FanPost

CLASSICS PREDICTOR GAME Race#1: Omloop Het Nieuwsblad

All welcome to play

This the first race of the Classics Predictor Game, similar in concept to our GT stage predictor game. There's no commitment to a season-long team of riders here. Instead, you pick 4 riders that you like for each spring classic, one race at a time. Picks here are for Omloop only.

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This is all you need to know to play

Pick 4 riders for Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and post them in a comment below, the order doesn't matter. Riders score points down to 10th place. Less obvious riders are worth considering: if they get a decent top-10 result, they can score more points in this game than a big-name favorite.

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If we have enough interest for Omloop, I will run this for all the spring classics, cobbles and hills. There will be a standalone result for each race, and I will aggregate the results for an overall season winner. All 14 races will score equally for the overall competition.

1. Omloop Het Nieuwsblad
2. Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne
3. Strade Bianche
4. Milan-San Remo
5. Dwars door Vlaanderen
6. E3 Prijs
7. Gent-Wevelgem
8. Ronde Van Vlaanderen
9. Scheldeprijs
10. Paris-Roubaix
11. Brabantse Pijl
12. Amstel Gold
13. La Flèche Wallonne
14. Liège-Bastogne-Liège

You don't have to play every race and target the overall competition - feel free to join in any time to play a standalone race, the more the merrier.

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Omloop Het Nieuwsblad

This FanPost is for entries to the Omloop on Saturday 23rd February, post your entry in a comment below. I'll put up a new FanPost for entries to Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne as soon as Omloop finishes.

Entry deadline Saturday 13:00 CET

That's early morning in the U.S. - 7am EST, 4am PST. The deadline is 90 minutes into the race, just before the first helling. If you enter after the race starts you can't pick anyone in a break! Earlier entrants are not disadvantaged - you're free to change your picks (but just once, please) until the entry deadline. Do this in a reply to your original entry.

OMLOOP STARTLIST

Past Results

Route & profile

Official site

PdC preview by Jens

CN preview

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FOR OMLOOP RESULTS, GO TO THE KUURNE-BRUSSELS-KUURNE THREAD

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Scoring details

All 4 of your riders can score.

The top 10 finishers score points according to this basic scale from race winner down to 10th place:
100-60-50-40-30-25-20-15-10-5

However, if riders of all abilities scored the same, we'd all just be picking the big favorites all the time. So we multiply the scale above by a rider's payoff percentage based on the number of players that pick him. More picks, lower payoff. The highest possible payoff for a really unlikely outsider picked by less than 3% of players is 100% of the scale above; the lowest possible payoff for a hot favorite picked by more than 80% of players is 20% of the the scale above. Here's the full sliding scale, from least popular to most popular riders:

Scap_30_medium

(intermediate percentages interpolated; scores rounded to nearest 0.1)

Here's an example result, based on last year's race:

Scap_1_medium

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If you're not familiar with this kind of scoring scheme from the Giro & TdF Stage Predictor games last year, just play along for a couple of races and it will soon make sense. All you need to do is pick the 4 riders that you like for the race. A good strategy might be to go for two big names and two outsiders that you fancy for a breakout result.

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