Tour de France Preview Stage 11!
So, Greipel takes it to Cavendish at last, eh? Nothing like a little rivalry to add zesty goodness to the proceedings. Wednesday's stage offers Cavendish a chance to exact his revenge. Yes, it seems we have one more sprint stage to go before the mountains. Last chance for the sprinters!
The Tour de France counts down to the mountains with a sprint stage running 165.7 kilometers from Blayes-les-Mines to Lavaur. Wednesday's stage includes only two categorized climbs, and they won't cause anyone much difficulty. The course map looks like an upside down Z, and it sends the Tour ever closer to the Pyrénées mountains. The first mountain stage of this year's Tour de France comes on Thursday with a finish on Luz Ardiden.
As for this stage 11, it's all about the sprinters. Though no doubt someone will go out early on the attack (I'm looking at you Français des Jeux!), the break is almost certainly doomed. After Wednesday, only two more chances for the sprinters remain in this year's Tour de France. Tomorrow, it's time to race bikes. (I'm looking at you HTC-Highroad!)
I'm going to go ahead and call this one Cavendish's Revenge. Hey! At least, there's no more talk of aliens using our organisms! Which is so totally a relief.
Here is the stage 11 profile and the current race standings.
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Ah the old sneaky rotating technique
I know it well.
"On paper, your team is awesome." -- Pigeons on my WVDS team, and life in general.
Nah you're right,
if you flip it upside down. Ah the old flipping technique, I know it well.
"On paper, your team is awesome." -- Pigeons on my WVDS team, and life in general.
That's not upside down.
That’s 180° rotation.
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi.
"If I couldn't play for the Colts, I would probably stop playing football." - Peyton Manning.
by gizzardfanny on Jul 12, 2011 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions
looks like 540° to me
"I'm sorry for all the people who worked to make the descent safe and the tifosi who went up there to watch the race but racing can't be allowed to become a circus. We're not clowns" Marco Pinotti
360°.
NO MTH DAMMIT!
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi.
"If I couldn't play for the Colts, I would probably stop playing football." - Peyton Manning.
by gizzardfanny on Jul 12, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
See, no math.
I can’t do it.
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi.
"If I couldn't play for the Colts, I would probably stop playing football." - Peyton Manning.
by gizzardfanny on Jul 12, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
I can visualize an upside down Z really easy...
Just imagine if that had been that Garmin guy Dave instead of Hoogie in that accident.
and bad as it was for Hoogie, at least he’s still riding. Better upside down and in the Tour then right side up and out of the Tour.
an upside-down, sideways N
"I'm sorry for all the people who worked to make the descent safe and the tifosi who went up there to watch the race but racing can't be allowed to become a circus. We're not clowns" Marco Pinotti
That is going to be a long day for the chasers
They’re going to have to keep a high pace to ensure any break doesn’t have too many minutes by the time they get to the last climb.
It should at least make for an interesting sprint stage
[Pigilito has a] lifetime stupid statement pass [on PdC] -- Yeehoo
It is a quite bumpy day
but Cav will probably win. Omega needs Phil to lead out Greipel, he may finish 8th or so and pick up respectable points.
Yeah
It’s bumpy, but those are mighty small bumps. If today was mostly a sprint, tomorrow should more than mostly be a sprint. If that maybe makes sense.
Would 30 kph headwinds for the last 30km influence the racing?
I wonder if we’ve heard the last from Thor, needs an individual stage win and he might enjoy that kind of weather.
Super dope. Is that like EPO on steroids?
I like to check the weather to see if it will wreak any havoc.
Super dope. Is that like EPO on steroids?
This is France we're talking about, I believe it's the frogs that are our concern.
Super dope. Is that like EPO on steroids?
winner
(Must wait till after ride to have beer)
"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton
Hops before ho's
"I'm sorry for all the people who worked to make the descent safe and the tifosi who went up there to watch the race but racing can't be allowed to become a circus. We're not clowns" Marco Pinotti
tiger style
"Ants don’t worry, they operate like a fantastic team, they accept obstacles and deal with them in a positive manner, they don’t complain and remain positive. An ant doesn’t work on emotion, is proactive and always chooses the ant role."
Does Rojas have the kick to win a bunchsprint on a flat stage?
by Chester Copperpot on Jul 12, 2011 4:55 PM EDT reply actions
Only if the stage has been hard enough to eliminate the fastest guys
Against Cav, Farrar, Greipel, Goss, Swift etc on a flat run-in, he has little or no chance.
what's a win worth? 35?
"Ants don’t worry, they operate like a fantastic team, they accept obstacles and deal with them in a positive manner, they don’t complain and remain positive. An ant doesn’t work on emotion, is proactive and always chooses the ant role."
20-10-6-4-2 UCI points per stage
Green jersey points
Cat 1: 45-35-30-26-22-20-18-16-14-12-10-8-6-4-2
Cat 2: 30-25-22-19-17-15-13-11-9-7-6-5-4-3-2
Cat 3/4: 20-17-15-13-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
ITT: 20-17-15-13-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
Intermediate: 20-17-15-13-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
Where the stage classification is:
Cat 1: stages 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 15, 21
Cat 2: stages 8, 9, 16
Cat 3: stages 12, 14, 17, 18
Cat 4: stages 13, 19
Cat 5/ITT: stage 20
Cat 6/TTT: stage 2
"On paper, your team is awesome." -- Pigeons on my WVDS team, and life in general.
Why are they equal sizes?
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi.
"If I couldn't play for the Colts, I would probably stop playing football." - Peyton Manning.
by gizzardfanny on Jul 13, 2011 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions
Why are they NOT equal sizes.
That is.
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi.
"If I couldn't play for the Colts, I would probably stop playing football." - Peyton Manning.
by gizzardfanny on Jul 13, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions
Not mentioned today: downhill finish favors heavier riders, certainly worth half a wheel at the finish over Cav.
Official prediction:
Cav wins stage 11 by a bike lengths over Pettachi, Ferrar 3rd.
"Have you ever played?" "Yes, I was a goalie"
Cav wins by 11 bike lengths
Well at least I have 1995, 2000, and 2003. Those were fun.
by dees ees en drama on Jul 12, 2011 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions
cav is NOT secretariat
"Wizard's first rule. People are stupid. They will believe anything they want to be true or fear to be true." -- Terry Goodkind
An order of magnitude lower: 1.1 bike lengths
Motivation, thy name is (losing to) Greipel.
[Pigilito has a] lifetime stupid statement pass [on PdC] -- Yeehoo
With his win on Stage 10
Griepel will have a few more Lottos to lead him out on stage 11.
I will be happy to see a repeat win for Andre!
look, if it's hurting me, the other one is going to be about to die now - Jens!
I think yesterday's tactic works better for him
Then a giant lead out train. Have someone – ok, Phil – attack to mess with HTC, use Sieberg to keep Greipel on Cav’s wheel. If he has a giant train he loses wheel anyway.

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