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GIRO STAGE PREDICTOR GAME: Stage 9

It's Giro time, and the Stage Predictor Game is back. Everyone is welcome to play. Feel free to join with us at any time and compete for stage wins, but most important will be the hotly-contested overall competition. Since last year's winner got a pink Giro cap signed by Sergey Lagutin, we'll continue the tradition and call the overall competition the cappello rosa. Courtesy of the ever-generous holmovka, there are again some fabulous prizes and trophies:

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Results Stage 8

Our stage scores were dominated by Dowsett's great performance, called by seven players. Le Blaireau made the difference to take the solo stage win by eschewing Wiggins and taking slightly higher points from Nibali and Boaro.

Stage 8 top 10:
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Seahorse scored solid points from 3 picks to retain the cappello rosa for a second day. But Benzene has narrowed the deficit to a tire's-width 0.7 points, with ther00kie16 and wannabe_scattista both closing to within 7 points of the lead thanks to Dowsett. Things could hardly be tighter at the top of the overall as we enter the second week of this fabulous race.

Overall top 30:
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Spreadsheet download with complete results

pdf of complete results for last 3 stages

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Stage 9

Sunday 12th May

Sansepolcro - Firenze 170km

Published start time 12:40 CET

Roadbook
Stage through the Appennine Mountains, with two long climbs (Passo della Consuma and Vallombrosa). First part flat, interrupted by a sharp ascent at Anghiari and a short climb at Scheggia. Those two climbs follow Bibbiena (intermediate sprint) and Poppi, after which there is a descent to Pontassieve (intermediate sprint) before the climbs of Vetta le Croci and then Fiesole before reaching Firenze.

Stage profile

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Passo della Consuma
Cat 2a - 16.9km @3.9% - GPM @88km from finish

Vallombrosa
Cat 1a - 8.8km @6.4% - GPM @63km from finish

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Vetta le Croci
Cat 3a - 7.6km @5.3% - GPM @22km from finish

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Fiesole
Cat 4a - 3.0km @5.7% - GPM @10.7km from finish

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Final kilometers

Roadbook
The last climb finishes at Fiesole, about 10 km from the finish line. Fast descent to 5 km from the finish line, then passing through the eastern part of Firenze. After the bridge over the Arno, right turn and from 1.500 m the climb begins on a normal road with hairpins. Finish line after a 100 m straight. Road width 6 m, surfaced with asphalt.

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Useful links

Gazetta Giro home page

Download "Garibaldi" official roadbook (huge file 92Mb)

Steephill Giro page

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Rules

Pick 4 riders for the stage, the order of your picks doesn't matter. All your riders can score.

Riders score points down to 10th place. Less popular riders score more points than heavily-picked favorites. See below for scoring details.

The strict entry deadline is the official start time of the stage. There's no disadvantage to getting your entry in early, since you may always change your picks before the deadline. Feel free to revise your picks when you see which riders are more or less popular with other players. Post changes in a reply to your original post.

Scoring

The top 10 finishers score points according to this basic scale from race winner down to 10th place:

100-60-50-40-30-25-20-15-10-5

However, if riders of all abilities scored the same, we'd all just be picking the big favorites all the time. So we multiply the scale above by a rider's payoff percentage based on the number of players that pick him. More picks, lower payoff. The highest possible payoff for a really unlikely outsider picked by less than 5% of players is 100% of the scale above; the lowest possible payoff for a hot favorite picked by more than 80% of players is 15% of the the scale above.

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For example, here's the result from Stage 1:

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If you're not familiar with this kind of scoring scheme from previous games, just play along for a few stages and it will soon make sense. All you need to do is pick 4 riders that you like for the stage - maybe go for two obvious favorites and try two outsiders that you fancy for a decent top-10 result.

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