this race, I am better than the other sprinters. In addition, I have my experience…I know how you can win Milan-Sanremo
look, if it's hurting me, the other one is going to be about to die now - Jens!
Enjoyed the links too
Thanks Gav. Had another visit to the Barbie Barbie saga just to get in the mood.
Thanks, Gavia
Casually astute as per your usual. The links were appreciated as well. I’m starting to get that “nervous stomach” feeling (not to be confused with Andy Schleck’s “Angry stomach”, which is like pre-race anxiety even though I’m not competing. Must mean the Classics are upon us!
Can't wait?
But you are taping it to watch later, after the pizzerias open.
So many assumptions, so little time. :D
So.... When does this thing end, approx?
Need to know which conference sessions to skip (or find wireless in) to watch from the Cippressa onward ;-)
My fruit bowl is full of sex wax--gavia
Eastern US time:
Last year finished just about noon. ‘09 about 11:24. (Looked them both up this morning in the live threads, since I’m running a trail race tomorrow morning.)
I yearn for the cobbles--Edvald Boasson Hagen
not good
i’ll be in the middle of a pub run.
make the live threads interesting. i’ll be depending on those for my replay.
"Ants don’t worry, they operate like a fantastic team, they accept obstacles and deal with them in a positive manner, they don’t complain and remain positive. An ant doesn’t work on emotion, is proactive and always chooses the ant role."
19th March Will be Unforgettable
http://www.24×7newsportal.com/2011/03/supermoon-19-march-2011-moon-closest-to.html
Who knows how this will affect La Primavera?
look, if it's hurting me, the other one is going to be about to die now - Jens!
Or
the Lungomare will be under water.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Or the off-setting gravitational pulls from the moon and Cancellaras ass
will cause the earth’s axis to shift 7cm to the left
Interesting stat about winning MSR
99.5% of those who crossed the line first have won MSR.
It's Timofey MOZGOD time
Ujiri for MVE
GALLO!!!
Ah not sure
surprisingly high though isn’t it? Really shows what you have to do to win MSR
It's Timofey MOZGOD time
Ujiri for MVE
GALLO!!!
I was thinking you were offering up a trivia question about some DQ'd cyclist and found the following:
1915 winner: Ezio Corlaita in 10hr 36min 3sec
Girardengo was 1st but disqualified for not staying on the course
Source: http://bikeraceinfo.com/classics/Milan-San%20Remo/milan-san-remo-index.html
I checked this story (cause I was unsure if this was reliable) and http://www.milansanremo.co.uk/1926story.htm backs it up with some interesting history on Costante Girardengo:
Costante Girardengo was born in Novi Ligure, Alexandria, Italy on 18 March 1893 and won the Milan-San Remo six times (1918,21,23,25,26,and 28). He had also finished 1st in 1915 but was disqualified for going off course. Girardengo finished in the the first three every year from 1917 to 1926! Only Eddy Merckx, with seven victories, has more. Girardengo holds the record for most wins in the Milan-Turin with five victories and was Italian professional champion for seven years running between 1919 and 1925. He was ranked number one in the world in 1919, 22-23, 25-26.
That milansanremo.co.uk web page is quite interesting…
by JustJoshinYa on Mar 18, 2011 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions
oh and Girardengo won 9 Italian championships, if anyone is curious
probably would have been even better if it wasn’t for WW1. He also had 5 victories in Emellia too
by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 18, 2011 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Only after 1950
Before then it was the first Italian.
If cobble delusions are wrong, who wants to be right? -JFS PGH
by Chris Fontecchio on Mar 18, 2011 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions
Nice breakdown.
I’m hoping for Nibali and the Poggio Play, cause he’s got the skill set; failing that, Goss or Matthews with the Sprinter’s Surprise, cause anything can happen in a bunch sprint.
What else can I say? I'm really happy. --Vincenzo Nibali
Nibs would be a fun winner :)
I like Goss’s chances, though not sure about the distance. Same for Bling, good speed, not sure how he’ll fare over monument length.
I’ll take Barbie to win ahead of Freire.
Gosss has won Pluoay which is over 250km so it will be close
by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 18, 2011 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, what's an extra 50k
At race pace? Piece o’ cake
by R Mc on Mar 18, 2011 7:38 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Okay? Length isn't a problem for some guys...Modolo was 4th place in his first San Remo
Oss was also in the lead bunch in his first San Remo….Goss DNFed last year but seeing how he has progressed, it would be reasonable to expect him to be there
by Vlaanderen90 on Mar 18, 2011 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't like any of those picks...
all of them on other VDS teams but not my own.
"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton
I'll be rolling in the YDS points tomorrow to the sound of 1000+
Cav
GHH
Sagan
R. Feillu
Boom
Rosseler
T. Vaitkus (team leader and Milan-San Remonator)
"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton
YDS points...what are those?
You should get a penalty assessed for the typo.
by JustJoshinYa on Mar 18, 2011 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Y as in Yours truly?
"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton
shit
more deductions for Seahorsing
"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

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