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The Game Changer

Sep_boonen_thor_better_medium

According to reports, Friday night Team Garmin-Barracuda held a pre-Omloop strategy meeting where the team discussed working for Heinrich Haussler. An emotional Sep Vanmarcke eventually spoke up and said he could win. Haussler was still the team captain, but classics head Eric Van Lancker and the riders agreed to let Vanmarcke pursue a result. And the rest is history.

Vanmarcke's win the Omloop Het Nieuwsblad completed the "unknown" segment of what's likely to be a notable career on the cobblestones. Sure, he's still 23, and targets like the Tour of Flanders may still be a while off, but if you've been watching closely chances are you've seen enough of Vanmarcke to guess where this is probably headed.

The effect on his team, however, starts now. And it's big. Join me on the flip for more... and a Patrick Verhoest Haaghoek gallery!

Star-divide

In last week's power poll I put Garmin-Barracuda 7th, a conservative estimate based on the youth of Vanmarcke and the past health struggles of Haussler. I also suggested that if those two improved -- a reasonable likelihood -- 2012 would work a lot better than 2011. Either one, at his best, would give Garmin that critical element it lacked among all its talented riders last year, someone who could shake things up. The attacking potential Vanmarcke flashed last year (and which Haussler showed throughout 2009) promised good things.

Now, at the risk of getting ahead of ourselves, we see that Vanmarcke can already shake up and finish off a race. Only 23, he can already bring home the bacon and fry it up in the pan. He is a game changer. Yes, he was the strongest guy in the race, as that cliche goes, but his accelerations defined the entire last hour of the race. He grabbed on to the winning break, deftly staying in contact on the chaotic Taaienberg, where the team anticipated moves but only Vanmarcke got himself into perfect position to join. He accelerated on the Molenberg, cracking Hushovd and Breschel, then finished them off with another uptick on the Paddestraat. He brilliantly, brilliantly gunned it on the Lange Munte, depriving Boonen and Flecha of their helpers, making it a fair fight. And he played it smart in the final km too. I don't know exactly how to apportion credit among Vanmarcke, his road captains Haussler and Andreas Klier, and director Van Lancker... but there were no race radios, no game boys with gigolos attached, that day. I think we're watching instinct at work. Plus a great pair of legs.

Last year's Team Garmin-Cervelo was a talented team but the lack of a game changer was glaring, up until Paris-Roubaix. In fariness, the structure of that team had to do with how things came together. On the plus side, Vaughters quietly pursued Vanmarcke, the perfect signing (in due time), but the headliners were the addition of Hushovd and Haussler, a process Vaughters explained in detail to me/us/everyone as being late and hurried. Nobody says no to a World Champion, and Hushovd paid dividends in the Tour, like clockwork. I doubt anyone at the team regrets having Thor for a year. But from the perspective of the cobbles team you could say Hushovd happened to them.

Hushovd is a highly accomplished professional, and for all I know he was an ideal teammate. He also wound up being a pretty good decoy for Johan Van Summeren in his Paris-Roubaix win. He's a lot of positive things, but on the cobbles he's not a game changer. In the classics, Hushovd is a strong, durable, consistent... wheel follower, not an attacker like Vanmarcke. Further complicating things, Hushovd gave off a sense publicly that he expected strategy to be routed through him. Maybe that's wrong or overblown, but that's how he sounded, and any world champion cuts a wide swath, inside and outside his team.

With Hushovd, Garmin seemed stuck waiting for his chances to pan out, until Paris-Roubaix where the team had an extra weapon. An in-form Haussler would have helped, but it's not hard to imagine Hushovd demanding more consideration in team tactics than frankly he deserved. Without Hushovd, Garmin can do what most strong teams prefer: getting multiple guys in position and letting them take their chances. Haussler and Vanmarcke can thrive in this environment, make their own luck, and when they do, it will vastly enhance Farrar's prospects too.

Whether that starts now or is delayed another year or three is IMHO the most intriguing question of the spring. Sep told us last year that he expects to develop for a few more years, and that Garmin were intent on not rushing him. This probably explains the meeting last Friday, but if he's ready, caution shmaution -- nobody leaves wins on the table if they can help it... Anyway, it's hard to gauge Vanmarcke's development til we see what happens on the road, but in the minds of his teammates and directors I would bet he represents something more than a future hope. He's some sort of weapon right now. To what extent... April is only five weeks away.

OK, here's a selection of Patrick's pictures from the Haaghoek. Starting with the first, brightest Cobbles Grin of the year:

Gilbert_omloop_smile_medium

The Haaghoek from on high:

Beautiful_omloop_medium

Early hours: Gert Steegmans and some kid from BMC drive the pace:

Steegmans_leads_omloop_pack_medium

Later, Gilbert, Lars Boom and Vincent Jerome chase back after their assorted troubles:

Boom_gilbert_jerome_medium

That kid again...

