Some back of the envelope calculations follow. Valverde might rue the day he didn't work with Moreau. The days of yellow for the chicken might be numbered, and he might finish a few rungs beneath Menchov in the GC.
If you flip back through prior TT performances, like last year's TdF, you'll find that the patterns from this year's prologue are no fluke. Evans gave up 3 minutes to Klodi in the second 57 km ITT.
The race of truth? We will see...
Rider Prologue Speed (kph)
Kloden 52.38
Vino 50.79
Kash 50.34
Evans 50.25
Levi 49.89
Menchov 49.81
Valverde49.55
Moreau 49.12
Sastre 48.53
Chicken 46.85
If we project 95% of the prologue speed to the TTs the time gaps to Kloden by the slower guys are:
Rider Klodi Deltas (min)
Vino 2.04 + 2.08 = 4.12
Kash 2.64 + 2.69 = 5.33
Evans 2.76 + 2.81 = 5.57
Levi 3.24 + 3.3 = 6.54
Menchov 3.36 + 3.42 = 6.78
Valverde 3.72 + 3.79 = 7.51
Moreau 4.32 + 4.44 = 8.76
Sastre 5.16 + 5.25 = 10.41
Chicken 7.67 + 7.82 = 15.49