It's Giro time, and the Stage Predictor Game is back. Everyone is welcome to play. Feel free to join with us at any time and compete for stage wins, but most important will be the hotly-contested overall competition. Since last year's winner got a pink Giro cap signed by Sergey Lagutin, we'll continue the tradition and call the overall competition the cappello rosa. Courtesy of the ever-generous holmovka, there are again some fabulous prizes and trophies:
Results Stage 16
A teasing stage for the predictor game. Several players had strong riders in the break; then it looked like a few players who loaded up on the top GC guys would clean up; in the end, nobody had any of the top 4 finishers. Several players took some points from Evans, but snjekyll stole the stage win with Pellizotti's 6th place.
Seahorse extends her lead to almost 100 points in the cappello rosa competition, managing to pick up points again from Evans on a low scoring stage. She has scored on every stage.
Wednesday 22nd May
Caravaggio - Vicenza 214km
Published start time 12:15 CET
Long, flat stage on roads that are almost without exception wide and straight. The usual traffic hazards on this type of road: roundabouts, traffic islands, underpasses. A short section of race route from km 110 to km 130 has many curves. After the Intermediate Sprint at Orgiano, the race route enters the Monti Berici (Berici Hills). Road narrows with sudden turns and short, technical descents. After Nanto, a short climb (GPM) followed by a very fast descent, the last part of which is quite technical. Final 10 km mostly flat.
Cat 4a - 5.3km @6.8% - GPM @16km from finish
Final kilometres mostly flat. Inside the final 3 km right turn and railway underpass. At 1.700 m sharp lefthand turn (wide road, slightly uphill). Then, some straight sections leading to the 250 m final straight. Road width 8 m, surfaced with asphalt. In the final metres urban hazards including roudabouts and traffic islands.
Pick 4 riders for the stage, the order of your picks doesn't matter. All your riders can score.
Riders score points down to 10th place. Less popular riders score more points than heavily-picked favorites. See below for scoring details.
The strict entry deadline is the official start time of the stage. There's no disadvantage to getting your entry in early, since you may always change your picks before the deadline. Feel free to revise your picks when you see which riders are more or less popular with other players. Post changes in a reply to your original post.
The top 10 finishers score points according to this basic scale from race winner down to 10th place:
However, if riders of all abilities scored the same, we'd all just be picking the big favorites all the time. So we multiply the scale above by a rider's payoff percentage based on the number of players that pick him. More picks, lower payoff. The highest possible payoff for a really unlikely outsider picked by less than 5% of players is 100% of the scale above; the lowest possible payoff for a hot favorite picked by more than 80% of players is 15% of the the scale above.
For example, here's the result from Stage 1:
If you're not familiar with this kind of scoring scheme from previous games, just play along for a few stages and it will soon make sense. All you need to do is pick 4 riders that you like for the stage - maybe go for two obvious favorites and try two outsiders that you fancy for a decent top-10 result.