Phinney_leads_early_medium

More and more, all spring long!

Photos by Patrick Verhoest for the Podium Cafe

Comment 74 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Far it be for me to diss my boy Sep

But this -

There was a funny moment in the processo Saturday where Boonen spoke of how he wasn’t on form yet but Vanmarcke was. Sep corrected him gently, noting that in fact he wasn’t near his peak for the season.

Doesn’t really happen. Well, I just rewatched the interview and I don’t see this moment.

That Gilbert picture is aces though.

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 27, 2012 3:56 PM EST reply actions  

where did it happen?

Remind me? I’ve seen multiple reports

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Do we even know for sure it did happen?

I like it because it’s the first building block of a future legend. True or not, and it doesn’t really matter, it needs to be repeated it as often as possible.

by sebastiandeluded on Feb 27, 2012 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

The facts matter, I'll give you that.

I am really curious to know how this whole thing got started. Is it true or isn’t it? And if not, who made it up?

by sebastiandeluded on Feb 27, 2012 4:28 PM EST up reply actions  

You cant handle the truth

I picked Valverde on the VDS 2012!

by perezbike on Feb 27, 2012 8:20 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

In the post race interview, in the Sporza on the scene studio

Tombo is talking about how this weekend isn’t the most important part of the season for him, and then he says something ‘Sep was smart enough to target this weekend – well, I damn well hope he targeted this weekend’ and Sep just sits there. Doesn’t say anything. Doesn’t confirm it, doesn’t deny it.

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 27, 2012 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

hm, OK

I’ll strike that for now. But I could swear there were reports… will look in a bit.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

There were

this isn’t the first time I’ve read this.

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 27, 2012 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks for the confirmation

thought I was going crazy for a moment :)

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 27, 2012 4:37 PM EST up reply actions  

nobody said

you weren’t going crazy.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I think this may be my fault...

…I drew the conclusion from all of your translations in the post-race thread that basically Sep had sort of said / implied that he wasn’t there yet either.

by Ed K on Feb 28, 2012 4:05 PM EST up reply actions  

One might consider Vanmarcke to be a long shot at Flanders and Roubaix

And he is, surely. yet I remember how fresh he was at the end of P-R last year, doing his job well and thoroughly, dropping back and moving up easily, freely and at will, Not saying he’ll win either race, but hell yeah, with a little luck, (Cance mechanical) he has a shot.

And that exchange between Boonen and Sep is a really good story so of course it happened. Not even a doubt.

by sebastiandeluded on Feb 27, 2012 4:02 PM EST reply actions  

Give him some more time...

As Boonen correctly pointed out in the post-race Sporza interview, there is still quite a difference between a 5-hr race (most semi-classics) and a 6+ hr race (RVV, Paris-Roubaix). Even if Sep has a good day in Roubaix, he will be marked, unlike the 21-yr old Boonen back in 2002.

by OregonRouleur on Feb 27, 2012 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

indeed

there’s no reason to EXPECT Sep to make this leap this year. Normally it’s too much. Question is whether this is a normal situation.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

He made it look easy in Roubaix last go-round.

And he made it look easy on Saturday. Dispensing for a moment with all the customary caveats, maybe THIS is the normal situation for Sep. Anyway, I’m loving it.

by sebastiandeluded on Feb 27, 2012 5:14 PM EST up reply actions  

you and

101 FSA DS teams.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 5:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Here it is:
After the race, Boonen and Vanmarcke talked with each other and at one point they were in the Sporza TV studio together when Boonen said that Vanmarcke probably peaked for this race whereas Boonen himself is aiming for the big Classics in April.

"Well, that’s not true because I’ve only raced in the [Volta ao] Algarve (Feb. 15-19) before today. I intended to be in top form later than other years. Tom congratulated me several times and told me it would now start for me," Vanmarcke said.

Source

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 4:47 PM EST reply actions  

Presumably since they print a quote

that is probably an answer he gave in an interview later and they’ve put the two quotes together in way that it looks like a direct reply. He was probably asked “TB said you peaked for this race, is that correct?”

by Jens on Feb 27, 2012 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah

in light of this chat, that makes most sense

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, CN says so

than it must be true.

Either way, the Sep quote is not from the post-race TV interview in the Sporza studio where he’s sitting next to Boonen. In that interview, he doesn’t confirm nor deny being in top condition.

