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Those who can't win FSA DS Prognosticate...

The year was 2012, another FSA DS sesson (well really the first but lets not interrupt the maundering with facts) was beginning. I felt compelled to spew a couple of words out into the ether about FSA DS. I gave out instructions on how to pick riders. I also"helped" people pick a team. I then felt a compulsion to explain my own picks for some unknown reason.

Now in a bout of Post Season Purging this advice giving aficionado will lay bare his FSA DS self to autopsy for you enjoyment. My team Thank you for the Heartbreak ended up the year with 14454 points and finished in 143rd place. I fared better than most but did not come anywhere near the top of the heap. My key mistakes from a winning FSA DS point of view were T-Mart not being Wiggo (my brain told my heart it was an idiot on this one), and letting that horrid she-bear talk me out of Tombo was enough to drop me from 17193 (if I swap T-mart for Wiggo and Farrar for Tombo) and a top 30 place to the 140's. Ah wishful thinking and hindsight!

Unfortunately for me I spared myself the fantasy of that delusion. I saved 14 of my favourite builds for future reference. It is the future and I have referenced. Here are a couple of examples.

Even when I picked Tombo and Sagan I still found ways to commit suicide:

Rider

Cost

Points

Michele Scarponi

18

765

Peter Sagan

20

2556

Edvald Boassan Hagen

20

1535

Denis Menchov

8

300

Tom Boonen

12

2007

Igor Anton

8

400

Wout Poels

8

355

Stephen Kruijswijk

8

60

Jurgen Van den Broeck

6

665

Filipo Pozzato

8

700

Heinrich Haussler

8

580

Enrico Battaglin

2

100

Matti Breschel

10

390

Victor Cabedo

1

0

Andrea Guardini

2

80

Wilco Kelderman

1

270

Daniele Ratto

1

0

Davide Veilleux

1

100

Arnaud Demare

2

700

Fabio Aru

1

20

Guillaume Boivin

1

120

Jetse Bol

1

0

Moreno Moser

1

699

Salvatore Puccio

1

10

Tom Jelte Slagter

1

140

150

12552

And then there was the sprinterfest I dreamed up:

Rider

Cost

Points

Mark Cavendish

22

1370

Peter Sagan

20

2556

Edvald Boasson Hagen

20

1535

Andre Greipel

14

1235

Tyler Farrar

14

383

Jose Joaquin Rojas

12

122

Matthew Goss

14

831

John Degenkolb

10

1930

Juan Jose Haedo

2

115

Enrico Battaglin

2

100

Sacha Modolo

2

245

Jens Keukeleire

2

220

Daniel Oss

2

125

Elia Viviani

2

270

Nikita Novikov

1

0

Arnaud Demare

2

700

Nicola Boem

1

0

Guillaume Boivin

1

120

Jetse Bol

1

0

Tom Dumoulin

1

75

Bert-Jan Lindeman

1

0

Moreno Moser

1

699

Luke Rowe

1

40

Tosh Van de Sande

1

30

Coen Vermelfoort

1

0

150

12701

Then there was that disaster of a Tour focused team I dreamed up:

Rider

Cost

Points

Cadel Evans

26

825

Samuel Sanchez

18

1291

Bradley Wiggins

18

2630

Andy Schleck

16

0

Damiano Cunego

14

925

Ivan Basso

10

360

Denis Menchov

8

300

Jurgen Van den Broeck

6

665

Janez Brajkovic

4

584

Perrick Fedrigo

4

320

Juan Jose Haedo

2

115

Jerome Pineau

2

50

Thibault Pinot

2

430

Arnold Jeannesson

2

80

Nicholas Roche

2

310

William Bonnet

2

0

Cyril Gautier

2

20

Remi Pauriol

2

0

Blel Kadri

2

40

Jeremy Roy

1

350

Remi Di Gregorio

1

0

Adrian Petit

2

80

Arnaud Demare

2

700

Romain Bardet

1

15

Kenny Elisssonde

1

0

150

10090

I did however manage to whip up a couple of teams that were better then my final submission, for example, this GC rider focused team:

Rider

Points

Score

Joaquim Rodriguez

26

3837

Tony Martin

18

1515

Daniel Martin

16

610

Damino Cunego

14

925

Rigoberto Uran

12

1332

Igor Anton

8

400

Jurgen van den Broeck

6

665

Rui Costa

6

1332

Mikel Nieve

6

345

Ryder Hesjedal

6

1231

Janez Bajkovic

4

584

Richi Porte

4

317

Benat Intxausti

4

251

Gustav Erik Larsson

4

222

Tiago Jose Pino Machado

2

120

Enrico Battalgin

2

100

Fredrik Kessiakoff

2

875

Nichola Roche

2

310

Victor Cabedo

1

0

Amets Txurruka

1

0

Wilco Kelderman

1

270

David Veilluex

1

100

Fabio Aru

1

20

Romain Sicard

1

30

Tom Jelte Slagter

1

140

149

15531

And another team that had Wiggo and J-rod but was much the same as the team I went with:

Rider

Cost

Points

Joaquim Rodriquez

26

3837

Bradley Wiggins

18

2630

Tony Martin

18

1515

Tyler Farrar

14

383

Matti Breschel

10

390

Denis Menchov

8

300

Jakob Fuglsang

8

630

Heirich Haussler

8

580

Jurgen Van den Broeck

6

665

Ryder Hesjedal

6

1231

Janez Brajkovic

4

584

Richie Porte

4

317

Gustav Eric Larsson

4

222

Enrico Battaglin

2

100

Nicholas Roche

2

310

Andrea Guardini

2

80

Arnaud Demare

2

700

Rudiger Selig

1

70

Wilco Kelderman

1

270

David Veilleux

1

100

Guillaume Boivin

1

120

Jetse Bol

1

0

Moreno Moser

1

699

Tom Jelte Slagter

1

140

Tosh Van der Sande

1

30

150

15903

I think it is easy to see the consistency with which Farrar shows up and the almost complete lack of Sagan or Boonen without multiple layers of sabotage surrounding them. So I chickened out on Boonen, never thought that Sagan would continue to go nuts. Completely missed Degenkolbs revelation. Did not pick Kessiakoff despite my past liking of him.

Oh well I may have a few more thoughts later but for right now this is enough purging for me!

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