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GIRO STAGE PREDICTOR GAME: Stage 16

It's Giro time, and the Stage Predictor Game is back. Everyone is welcome to play. Feel free to join with us at any time and compete for stage wins, but most important will be the hotly-contested overall competition. Since last year's winner got a pink Giro cap signed by Sergey Lagutin, we'll continue the tradition and call the overall competition the cappello rosa. Courtesy of the ever-generous holmovka, there are again some fabulous prizes and trophies:

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Results Stage 15

Nobody picked Visconti today, but rmeloa had the next 3 to take the solo stage win. A second stage win for rmeloa, this time won in absentia with picks made 48 hours ago!

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Seahorse keeps hammering us with solid points every day to maintain a good lead in the cappello rosa competition. Can she maintain this form into the third week? rmeloa's stage win takes him into second place overall.

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Spreadsheet download with complete results

pdf of complete results for last 3 stages

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Stage 156

Tuesday 21st May

Valloire - Ivrea 238km

Published start time 11:10 CET
DEADLINE WILL BE ACTUAL START TIME IF CHANGED

Roadbook
Mixed stage. Short climb of the Col du Télégraphe at the start, then descent followed by long false flat before the Col du Montcenis. Long, fast and ‘pedalable’ descent to Susa, where a 40 km section of false flat begins along a wide and straight road. The next stretch is twisting, characterised by short climbs and descents and passages through towns and villages (bottle necks, roundabouts, traffic islands). Passage through Ivrea beside the finish line, and 36 km circuit with an abrupt ramp at Andrate (gradients up to 12%) followed by a technical descent with sections of narrow road. Final 8 km mostly flat.

Stage profile

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Col du Mont Cenis
Cat 1a - 9.8km @7.0% - GPM @173km from finish

36km finishing circuit

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Andrate
Cat 3a - 6.3km @8.1% - GPM @ 18km from finish.

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FInal kilometers

Roadbook
Final 8 km mostly flat. Short descent 2 km from the finish line with a turning point on a narrow bridge. Final curve 1.100 m from the finish line. Finishing straight 1.100 m. Road width 7.5 m, surfaced with asphalt.

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Useful links

Gazetta Giro home page

Download "Garibaldi" official roadbook (huge file 92Mb)

Steephill Giro page

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Rules

Pick 4 riders for the stage, the order of your picks doesn't matter. All your riders can score.

Riders score points down to 10th place. Less popular riders score more points than heavily-picked favorites. See below for scoring details.

The strict entry deadline is the official start time of the stage. There's no disadvantage to getting your entry in early, since you may always change your picks before the deadline. Feel free to revise your picks when you see which riders are more or less popular with other players. Post changes in a reply to your original post.

Scoring

The top 10 finishers score points according to this basic scale from race winner down to 10th place:

100-60-50-40-30-25-20-15-10-5

However, if riders of all abilities scored the same, we'd all just be picking the big favorites all the time. So we multiply the scale above by a rider's payoff percentage based on the number of players that pick him. More picks, lower payoff. The highest possible payoff for a really unlikely outsider picked by less than 5% of players is 100% of the scale above; the lowest possible payoff for a hot favorite picked by more than 80% of players is 15% of the the scale above.

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For example, here's the result from Stage 1:

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If you're not familiar with this kind of scoring scheme from previous games, just play along for a few stages and it will soon make sense. All you need to do is pick 4 riders that you like for the stage - maybe go for two obvious favorites and try two outsiders that you fancy for a decent top-10 result.

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