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 27, 2012 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

ok

well it’s good to sort this out, this is better than how I’d started it.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

On another note...are we going to see another video of an uncomfortable team meeting where HH sits there as says...

he’s happy with the plan when he’s clearly unhappy with the plan (recall that CTT video)? Of course, this time it worked out for Garmin and last time was MSR when it didn’t (am I remembering that right)…

by JustJoshinYa on Feb 27, 2012 5:10 PM EST reply actions  

heh

doubtful. Between his form and the subtraction of Hushovd, am guessing HH gets plenty of responsibility this spring.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 27, 2012 5:14 PM EST up reply actions  

very interesting:

Klier had brought both Haussler and VM up to the front for the Boonenberg, but Haussler got caught up in dodging Boom. Why?

Cuz, in no small part, Haussler pushed VM into position at 58k to go, just before the Boonenberg. There’s a moment there where Klier leans over to chat to VM, who’s next to GHH. Then GHH pushes VM ahead—and VM goes into the climb in 3rd position, and doesn’t really have to dodge when Boom implodes.

by R Mc on Feb 27, 2012 5:55 PM EST up reply actions  

So maybe the plans changed in the team meeting the night before

When Sep said he thought he could win?

It’d make sense to me that GHH is looking to peak in a couple of weeks as opposed to right now.

But he can't say "I believe in nozzingk" when he believes in beer - Jens (about me)

by omnevelnihil on Feb 28, 2012 3:24 AM EST up reply actions  

HH

sounds like a good teammate

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

Well, pushing SV ahead was a win/win

For GHH: SV ahead means he gets to sit on and could counter later. Problem was Boom, whose crash really affected the race.

by R Mc on Feb 28, 2012 7:00 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

did he fling his bike

across the road? Unintentionally, I mean? b/c that’s a wider stretch, but Haussler was pretty clear that it messed them up.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 7:35 PM EST up reply actions  

HH was a bit far back anyways

Boom definitely fucks up many riders’s race, but HH is still 6th or 7th wheel

"Oh man, it’s going to take days to kill all these people!"

by ncrow on Feb 28, 2012 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

That kid sure looks good on cobbles

With an admittedly small case of buyer’s remorse, I sure hope his bright future nets results sooner than later.

Hats off again to Sep, helluva ride. And oh yea, I couldn’t be happier for Vaughters.

"It's a lovely thing, feeling that momentum. If you're lucky, it's also about grace." Tim Winton

by sminer on Feb 27, 2012 9:33 PM EST reply actions  

instinct at work
The attacking potential

and at 23 whats not to like.

by Uphill on Feb 28, 2012 3:11 AM EST reply actions  

What attacking flair did Sep show last year?

In 2010 he made the decisive move at Gent-Wevelgem, shunned his turns on the front (at the protest of Oscar), then held off the cramp to come 2nd in a sprint that nobody else was likely to win (since Bernie is a better sprinter and stronger than all who was left).

Last year I only ever saw Sep riding on the front for others, mostly Thor. If anything he spent much of his time leading a chase group after attacks.

Don’t get me wrong, that was an awesome win on Saturday. But I don’t get where this ‘Legend of Sep’ comes from. Nobody really had a right to pick him as being a top-10 favourite for Omloop; even his own team didn’t regard him as that. So I don’t really see that in hindsight we should have known that he’s apparently better than Vandenbroucke, Van Petegem and Boonen put together.

by ike2112 on Feb 28, 2012 8:56 AM EST reply actions  

As it turns out

You didn’t have a right to pick him in the Ed’s League. Please return him and surrender the points.

"I love the classics. They are real battles, real racing," he said. "Time trials are also good, but it’s not the same as the northern classics. That’s pure bike racing."
Fabian Cancellara

by jsallee00 on Feb 28, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

adding

in 2010 he followed at Gent-Wevelgem, made some little attacking attempts, and beat Gilbert in the sprint after all that, plus cramps. He didn’t blow up the race, but at age 21 that’s borderline unbelievable. IIRC he did some big work in the Tour de Wallonia as well, hanging with the skinny climber dudes.

IN 2011 he did try to blow up the race at E3, albeit in service of his team rather than himself. Wound up 4th in the end. Nobody’s comparing him to Merckx but that was still pretty great. Compared to a lot of other young hopefuls who at that age were just sitting in or running bottles, I’d say he has been remarkable prior to this year.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

Beating Boonen in a sprint was surprising to me, him being there at the end was not.

"I love the classics. They are real battles, real racing," he said. "Time trials are also good, but it’s not the same as the northern classics. That’s pure bike racing."
Fabian Cancellara

by jsallee00 on Feb 28, 2012 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

though, if he does turn out to be another Merckx

and wins, say, the Giro d’Italia, I’m not going to complain…

by Le Comte on Feb 28, 2012 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

heh

well, he’s about a foot taller than Cunego, but you never know I guess.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 11:28 AM EST up reply actions  

He went over a barrier at the Vuelta

That’s kind of cool?

