Le Tour Stage 11 Preview: Break out the stopwatch

Michael Steele

Time for the Chrono men to come out and play on the only true specialists TT in this year's Tour. And it's a short one to boot.

Stage 11: Avranches - Mont Saint Michel, 33km

Stage rating: Flat Time Trial

Jerseys in play:

Mj_medium Mb_medium

Stage Grafix:

Screen_shot_2013-07-09_at_10

Profil_medium

Analysis

This, more than the mountains this year, is where overall ambitions come to die. We have plenty of guys who can go up hills quickly who are lurking in the top fifteen positions of the overall classification, but not all will stay there, or as high up as they are. This is where we learn if Nairo Quintana is a credible second threat for Movistar or if he becomes more of a fly in Sky's ointment and if Laurens Ten Dam and Bauke Mollema are on track for breakout Tours or are merely keeping fourth and fifth overall warm for more well rounded riders. Is this where Cadel Evans sneaks his way back into the picture thanks to the implosion of climbers ahead of him? And, finally, we see just how much of a buffer Chris Froome will carry into Ventoux and the Alps next week - will it be insurmountable minutes, or a less daunting two minutes and change?

The stage profile suits Froome best among the overall contenders, rolling every so slightly in the first half and then smoothing out for the latter half. If you remember, Froome nabbed a shiny bronze medal in the Olympics in the time trial last summer on a similar, if longer, course. Among the other overall contenders, Valverde is likely the second most pleased with this. The Movistar rider can TT pretty well (or at least suitably decent) over shorter distances like this. But, really, this is a playground for the specialists, a la Tony Martin. So tune in to watch him, then check back to see the last 15 riders go off, if you want fun.

Pick to Win

Tony Martin. World champion in the discipline and Cancellara isn't here to challenge him, so it's really stealing lunch money from the scrawny kids for him. Look for Chavanel to appear in the top five, perhaps.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Podium Cafe

You must be a member of Podium Cafe to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Podium Cafe. You should read them.

Join Podium Cafe

You must be a member of Podium Cafe to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Podium Cafe. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.