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Peter Sagan - All said already. Just a matter if he can get it done.
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Phillipe Gilbert - MSR and Ardennes are his focus. Does he have the weapons to win here anymore?
Fabian Cancellara - Hard to escape the idea that inevitably he is going to win a second MSR somehow.
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Greg van Avermaet - Should be ranked higher than PhilGil were it not for team politics
John Degenkolb - Strangely hyped. Safest bet for 2-10th but a winner?
Arnaud Démare - Same category as Degenkolb
Diego Ulissi - Sharpest tooth in the Lampre trident I think but will the race develop to his taste?
Michael Matthews - Everyones favorite dark horse. Now also sole leader on Orica.
Mark Cavendish - Had this course been announced last year he'd be a 5. Now, not fit enough.
Alexander Kristoff - Finally a race/sprint where lack of support won't be his undoing.
Jurgen Roelandts - Right balance of race-smarts and sprint-ability
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Gerald Ciolek - We know he can get over the Poggio with the best. A repeat is just too unlikely, no?
Vincenzo Nibali - Basically a courtesy-pick. No idea what he can do to win.
Sonny Colbrelli - On-form Italian. Why not.
Bauke Mollema - Should a break stick, Mollema is surprisingly fast on the line.
Sylvain Chavanel - Anonymous so far, I think this changes now.
Roman Kreuziger - Saxo's best bet. On form but needs a blistering attack. Longshot.
Filippo Pozzato - Probably underrated by most. A dangerous mistake perhaps.
Luca Paolini - Always around, craftier than 99% of the opposition
André Greipel - Needs a scenario with a big bunch-sprint..... without Cav (and Sagan probably)
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Rinaldo Nocentini - Always there, never wins the big ones though.
Tom Jelte Slagter - On fire but not sure this is his race.
Lars Petter Nordhaug - Sneaky Norwegian. Wouldn't be surprised if he makes the winning move.
Sacha Modolo - Still struggles when the best are around. Or "struggled" ?
Yoann Offredo - My bet for a late surprise flyer.
Simone Ponzi - Included courtesy of recent form but seriously....
Edvald Boasson Hagen - Should be a 4-5 but has a hard time with these climbs for some reason.
Michal Kwiatkowski - Would have been a 4 if this was 3 weeks ago.