I see your point. But it’s pointless asking these kind of questions. Anytime you have to qualify a rider’s performance – either positively or negatively – you should just stop.

Facts:
1. He got 2nd as a neo-pro in GW
2. And 2nd in Circuit Franco Belge
3. He was 4th in E3 last year at 22 (although 1 min back)
4. And 20th in P-R
5. And 1st in OHN this year

I get the arguments you are making, but his record is too long for a 23 year old to be a series of what if questions. Especially considering how he won OHN this year (with class)

"Oh man, it’s going to take days to kill all these people!"

by ncrow on Feb 28, 2012 7:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Ja

This year’s win, that was pretty legit right there. I don’t think there’s really much what if for a 23 year old who just won the Omloop from a break including Tom Boonen.

~ Gavia ~

by Jen See on Feb 28, 2012 8:20 PM EST up reply actions  

This win gets the guy . . . .

. . . a cush job in his home town, and free beer & frites for life.

What would Deming do? (+8:00 GMT)

by Ryan_Liles on Mar 1, 2012 3:35 AM EST up reply actions  

The 'Legend of Sep' was me being silly

But I disagree with your last paragraph. Everyone knows that Sep is a big talent and that he was being groomed for exactly this and then bigger things. Vaughters throws a story out there about a dramatic team meeting and it becomes ‘true.’ MAYBE it went down just like he and CN says it did. But it makes far more sense that Sep was Plan A from the start.

by sebastiandeluded on Feb 28, 2012 10:04 AM EST reply actions  

enjoyed your take on Thor vs Sep but I was hoping to flesh something out

Would you feel that way if Sep hadn’t ridden like the game changer he could very well be this past weekend? In other words, does Sep specifically need to be a Thor upgrade for Garmin to be better off without Thor or was Thor’s talent not worth the issues?

by haveagreatday on Feb 28, 2012 11:31 AM EST reply actions  

IMHO

He’s not really an asset to a team like Garmin in the classics, or not enough of one. Farrar can kinda maybe do all the same things. But he’s a fantastic guy for any Tour squad.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 12:12 PM EST up reply actions  

When Farrar is top five in either RVV or PR, then you can say that...

…until then, I don’t think so. Thor is a much more accomplished classics rider, period.

by Ed K on Feb 28, 2012 4:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Um.

RVV 2010
1 Fabian Cancellara (Swi) Team Saxo Bank 6:25:56
2 Tom Boonen (Bel) Quick Step 0:01:15
3 Philippe Gilbert (Bel) Omega Pharma-Lotto 0:02:11
4 Bjorn Leukemans (Bel) Vacansoleil Pro Cycling Team 0:02:15
5 Tyler Farrar (USA) Garmin – Transitions 0:02:35

More cobbleguys is always better--tgsgirl

by majope on Feb 28, 2012 4:49 PM EST up reply actions  

So we can say that!

Whootz.

Coffee cures all. ~ Gav

by tgsgirl on Feb 28, 2012 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Really?

I’d completely forgotten about that.

Never mind then.

by Ed K on Feb 28, 2012 5:24 PM EST up reply actions  

He won the sprint for 5th from a big group

Which is fine, I guess, but the circumstances are relevant.

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Feb 28, 2012 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

In that regard there's not a big difference between his 5th place in 2010

and his 13th place last year.

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Feb 28, 2012 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

true

But I was at Thor’s 2nd in P-R, which is a terrific result, but it was a distant second and involved outsprinting Flecha in the velodrome. Really, how significant was it? Hard to say. Maybe a little more significant than Farrar’s 5th in de Ronde, but not much.

I thought Thor did look genuinely threatening in 2009 P-R before he overshot that corner in the Carrefour de l’arbe.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

That 2009 is what I was thinking about when I made the original point...

…can’t recall ever seeing Farrar looking like that. But I’d also totally forgotten about that 5th.

by Ed K on Feb 28, 2012 7:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Meuh

Farrar has been as good as Cipo in Gent-Wevelgem, in an era where that race is a good bit tougher.

De cross gaat out that door.

by Chris Fontecchio on Feb 28, 2012 11:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Bull Shit

He has never won G-W and he never made a motorcycle crash by throwing his bottles at it.

That 5th in RVV was totally a non-factor.
He has zero impact on the lead group.

What would Deming do? (+8:00 GMT)

by Ryan_Liles on Mar 1, 2012 3:41 AM EST up reply actions  

I'd say it's a lot more significant than Farrar's 5th

It was a sprint against one rider, the next two were more than a minute behind and the first big group sprinted for 12th place, more than 5 minutes behind Hushovd.

Badger, badger, badger, badger, badger, badger...

by TheFigurehead on Feb 29, 2012 3:14 AM EST up reply actions  

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