So the nervous drama begins in earnest, if you hadn't thought it already had. Today's 170km roller to Guadalajara (cue mariachi band) should be wet, wild and unpredictable. If Alejandro Valverde makes it through the next few days of poor weather without his grand tour curse striking, then surely he's an odds-on favorite. But before then, he'll have to endure some nervy rides, and a whole lotta breakaway attempts. Look for Oscar Pereiro to be their man marking the breaks at some point, just to piss me off.