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TdF STAGE PREDICTOR GAME: Stage 20

Everyone is welcome to play. Feel free to join in at any time and compete for stage wins, and for regular players the individual stage scores will accumulate for the hotly-contested overall competition, the casquette jaune.

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Prize & Trophies

We have a most excellent grand prize for the overall winner: a complete FSA cycling kit, including socks! Size is European Large, probably like a US Medium. If somebody petite or XL wins maybe some horse trading can be arranged. And thanks once again to holmovka for these awesome plaques and the non-virtual casquette jaune.

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Stage 19 Results

Today was not the most exciting stage of the Tour, but there were some very interesting developments in the game.

In the stage results, fineco took a second consecutive solo win, picking a unique winner in Costa.

In the overall, trampie was the only player in the chasing group to make a brave all-out attempt to catch vino2001 with breakaway riders, and ALL FOUR of trampie's picks made the final breakaway selection. Three placed in the top 10, with Bardet in 12th. A remarkable effort that really deserved more than the 57 points. With two stages left, vino2001 is no longer looking quite so safe, with trampie now 53 points behind.

Behind those two, holmovka has edged just 3 points ahead of andrewp, but at least 10 more players are in contention for that final podium spot if we get a high-scoring stage again tomorrow.

Stage 19 top 10:

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Overall top 30:

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Excel spreadsheet download with complete results of all stages

Pdf download with complete results of recent stages

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Stage 20

Saturday 20th July

Published start time 13:30 CET

Annecy - Annecy-Semnoz 125km

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Stage profile

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Cat 2 - Côte du Puget
5.4km @5.9%
GPM 112km to go

Cat 3 - Col de Leschaux
3.6km @6.1%
GPM 107km to go

Cat 3 - Côte d'Aillon-le-Vieux
6km @4%
GPM 82km to go

Cat 3 - Col des Prés
3.4km @6.9%
GPM 74km to go

Cat 1 - Mont Revard
15.9km @5.6% to 1463m
GPM 46km to go

profile from climbbybike.com

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HC - Annecy-Semnoz
10.7km @8.5% to 1655m

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Useful links

TdF official site

Steephill TdF Live Dashboard

Cycling Fever startlist

Complete TdF Roadbook *HUGE* 135Mb zipped pdf

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Rules

In this game, only the stage results matter. You're not committed to keeping the same riders throughout the race, you make fresh picks before every stage. Our overall competition is just the sum of individual stage scores. You're eligible for the overall even if you miss some stages.

Pick 4 riders for the upcoming stage. The order of your picks doesn't matter. All of your riders can score.

Riders score points down to 10th place. Less popular riders score more points than heavily-picked favorites. See below for scoring details.

The strict entry deadline is the official start time of the stage, the neutralized rollout or Départ Fictif. Be warned - if your post is timestamped one minute late your entry won't count! So do remember that there's no disadvantage to getting an entry in early, even the day before, because you may always change your picks up until the deadline. Feel free to rethink your picks when it emerges which riders are more or less popular with other players. If you make changes, post your revised 4 picks in a reply to your original post.

Scoring

The top 10 finishers score points according to this basic scale from stage winner down to 10th place:

100-60-50-40-30-25-20-15-10-5

However, if riders of all abilities scored the same, we'd all just be picking the big favorites all the time. So we multiply the scale above by a rider's payoff percentage according to the number of players that pick him. More popular means lower payoff. The highest possible payoff for a really unlikely outsider (picked by less than 5% of our players) is 100% of the scale above; the lowest possible payoff for a hot favorite (picked by more than 80% of our players) is 15% of the the scale above.

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For example, here's the result from the first stage of the Giro:

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If you're not familiar with this kind of scoring scheme from previous games, just play along for a few stages and it will soon make sense. All you need to do is pick 4 riders that you like for the stage - maybe go for two big favorites along with two less obvious riders that you fancy for a mid-top-10 placing.

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